Conduent Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CNDT Stock

USD 3.83 0.02 0.52%

Conduent's odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Conduent's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Conduent balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Conduent Piotroski F Score and Conduent Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Conduent Stock please use our How to Invest in Conduent guide.

Conduent Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Conduent's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 42%

Most of Conduent's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Conduent is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Conduent probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Conduent odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Conduent financial health.

Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Conduent. If investors know Conduent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Conduent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.5

Earnings Share

2.23

Revenue Per Share

17.984

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.13)

Return On Assets

(0.0002)

The market value of Conduent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Conduent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Conduent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Conduent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Conduent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Conduent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Conduent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Conduent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Conduent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Conduent is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Conduent Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Conduent's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Conduent's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Conduent's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Retained Earnings	Long Term Debt Total	Total Permanent Equity	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Long Term Investments	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	-0.86	0.95	-0.76	0.59	-0.77	0.98	0.96	0.88	0.97	0.47	0.91	0.68	0.98	0.9	-0.75	0.97	-0.82	-0.8	-0.61	-0.4	0.92	0.37	0.88	-0.3
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		-0.87	0.94	-0.78	0.64	-0.76	0.97	0.99	0.82	0.94	0.56	0.88	0.62	0.97	0.9	-0.75	0.98	-0.82	-0.8	-0.64	-0.37	0.94	0.47	0.9	-0.29
Net Tangible Assets	-0.86	-0.87		-0.8	0.59	-0.52	0.56	-0.83	-0.88	-0.79	-0.83	-0.42	-0.72	-0.35	-0.85	-0.71	0.48	-0.82	0.62	0.73	0.57	0.32	-0.87	-0.4	-0.83	0.19
Current Deferred Revenue	0.95	0.94	-0.8		-0.71	0.53	-0.75	0.97	0.93	0.92	0.93	0.56	0.8	0.61	0.96	0.88	-0.76	0.94	-0.8	-0.8	-0.57	-0.47	0.89	0.35	0.88	-0.36
Net Debt	-0.76	-0.78	0.59	-0.71		-0.89	0.97	-0.8	-0.7	-0.64	-0.68	-0.68	-0.68	-0.64	-0.82	-0.94	0.42	-0.88	0.96	0.53	0.31	0.58	-0.55	-0.19	-0.58	0.22
Accounts Payable	0.59	0.64	-0.52	0.53	-0.89		-0.85	0.64	0.6	0.49	0.53	0.6	0.47	0.5	0.64	0.78	-0.25	0.73	-0.85	-0.59	-0.47	-0.49	0.41	0.44	0.37	-0.09
Long Term Debt	-0.77	-0.76	0.56	-0.75	0.97	-0.85		-0.82	-0.68	-0.71	-0.72	-0.62	-0.71	-0.74	-0.84	-0.97	0.38	-0.88	0.99	0.55	0.31	0.63	-0.51	-0.2	-0.57	0.17
Net Receivables	0.98	0.97	-0.83	0.97	-0.8	0.64	-0.82		0.95	0.91	0.95	0.55	0.87	0.69	0.98	0.94	-0.72	0.98	-0.87	-0.81	-0.6	-0.53	0.88	0.4	0.9	-0.23
Good Will	0.96	0.99	-0.88	0.93	-0.7	0.6	-0.68	0.95		0.81	0.91	0.55	0.82	0.53	0.94	0.83	-0.78	0.94	-0.75	-0.84	-0.7	-0.33	0.97	0.53	0.89	-0.27
Short Term Investments	0.88	0.82	-0.79	0.92	-0.64	0.49	-0.71	0.91	0.81		0.9	0.33	0.77	0.65	0.9	0.82	-0.62	0.83	-0.75	-0.74	-0.46	-0.66	0.76	0.18	0.79	-0.26
Total Liab	0.97	0.94	-0.83	0.93	-0.68	0.53	-0.72	0.95	0.91	0.9		0.3	0.94	0.77	0.96	0.86	-0.69	0.92	-0.78	-0.8	-0.63	-0.38	0.87	0.42	0.83	-0.26
Short Long Term Debt	0.47	0.56	-0.42	0.56	-0.68	0.6	-0.62	0.55	0.55	0.33	0.3		0.19	0.03	0.52	0.63	-0.39	0.63	-0.63	-0.45	-0.31	-0.33	0.46	0.21	0.48	-0.16
Total Current Assets	0.91	0.88	-0.72	0.8	-0.68	0.47	-0.71	0.87	0.82	0.77	0.94	0.19		0.84	0.9	0.82	-0.62	0.87	-0.75	-0.63	-0.49	-0.29	0.78	0.35	0.8	-0.23
Short Term Debt	0.68	0.62	-0.35	0.61	-0.64	0.5	-0.74	0.69	0.53	0.65	0.77	0.03	0.84		0.71	0.75	-0.41	0.68	-0.75	-0.46	-0.31	-0.42	0.41	0.23	0.46	-0.11
Intangible Assets	0.98	0.97	-0.85	0.96	-0.82	0.64	-0.84	0.98	0.94	0.9	0.96	0.52	0.9	0.71		0.95	-0.67	0.98	-0.88	-0.75	-0.54	-0.47	0.87	0.36	0.87	-0.32
Common Stock	0.9	0.9	-0.71	0.88	-0.94	0.78	-0.97	0.94	0.83	0.82	0.86	0.63	0.82	0.75	0.95		-0.54	0.97	-0.98	-0.69	-0.46	-0.56	0.7	0.3	0.74	-0.22
Property Plant Equipment	-0.75	-0.75	0.48	-0.76	0.42	-0.25	0.38	-0.72	-0.78	-0.62	-0.69	-0.39	-0.62	-0.41	-0.67	-0.54		-0.68	0.45	0.64	0.55	0.26	-0.83	-0.29	-0.76	0.37
Retained Earnings	0.97	0.98	-0.82	0.94	-0.88	0.73	-0.88	0.98	0.94	0.83	0.92	0.63	0.87	0.68	0.98	0.97	-0.68		-0.92	-0.77	-0.58	-0.46	0.86	0.4	0.85	-0.26
Long Term Debt Total	-0.82	-0.82	0.62	-0.8	0.96	-0.85	0.99	-0.87	-0.75	-0.75	-0.78	-0.63	-0.75	-0.75	-0.88	-0.98	0.45	-0.92		0.65	0.44	0.57	-0.59	-0.28	-0.61	0.17
Total Permanent Equity	-0.8	-0.8	0.73	-0.8	0.53	-0.59	0.55	-0.81	-0.84	-0.74	-0.8	-0.45	-0.63	-0.46	-0.75	-0.69	0.64	-0.77	0.65		0.93	0.25	-0.79	-0.67	-0.66	0.08
Capital Surpluse	-0.61	-0.64	0.57	-0.57	0.31	-0.47	0.31	-0.6	-0.7	-0.46	-0.63	-0.31	-0.49	-0.31	-0.54	-0.46	0.55	-0.58	0.44	0.93		-0.07	-0.69	-0.82	-0.48	-0.01
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.4	-0.37	0.32	-0.47	0.58	-0.49	0.63	-0.53	-0.33	-0.66	-0.38	-0.33	-0.29	-0.42	-0.47	-0.56	0.26	-0.46	0.57	0.25	-0.07		-0.2	0.17	-0.41	-0.07
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.94	-0.87	0.89	-0.55	0.41	-0.51	0.88	0.97	0.76	0.87	0.46	0.78	0.41	0.87	0.7	-0.83	0.86	-0.59	-0.79	-0.69	-0.2		0.47	0.91	-0.31
Long Term Investments	0.37	0.47	-0.4	0.35	-0.19	0.44	-0.2	0.4	0.53	0.18	0.42	0.21	0.35	0.23	0.36	0.3	-0.29	0.4	-0.28	-0.67	-0.82	0.17	0.47		0.36	0.1
Net Working Capital	0.88	0.9	-0.83	0.88	-0.58	0.37	-0.57	0.9	0.89	0.79	0.83	0.48	0.8	0.46	0.87	0.74	-0.76	0.85	-0.61	-0.66	-0.48	-0.41	0.91	0.36		-0.26
Capital Stock	-0.3	-0.29	0.19	-0.36	0.22	-0.09	0.17	-0.23	-0.27	-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.23	-0.11	-0.32	-0.22	0.37	-0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.31	0.1	-0.26

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Conduent

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Conduent has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This is 3.81% higher than that of the Professional Services sector and 30.43% higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.

Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Conduent's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Conduent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Conduent by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Conduent is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Conduent Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.43)	(0.0277)	(0.006938)	(0.051)	(0.0936)	(0.0983)
Asset Turnover	0.99	0.98	1.03	1.08	1.18	0.73
Net Debt	1.2B	1.3B	1.2B	890M	995M	1.0B
Total Current Liabilities	1.2B	1.1B	1.0B	923M	868M	1.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.0B	2.0B	1.9B	1.7B	1.5B	1.6B
Total Assets	4.5B	4.3B	4.0B	3.6B	3.2B	4.9B
Total Current Assets	1.6B	1.6B	1.7B	1.6B	1.7B	1.6B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	132M	161M	243M	144M	89M	84.6M

Conduent ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Conduent's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Conduent's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Conduent Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.5
	Return On Asset	-2.0E-4
	Profit Margin	0.13 %
	Operating Margin	(0.01) %
	Current Valuation	1.16 B
	Shares Outstanding	159.89 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	8.08 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	75.27 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.33 M
	Price To Earning	8.61 X
	Price To Book	0.70 X
	Price To Sales	0.18 X
	Revenue	3.72 B
	Gross Profit	840 M
	EBITDA	43 M
	Net Income	(296 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	519 M
	Cash Per Share	2.40 X
	Total Debt	1.49 B
	Debt To Equity	1.13 %
	Current Ratio	1.78 X
	Book Value Per Share	5.49 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	89 M
	Short Ratio	2.64 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.23 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	4.44 X
	Target Price	7.0
	Number Of Employees	55 K
	Beta	1.49
	Market Capitalization	615.58 M
	Total Asset	3.16 B
	Retained Earnings	(2.85 B)
	Working Capital	787 M
	Current Asset	2.53 B
	Current Liabilities	2.87 B
	Net Asset	3.16 B

About Conduent Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Conduent's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Conduent using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Conduent based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Conduent Stock Analysis

When running Conduent's price analysis, check to measure Conduent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Conduent is operating at the current time. Most of Conduent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Conduent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Conduent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Conduent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Conduent Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Conduent Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy

Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Conduent Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Conduent Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Conduent ESG Sustainability

Conduent Fundamentals

About Conduent Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Conduent Stock Analysis

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