Celestica Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| CLS Stock | CAD 116.70 5.28 4.33% |
Celestica | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Celestica Company odds of distress Analysis
Celestica's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Celestica Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 2% |
Most of Celestica's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Celestica is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Celestica probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Celestica odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Celestica financial health.
Celestica Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Celestica is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Celestica Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Celestica's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Celestica's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Celestica's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Celestica has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.06% lower than that of the Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector and 95.74% lower than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.
Celestica Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Celestica's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Celestica could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Celestica by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Celestica is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Celestica Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0197 | 0.0165 | 0.0223 | 0.0259 | 0.0415 | 0.0436 | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.65 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.29 | 1.35 | 2.0 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.0653 | 0.0761 | 0.0864 | 0.0878 | 0.0978 | 0.0555 | |
| Net Debt | 219.2M | 122.1M | 400.4M | 411.6M | 412.4M | 433.0M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.5B | 1.6B | 2.3B | 3.1B | 3.2B | 1.7B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 730.2M | 676.9M | 950.4M | 895.1M | 902.7M | 507.5M | |
| Total Assets | 3.6B | 3.7B | 4.7B | 5.6B | 5.9B | 4.3B | |
| Total Current Assets | 2.6B | 2.7B | 3.4B | 4.3B | 4.5B | 3.1B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 345M | 239.6M | 226.8M | 297.9M | 429.7M | 255.1M |
Celestica Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0551 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 14.96 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 116.36 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.01 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.90 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.17 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 33.41 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.47 X | ||||
| Revenue | 7.96 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 640.3 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 543.6 M | ||||
| Net Income | 244.6 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 10.5 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.50 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 782.8 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 15.39 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 429.7 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.61 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.45 X | ||||
| Target Price | 91.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 21.89 K | ||||
| Beta | 2.23 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 13.58 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.89 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (839.6 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.29 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.12 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.13 B | ||||
| Net Asset | 5.89 B |
About Celestica Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Celestica's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Celestica using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Celestica based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Celestica
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Celestica position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Celestica will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Celestica Stock
| 0.9 | JPM | JPMorgan Chase | PairCorr |
| 0.94 | BOFA | Bank of America | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | RY-PM | Royal Bank Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | RY-PS | Royal Bank Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Celestica could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Celestica when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Celestica - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Celestica to buy it.
The correlation of Celestica is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Celestica moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Celestica moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Celestica can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Celestica. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. To learn how to invest in Celestica Stock, please use our How to Invest in Celestica guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.