Peabody Energy Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BTU Stock

USD 25.99 1.42 5.18%

Peabody Energy's odds of distress is below 2% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crisis in the next two years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Peabody Energy's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Peabody balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Peabody Energy Piotroski F Score and Peabody Energy Altman Z Score analysis.

Peabody Energy Corp Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Peabody Energy's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Peabody Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 2%

Most of Peabody Energy's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Peabody Energy Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Peabody Energy probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Peabody Energy odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Peabody Energy Corp financial health.

Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Peabody Energy. If investors know Peabody will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Peabody Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.10)

Dividend Share

0.3

Earnings Share

3.79

Revenue Per Share

34.154

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.008

The market value of Peabody Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Peabody that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Peabody Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Peabody Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Peabody Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Peabody Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Peabody Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Peabody Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Peabody Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Peabody Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Peabody Energy is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Peabody Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Peabody Energy's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Peabody Energy's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Peabody Energy's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Retained Earnings	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Intangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Accumulated Depreciation	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.49	0.73	0.79	0.75	0.75	0.89	0.5	0.1	0.71	0.45	0.81	0.61	0.95	-0.22	-0.32	0.51	0.35	0.75	-0.82	-0.31	0.66	0.1	-0.3	0.58	0.04	-0.45
Total Stockholder Equity	0.49		0.22	0.38	0.59	0.8	0.14	0.75	0.31	0.93	0.75	0.25	0.11	0.35	0.17	0.22	0.22	0.84	0.62	-0.56	-0.12	0.01	-0.36	0.25	0.33	0.25	0.07
Current Deferred Revenue	0.73	0.22		0.83	0.33	0.36	0.8	0.0	-0.02	0.41	0.35	0.62	0.44	0.83	0.01	-0.58	0.35	0.04	0.64	-0.47	-0.64	0.49	0.29	-0.51	0.47	-0.31	-0.62
Net Debt	0.79	0.38	0.83		0.62	0.46	0.79	0.16	0.14	0.61	0.45	0.53	0.51	0.87	-0.27	-0.44	0.37	0.32	0.8	-0.66	-0.31	0.37	0.4	-0.41	0.45	-0.13	-0.5
Accounts Payable	0.75	0.59	0.33	0.62		0.81	0.58	0.68	0.32	0.76	0.33	0.57	0.74	0.68	-0.1	-0.2	0.23	0.74	0.77	-0.81	0.23	0.56	-0.07	-0.19	0.59	0.11	-0.37
Net Receivables	0.75	0.8	0.36	0.46	0.81		0.53	0.91	0.41	0.84	0.59	0.69	0.48	0.63	0.04	0.01	0.35	0.72	0.75	-0.81	-0.14	0.53	-0.39	-0.02	0.48	0.23	-0.23
Total Liab	0.89	0.14	0.8	0.79	0.58	0.53		0.28	-0.01	0.41	0.18	0.86	0.69	0.97	-0.28	-0.58	0.49	0.08	0.64	-0.68	-0.34	0.8	0.27	-0.45	0.62	-0.09	-0.6
Total Current Assets	0.5	0.75	0.0	0.16	0.68	0.91	0.28		0.48	0.69	0.42	0.47	0.32	0.35	0.04	0.23	0.27	0.71	0.48	-0.7	0.03	0.37	-0.44	0.2	0.34	0.4	0.02
Short Term Debt	0.1	0.31	-0.02	0.14	0.32	0.41	-0.01	0.48		0.22	0.27	0.1	-0.02	0.0	-0.04	0.33	-0.08	0.29	0.3	-0.46	-0.03	-0.04	-0.23	-0.18	-0.31	-0.17	-0.03
Retained Earnings	0.71	0.93	0.41	0.61	0.76	0.84	0.41	0.69	0.22		0.76	0.46	0.29	0.61	-0.04	0.04	0.3	0.81	0.79	-0.69	-0.09	0.2	-0.23	0.06	0.48	0.16	-0.12
Common Stock	0.45	0.75	0.35	0.45	0.33	0.59	0.18	0.42	0.27	0.76		0.34	-0.19	0.34	-0.22	0.32	0.24	0.49	0.69	-0.36	-0.28	-0.1	-0.42	0.16	-0.04	0.14	0.19
Long Term Debt	0.81	0.25	0.62	0.53	0.57	0.69	0.86	0.47	0.1	0.46	0.34		0.55	0.83	-0.27	-0.41	0.49	0.19	0.7	-0.65	-0.27	0.86	-0.25	-0.4	0.49	-0.09	-0.5
Treasury Stock	0.61	0.11	0.44	0.51	0.74	0.48	0.69	0.32	-0.02	0.29	-0.19	0.55		0.68	0.18	-0.63	0.23	0.35	0.47	-0.55	0.18	0.82	0.22	-0.29	0.76	0.03	-0.59
Property Plant Equipment	0.95	0.35	0.83	0.87	0.68	0.63	0.97	0.35	0.0	0.61	0.34	0.83	0.68		-0.24	-0.54	0.51	0.29	0.77	-0.74	-0.33	0.73	0.21	-0.4	0.67	-0.05	-0.58
Intangible Assets	-0.22	0.17	0.01	-0.27	-0.1	0.04	-0.28	0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.22	-0.27	0.18	-0.24		-0.16	-0.21	0.16	-0.2	0.15	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.1	0.21	-0.05	-0.16
Short Term Investments	-0.32	0.22	-0.58	-0.44	-0.2	0.01	-0.58	0.23	0.33	0.04	0.32	-0.41	-0.63	-0.54	-0.16		-0.32	0.01	-0.32	0.23	0.16	-0.61	-0.29	0.65	-0.58	0.42	0.86
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.51	0.22	0.35	0.37	0.23	0.35	0.49	0.27	-0.08	0.3	0.24	0.49	0.23	0.51	-0.21	-0.32		0.17	0.39	-0.6	-0.21	0.38	-0.01	-0.18	0.22	-0.01	-0.22
Net Tangible Assets	0.35	0.84	0.04	0.32	0.74	0.72	0.08	0.71	0.29	0.81	0.49	0.19	0.35	0.29	0.16	0.01	0.17		0.65	-0.54	0.27	0.13	-0.37	0.12	0.44	0.23	-0.09
Long Term Debt Total	0.75	0.62	0.64	0.8	0.77	0.75	0.64	0.48	0.3	0.79	0.69	0.7	0.47	0.77	-0.2	-0.32	0.39	0.65		-0.73	-0.15	0.47	-0.22	-0.36	0.41	-0.11	-0.45
Capital Surpluse	-0.82	-0.56	-0.47	-0.66	-0.81	-0.81	-0.68	-0.7	-0.46	-0.69	-0.36	-0.65	-0.55	-0.74	0.15	0.23	-0.6	-0.54	-0.73		0.16	-0.53	0.01	0.38	-0.41	0.06	0.47
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.31	-0.12	-0.64	-0.31	0.23	-0.14	-0.34	0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.28	-0.27	0.18	-0.33	-0.13	0.16	-0.21	0.27	-0.15	0.16		-0.06	-0.12	0.31	0.01	0.11	0.31
Long Term Investments	0.66	0.01	0.49	0.37	0.56	0.53	0.8	0.37	-0.04	0.2	-0.1	0.86	0.82	0.73	-0.01	-0.61	0.38	0.13	0.47	-0.53	-0.06		-0.07	-0.39	0.65	-0.05	-0.6
Short Long Term Debt	0.1	-0.36	0.29	0.4	-0.07	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	-0.23	-0.23	-0.42	-0.25	0.22	0.21	-0.12	-0.29	-0.01	-0.37	-0.22	0.01	-0.12	-0.07		-0.11	0.18	0.0	-0.15
Cash And Equivalents	-0.3	0.25	-0.51	-0.41	-0.19	-0.02	-0.45	0.2	-0.18	0.06	0.16	-0.4	-0.29	-0.4	0.1	0.65	-0.18	0.12	-0.36	0.38	0.31	-0.39	-0.11		-0.07	0.72	0.87
Net Invested Capital	0.58	0.33	0.47	0.45	0.59	0.48	0.62	0.34	-0.31	0.48	-0.04	0.49	0.76	0.67	0.21	-0.58	0.22	0.44	0.41	-0.41	0.01	0.65	0.18	-0.07		0.12	-0.48
Net Working Capital	0.04	0.25	-0.31	-0.13	0.11	0.23	-0.09	0.4	-0.17	0.16	0.14	-0.09	0.03	-0.05	-0.05	0.42	-0.01	0.23	-0.11	0.06	0.11	-0.05	0.0	0.72	0.12		0.53
Capital Stock	-0.45	0.07	-0.62	-0.5	-0.37	-0.23	-0.6	0.02	-0.03	-0.12	0.19	-0.5	-0.59	-0.58	-0.16	0.86	-0.22	-0.09	-0.45	0.47	0.31	-0.6	-0.15	0.87	-0.48	0.53

