Ccl Industries Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
CCL-B Stock | CAD 74.85 0.23 0.31% |
CCL | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
CCL Industries Company probability of financial unrest Analysis
CCL Industries' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current CCL Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 8% |
Most of CCL Industries' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, CCL Industries is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of CCL Industries probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting CCL Industries odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of CCL Industries financial health.
CCL Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for CCL Industries is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of CCL Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since CCL Industries' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of CCL Industries' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of CCL Industries' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, CCL Industries has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 80.67% lower than that of the Containers & Packaging sector and 84.97% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.
CCL Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses CCL Industries' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of CCL Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CCL Industries by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.CCL Industries is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
CCL Industries Main Bankruptcy Drivers
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Return On Assets | 0.0678 | 0.0722 | 0.0785 | 0.0719 | 0.0594 | 0.0437 | |
Asset Turnover | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 1.0 | |
Net Debt | 1.7B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
Total Current Liabilities | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
Non Current Liabilities Total | 3.0B | 2.8B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 2.9B | 3.0B | |
Total Assets | 7.0B | 7.3B | 7.6B | 8.7B | 8.9B | 9.4B | |
Total Current Assets | 2.1B | 2.2B | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
Total Cash From Operating Activities | 779.5M | 882.9M | 838.7M | 992.8M | 1.0B | 1.1B |
CCL Industries ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, CCL Industries' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to CCL Industries' managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
CCL Fundamentals
Return On Equity | 0.14 | |||
Return On Asset | 0.0685 | |||
Profit Margin | 0.1 % | |||
Operating Margin | 0.15 % | |||
Current Valuation | 15.36 B | |||
Shares Outstanding | 165.84 M | |||
Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.28 % | |||
Shares Owned By Institutions | 38.73 % | |||
Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.16 M | |||
Price To Earning | 20.70 X | |||
Price To Book | 2.67 X | |||
Price To Sales | 1.88 X | |||
Revenue | 6.65 B | |||
Gross Profit | 1.72 B | |||
EBITDA | 1.25 B | |||
Net Income | 530.2 M | |||
Cash And Equivalents | 619.4 M | |||
Cash Per Share | 3.47 X | |||
Total Debt | 2.28 B | |||
Debt To Equity | 0.81 % | |||
Current Ratio | 1.83 X | |||
Book Value Per Share | 26.00 X | |||
Cash Flow From Operations | 1 B | |||
Short Ratio | 3.67 X | |||
Earnings Per Share | 3.89 X | |||
Target Price | 89.8 | |||
Number Of Employees | 25.7 K | |||
Beta | 0.57 | |||
Market Capitalization | 13.34 B | |||
Total Asset | 8.92 B | |||
Retained Earnings | 4.06 B | |||
Working Capital | 1.27 B | |||
Current Asset | 2.06 B | |||
Current Liabilities | 1.31 B | |||
Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
Five Year Return | 0.90 % | |||
Net Asset | 8.92 B | |||
Last Dividend Paid | 1.06 |
About CCL Industries Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CCL Industries's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CCL Industries using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CCL Industries based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with CCL Industries
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CCL Industries position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CCL Industries will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with CCL Stock
Moving against CCL Stock
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0.44 | L | Loblaw Companies | PairCorr |
0.43 | TRP | TC Energy Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to CCL Industries could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CCL Industries when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CCL Industries - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CCL Industries to buy it.
The correlation of CCL Industries is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CCL Industries moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CCL Industries moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CCL Industries can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for CCL Stock Analysis
When running CCL Industries' price analysis, check to measure CCL Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CCL Industries is operating at the current time. Most of CCL Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CCL Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CCL Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CCL Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.