Canadian Pacific Railway Stock Beneish M Score

CP Stock  CAD 107.11  0.81  0.76%   
This module uses fundamental data of Canadian Pacific to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Canadian Pacific M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Canadian Pacific Railway. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
At this time, Canadian Pacific's Long Term Debt To Capitalization is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of December 2024, Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.37, while Long Term Debt is likely to drop about 11.5 B. At this time, Canadian Pacific's EV To Sales is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of December 2024, Free Cash Flow Per Share is likely to grow to 1.85, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01.
At this time, Canadian Pacific's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Canadian Pacific's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Canadian Pacific executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Canadian Pacific's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.24
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.13

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.58

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.16

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.58

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Canadian Pacific Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Canadian Pacific's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net ReceivablesB1.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue13.2 B12.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets84.4 B80.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets3.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total81.3 B77.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment20.3 B26 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.2 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB5.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total33.9 B32.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt23.5 B22.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.4 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt11.5 B19.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income4.6 B4.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities4.3 B4.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments506.4 M533 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.590.5078
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Canadian Pacific Railway Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Canadian Pacific's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Canadian Pacific in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Canadian Pacific's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Canadian Pacific Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.62 Billion

At this time, Canadian Pacific's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Canadian Pacific Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Canadian Pacific. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables805M825M819M1.0B1.9B2.0B
Total Revenue7.8B7.7B8.0B8.8B12.6B13.2B
Total Assets22.4B23.6B68.2B73.5B80.4B84.4B
Total Current Assets1.2B1.3B1.4B1.9B3.0B3.2B
Net Debt8.6B9.6B20.1B19.2B22.4B23.5B
Short Term Debt668M1.2B1.6B1.6B3.2B3.4B
Long Term Debt8.0B8.6B18.6B18.1B19.4B11.5B
Operating Income3.1B3.3B3.2B4.8B4.4B4.6B
Investments(1.8B)(2.0B)(12.3B)(1.5B)(2.3B)(2.4B)

Canadian Pacific ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Canadian Pacific's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Canadian Pacific's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Canadian Pacific Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Canadian Pacific Railway's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Canadian Pacific using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canadian Pacific Railway based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Canadian Pacific

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Canadian Pacific position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Canadian Pacific will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Canadian Pacific could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Canadian Pacific when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Canadian Pacific - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Canadian Pacific Railway to buy it.
The correlation of Canadian Pacific is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Canadian Pacific moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Canadian Pacific Railway moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Canadian Pacific can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Canadian Pacific Railway is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Canadian Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Canadian Pacific Railway Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Canadian Pacific Railway Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Canadian Pacific Railway. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canadian Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canadian Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canadian Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.