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Peabody Energy

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Peabody Energy Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.85% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and significantly higher than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.

Peabody Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Peabody Energy's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Peabody Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Peabody Energy by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Peabody Energy is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Peabody Energy Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0871	(0.0288)	(0.4)	0.0728	0.23	0.13
Asset Turnover	0.71	0.62	0.67	0.89	0.83	0.46
Net Debt	631.4M	880.7M	210.7M	(962.5M)	(570.1M)	(541.6M)
Total Current Liabilities	975.3M	771.2M	914.5M	918.7M	979M	1.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.9B	2.9B	2.2B	1.4B	1.4B	1.3B
Total Assets	6.5B	4.7B	4.9B	5.6B	6.0B	9.4B
Total Current Assets	1.6B	1.4B	1.8B	2.4B	2.0B	1.9B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	677.4M	(9.7M)	420M	1.2B	1.8B	1.8B

Peabody Energy ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Peabody Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Peabody Energy's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Peabody Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.16
	Return On Asset	0.0631
	Profit Margin	0.12 %
	Operating Margin	0.12 %
	Current Valuation	2.99 B
	Shares Outstanding	121.5 M
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.69 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	15.7 M
	Price To Earning	4.58 X
	Price To Book	0.92 X
	Price To Sales	0.73 X
	Revenue	4.95 B
	Gross Profit	1.69 B
	EBITDA	1.56 B
	Net Income	760 M
	Cash And Equivalents	1.31 B
	Cash Per Share	7.79 X
	Total Debt	399.2 M
	Debt To Equity	0.47 %
	Current Ratio	2.28 X
	Book Value Per Share	29.98 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.76 B
	Short Ratio	7.45 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.79 X
	Target Price	29.4
	Number Of Employees	5.4 K
	Beta	0.98
	Market Capitalization	3.16 B
	Total Asset	5.96 B
	Retained Earnings	1.11 B
	Working Capital	1.04 B
	Current Asset	1.38 B
	Current Liabilities	7.39 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Net Asset	5.96 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.3

About Peabody Energy Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Peabody Energy Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Peabody Energy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Peabody Energy Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Peabody Stock Analysis

When running Peabody Energy's price analysis, check to measure Peabody Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peabody Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Peabody Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peabody Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peabody Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peabody Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Peabody Energy Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Peabody Energy Corp Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Peabody Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy

Peabody Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Peabody Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Peabody Energy Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Peabody Energy ESG Sustainability

Peabody Fundamentals

About Peabody Energy Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Peabody Stock Analysis

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