Bioxcel Therapeutics Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| BTAI Stock | USD 0.34 0 1.18% |
BioXcel | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
BioXcel Therapeutics Company probability of distress Analysis
BioXcel Therapeutics' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current BioXcel Therapeutics Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 81% |
Most of BioXcel Therapeutics' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, BioXcel Therapeutics is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of BioXcel Therapeutics probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting BioXcel Therapeutics odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of BioXcel Therapeutics financial health.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BioXcel Therapeutics. If investors know BioXcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BioXcel Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.416 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of BioXcel Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BioXcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BioXcel Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BioXcel Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BioXcel Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BioXcel Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BioXcel Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BioXcel Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BioXcel Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
BioXcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for BioXcel Therapeutics is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of BioXcel Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since BioXcel Therapeutics' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of BioXcel Therapeutics' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of BioXcel Therapeutics' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, BioXcel Therapeutics has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 81%. This is 87.11% higher than that of the Biotechnology sector and 47.7% higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 103.36% lower than that of the firm.
BioXcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses BioXcel Therapeutics' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of BioXcel Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BioXcel Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.BioXcel Therapeutics is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
BioXcel Therapeutics Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.37) | (0.45) | (0.83) | (2.43) | (2.19) | (2.3) | |
| Net Debt | (211.5M) | (231.6M) | (99.6M) | 36.2M | 32.5M | 34.2M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 11.8M | 16.7M | 32.9M | 27.3M | 31.4M | 32.9M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 1.4M | 1.1M | 96.2M | 102.9M | 118.4M | 124.3M | |
| Total Assets | 219.9M | 239.4M | 205.9M | 73.7M | 84.8M | 100.3M | |
| Total Current Assets | 217.1M | 233.0M | 202.9M | 72.1M | 83.0M | 98.2M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (66.4M) | (82.2M) | (135.3M) | (155.0M) | (139.5M) | (132.5M) |
BioXcel Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -17.67 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.64 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (14.89) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 81.65 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 49.63 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.06 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 8.70 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 807.68 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | (2.62) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.97 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.10 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.38 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.04 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (165.42 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (179.05 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 233.45 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 8.33 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 101.38 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.38 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 12.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (1.89) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (155.01 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.93 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (2.04) X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.01) X | ||||
| Target Price | 2.81 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 74 | ||||
| Beta | 0.29 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 17.07 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 73.7 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (590.6 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 44.88 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 609.37 K | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.67 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 73.7 M |
About BioXcel Therapeutics Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze BioXcel Therapeutics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of BioXcel Therapeutics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of BioXcel Therapeutics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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When determining whether BioXcel Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BioXcel Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bioxcel Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bioxcel Therapeutics Stock:Check out BioXcel Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and BioXcel Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in BioXcel Stock please use our How to Invest in BioXcel Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BioXcel Therapeutics. If investors know BioXcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BioXcel Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.416 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of BioXcel Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BioXcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BioXcel Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BioXcel Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BioXcel Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BioXcel Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BioXcel Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BioXcel Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BioXcel Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.