California Water Service Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CWT Stock

USD 50.54 0.65 1.27%

California Water's odds of distress is under 35% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate California Water's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the California balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out California Water Piotroski F Score and California Water Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 720.6 M in 2024, whereas Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 570 M in 2024.

California Water Service Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

California Water's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current California Water Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 35%

Most of California Water's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, California Water Service is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of California Water probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting California Water odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of California Water Service financial health.

Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of California Water. If investors know California will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about California Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.725

Dividend Share

1.1

Earnings Share

3.46

Revenue Per Share

17.691

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.175

The market value of California Water Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of California that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of California Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is California Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because California Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect California Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between California Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if California Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, California Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

California Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for California Water is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of California Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since California Water's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of California Water's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of California Water's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Intangible Assets	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.97	-0.38	0.97	0.76	0.98	0.58	0.99	0.95	0.43	-0.57	0.8	-0.13	0.7	0.81	0.72	0.53	0.9	0.61	0.82	0.5	0.68	0.85	0.59	0.85
Total Stockholder Equity	0.97		-0.4	0.93	0.75	0.96	0.5	0.94	0.94	0.26	-0.47	0.8	-0.25	0.66	0.88	0.75	0.57	0.97	0.65	0.77	0.37	0.66	0.91	0.68	0.92
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.38	-0.4		-0.53	-0.48	-0.52	-0.07	-0.37	-0.39	-0.18	-0.28	-0.56	-0.06	-0.57	-0.54	-0.33	-0.76	-0.42	-0.04	-0.61	-0.41	-0.38	-0.59	-0.53	-0.43
Net Debt	0.97	0.93	-0.53		0.8	0.98	0.58	0.98	0.95	0.52	-0.53	0.83	-0.01	0.8	0.82	0.68	0.61	0.84	0.54	0.85	0.61	0.66	0.85	0.57	0.79
Retained Earnings	0.76	0.75	-0.48	0.8		0.81	0.8	0.75	0.81	0.32	-0.54	0.64	0.19	0.85	0.66	0.79	0.6	0.63	0.66	0.73	0.46	0.63	0.76	0.64	0.57
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.96	-0.52	0.98	0.81		0.57	0.97	0.97	0.43	-0.48	0.8	-0.04	0.76	0.86	0.74	0.59	0.89	0.59	0.87	0.56	0.73	0.88	0.64	0.84
Net Receivables	0.58	0.5	-0.07	0.58	0.8	0.57		0.62	0.59	0.32	-0.83	0.36	0.42	0.71	0.2	0.62	0.2	0.29	0.5	0.56	0.37	0.47	0.34	0.4	0.19
Total Liab	0.99	0.94	-0.37	0.98	0.75	0.97	0.62		0.94	0.5	-0.61	0.78	-0.07	0.71	0.76	0.7	0.51	0.85	0.58	0.83	0.56	0.67	0.81	0.53	0.79
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.94	-0.39	0.95	0.81	0.97	0.59	0.94		0.44	-0.54	0.78	-0.03	0.75	0.85	0.7	0.55	0.86	0.58	0.78	0.52	0.78	0.85	0.64	0.81
Short Term Debt	0.43	0.26	-0.18	0.52	0.32	0.43	0.32	0.5	0.44		-0.33	0.17	0.26	0.29	0.18	0.27	0.05	0.14	0.13	0.5	0.94	0.38	0.18	-0.28	0.08
Common Stock	-0.57	-0.47	-0.28	-0.53	-0.54	-0.48	-0.83	-0.61	-0.54	-0.33		-0.32	-0.31	-0.57	-0.17	-0.39	0.05	-0.26	-0.44	-0.36	-0.24	-0.24	-0.2	-0.17	-0.17
Long Term Debt	0.8	0.8	-0.56	0.83	0.64	0.8	0.36	0.78	0.78	0.17	-0.32		-0.17	0.79	0.81	0.33	0.86	0.77	0.35	0.54	0.23	0.48	0.85	0.71	0.8
Property Plant Equipment	-0.13	-0.25	-0.06	-0.01	0.19	-0.04	0.42	-0.07	-0.03	0.26	-0.31	-0.17		0.34	-0.28	-0.12	-0.2	-0.43	-0.08	0.11	0.3	0.02	-0.32	-0.11	-0.52
Intangible Assets	0.7	0.66	-0.57	0.8	0.85	0.76	0.71	0.71	0.75	0.29	-0.57	0.79	0.34		0.61	0.46	0.66	0.51	0.38	0.63	0.4	0.45	0.66	0.64	0.47
Good Will	0.81	0.88	-0.54	0.82	0.66	0.86	0.2	0.76	0.85	0.18	-0.17	0.81	-0.28	0.61		0.59	0.71	0.91	0.5	0.61	0.31	0.59	0.95	0.63	0.93
Net Tangible Assets	0.72	0.75	-0.33	0.68	0.79	0.74	0.62	0.7	0.7	0.27	-0.39	0.33	-0.12	0.46	0.59		0.3	0.7	0.63	0.77	0.44	0.62	0.69	0.46	0.62
Long Term Debt Total	0.53	0.57	-0.76	0.61	0.6	0.59	0.2	0.51	0.55	0.05	0.05	0.86	-0.2	0.66	0.71	0.3		0.59	0.16	0.42	0.17	0.42	0.81	0.68	0.68
Capital Surpluse	0.9	0.97	-0.42	0.84	0.63	0.89	0.29	0.85	0.86	0.14	-0.26	0.77	-0.43	0.51	0.91	0.7	0.59		0.6	0.68	0.26	0.63	0.93	0.67	0.98
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.61	0.65	-0.04	0.54	0.66	0.59	0.5	0.58	0.58	0.13	-0.44	0.35	-0.08	0.38	0.5	0.63	0.16	0.6		0.45	0.18	0.27	0.56	0.35	0.51
Short Term Investments	0.82	0.77	-0.61	0.85	0.73	0.87	0.56	0.83	0.78	0.5	-0.36	0.54	0.11	0.63	0.61	0.77	0.42	0.68	0.45		0.68	0.73	0.66	0.51	0.59
Short Long Term Debt	0.5	0.37	-0.41	0.61	0.46	0.56	0.37	0.56	0.52	0.94	-0.24	0.23	0.3	0.4	0.31	0.44	0.17	0.26	0.18	0.68		0.54	0.31	-0.09	0.18
Cash And Equivalents	0.68	0.66	-0.38	0.66	0.63	0.73	0.47	0.67	0.78	0.38	-0.24	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.59	0.62	0.42	0.63	0.27	0.73	0.54		0.61	0.57	0.59
Net Invested Capital	0.85	0.91	-0.59	0.85	0.76	0.88	0.34	0.81	0.85	0.18	-0.2	0.85	-0.32	0.66	0.95	0.69	0.81	0.93	0.56	0.66	0.31	0.61		0.69	0.94
Net Working Capital	0.59	0.68	-0.53	0.57	0.64	0.64	0.4	0.53	0.64	-0.28	-0.17	0.71	-0.11	0.64	0.63	0.46	0.68	0.67	0.35	0.51	-0.09	0.57	0.69		0.67
Capital Stock	0.85	0.92	-0.43	0.79	0.57	0.84	0.19	0.79	0.81	0.08	-0.17	0.8	-0.52	0.47	0.93	0.62	0.68	0.98	0.51	0.59	0.18	0.59	0.94	0.67

Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict California Water

Based on the latest financial disclosure, California Water Service has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 35.0%. This is 26.04% lower than that of the Water Utilities sector and significantly higher than that of the Utilities industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 12.13% higher than that of the company.

California Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses California Water's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of California Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing California Water by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

California Water is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

California Water Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	941.1M	1.1B	1.0B	1.1B	1.2B	1.3B
Total Current Liabilities	358.7M	588.7M	256.6M	294.7M	430.3M	451.9M
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.0B	1.9B	2.2B	2.2B	2.7B	2.9B
Total Assets	3.1B	3.4B	3.6B	3.9B	4.6B	4.8B
Total Current Assets	184.7M	266.0M	300.5M	295.5M	296.3M	311.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	168.8M	117.9M	231.7M	243.8M	217.8M	228.7M

California Water ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, California Water's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to California Water's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

California Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.13
	Return On Asset	0.0375
	Profit Margin	0.20 %
	Operating Margin	0.29 %
	Current Valuation	4.3 B
	Shares Outstanding	59.47 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.70 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	88.17 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	646.56 K
	Price To Earning	27.53 X
	Price To Book	1.87 X
	Price To Sales	2.96 X
	Revenue	794.63 M
	Gross Profit	429.45 M
	EBITDA	217.54 M
	Net Income	51.91 M
	Cash And Equivalents	62.1 M
	Cash Per Share	1.66 X
	Total Debt	1.25 B
	Debt To Equity	0.88 %
	Current Ratio	1.05 X
	Book Value Per Share	27.38 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	217.82 M
	Short Ratio	2.20 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.46 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.70 X
	Target Price	58.0
	Number Of Employees	1.27 K
	Beta	0.49
	Market Capitalization	3.04 B
	Total Asset	4.6 B
	Retained Earnings	549.57 M
	Working Capital	(134.05 M)
	Current Asset	127.58 M
	Current Liabilities	147.9 M
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.63 %
	Net Asset	4.6 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.1

About California Water Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze California Water Service's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of California Water using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of California Water Service based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.

Explore Investing Ideas

Additional Tools for California Stock Analysis

When running California Water's price analysis, check to measure California Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy California Water is operating at the current time. Most of California Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of California Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move California Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of California Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

California Water Service Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

California Water Service Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current California Water Probability Of Bankruptcy

California Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

California Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

California Water Main Bankruptcy Drivers

California Water ESG Sustainability

California Fundamentals

About California Water Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for California Stock Analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY