Bluebird Bio Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BLUE Stock  USD 0.38  0.01  2.70%   
Bluebird Bio's chance of distress is over 65% at the present time. It has high odds to experience some financial distress in the next few years. Bluebird Bio's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Bluebird Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Bluebird balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Bluebird Bio Piotroski F Score and Bluebird Bio Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bluebird Stock refer to our How to Trade Bluebird Stock guide.
  

Bluebird bio Company probability of distress Analysis

Bluebird Bio's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Bluebird Bio Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 79%  
Most of Bluebird Bio's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Bluebird bio is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Bluebird Bio probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Bluebird Bio odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Bluebird bio financial health.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluebird Bio. If investors know Bluebird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluebird Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.80)
Revenue Per Share
0.357
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.337
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(1.87)
The market value of Bluebird bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluebird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluebird Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluebird Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluebird Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluebird Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluebird Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bluebird Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluebird Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bluebird Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Bluebird Bio is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Bluebird Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Bluebird Bio's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Bluebird Bio's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Bluebird Bio's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Bluebird bio has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 79%. This is 82.49% higher than that of the Biotechnology sector and 44.06% higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 98.34% lower than that of the firm.

Bluebird Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Bluebird Bio's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Bluebird Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bluebird Bio by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Bluebird Bio is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Bluebird Bio Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.25)(0.46)(0.35)(0.95)(0.48)(0.36)
Asset Turnover0.02590.140.0061670.0064820.04760.0282
Gross Profit Margin0.960.980.93(9.61)(1.8)(0.14)
Net Debt(136.2M)(124.7M)(71.6M)168.4M193.6M203.3M
Total Current Liabilities223.6M203.6M153.0M128.2M200.1M114.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total218.9M222.6M66.5M230.3M224.5M161.3M
Total Assets1.7B1.8B593.8M554.9M619.2M1.1B
Total Current Assets1.2B1.2B336.5M199.5M281.7M267.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(564.4M)(470.4M)(635.6M)(353.0M)(235.0M)(246.8M)

Bluebird Fundamentals

About Bluebird Bio Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Bluebird bio's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Bluebird Bio using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bluebird bio based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Bluebird bio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bluebird Bio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bluebird Bio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bluebird Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bluebird Bio Piotroski F Score and Bluebird Bio Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Bluebird Stock refer to our How to Trade Bluebird Stock guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluebird Bio. If investors know Bluebird will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluebird Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.80)
Revenue Per Share
0.357
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.337
Return On Assets
(0.36)
Return On Equity
(1.87)
The market value of Bluebird bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluebird that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluebird Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluebird Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluebird Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluebird Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluebird Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bluebird Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluebird Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.