Elbit Systems Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ESLT Stock

USD 248.67 0.94 0.38%

Elbit Systems' threat of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Elbit Systems' chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Elbit balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Elbit Systems Piotroski F Score and Elbit Systems Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Elbit Stock please use our How to Invest in Elbit Systems guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 10 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 11.3 B in 2024

Elbit Systems Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Elbit Systems' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Elbit Systems Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Elbit Systems' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Elbit Systems is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Elbit Systems probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Elbit Systems odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Elbit Systems financial health.

Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Elbit Systems. If investors know Elbit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Elbit Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.257

Earnings Share

5.84

Revenue Per Share

141.943

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.118

Return On Assets

0.0253

The market value of Elbit Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Elbit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Elbit Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Elbit Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Elbit Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Elbit Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Elbit Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elbit Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elbit Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Elbit Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Elbit Systems is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Elbit Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Elbit Systems' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Elbit Systems' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Elbit Systems' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.95	0.98	0.98	0.98	1.0	1.0	0.79	0.69	0.46	0.99	-0.51	0.79	0.97	0.94	-0.44	0.36	0.57	-0.13	0.29	0.42	0.8	0.91	0.65	0.73
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.9	1.0	0.98	0.98	0.97	0.99	0.82	0.7	0.35	0.96	-0.55	0.7	0.94	0.92	-0.43	0.5	0.51	-0.18	0.23	0.3	0.76	0.88	0.61	0.73
Net Debt	0.95	0.9		0.87	0.92	0.9	0.96	0.94	0.78	0.57	0.51	0.95	-0.34	0.84	0.98	0.92	-0.4	0.17	0.56	0.09	0.44	0.54	0.84	0.93	0.68	0.77
Retained Earnings	0.98	1.0	0.87		0.98	0.98	0.96	0.98	0.8	0.7	0.34	0.96	-0.58	0.68	0.92	0.9	-0.44	0.51	0.51	-0.23	0.21	0.29	0.75	0.87	0.59	0.71
Accounts Payable	0.98	0.98	0.92	0.98		0.98	0.97	0.98	0.86	0.6	0.28	0.97	-0.43	0.71	0.96	0.91	-0.53	0.45	0.52	-0.1	0.33	0.36	0.8	0.91	0.59	0.76
Net Receivables	0.98	0.98	0.9	0.98	0.98		0.98	0.98	0.77	0.65	0.37	0.99	-0.52	0.75	0.94	0.91	-0.52	0.41	0.6	-0.22	0.26	0.35	0.81	0.9	0.64	0.7
Total Liab	1.0	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.98		0.99	0.77	0.68	0.5	0.99	-0.48	0.82	0.97	0.94	-0.44	0.3	0.59	-0.11	0.31	0.46	0.81	0.92	0.66	0.73
Total Current Assets	1.0	0.99	0.94	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.99		0.81	0.67	0.41	0.98	-0.49	0.76	0.97	0.95	-0.43	0.42	0.54	-0.13	0.28	0.38	0.79	0.92	0.67	0.76
Short Term Debt	0.79	0.82	0.78	0.8	0.86	0.77	0.77	0.81		0.44	-0.07	0.78	-0.23	0.43	0.84	0.72	-0.45	0.46	0.13	0.24	0.33	0.28	0.64	0.76	0.3	0.8
Common Stock	0.69	0.7	0.57	0.7	0.6	0.65	0.68	0.67	0.44		0.55	0.63	-0.81	0.43	0.54	0.49	0.08	0.28	0.22	-0.32	-0.02	0.08	0.36	0.39	0.26	0.31
Long Term Debt	0.46	0.35	0.51	0.34	0.28	0.37	0.5	0.41	-0.07	0.55		0.44	-0.41	0.69	0.37	0.45	0.17	-0.34	0.56	-0.19	0.16	0.49	0.31	0.37	0.5	0.11
Good Will	0.99	0.96	0.95	0.96	0.97	0.99	0.99	0.98	0.78	0.63	0.44		-0.47	0.82	0.97	0.92	-0.52	0.3	0.62	-0.15	0.27	0.45	0.84	0.92	0.65	0.72
Treasury Stock	-0.51	-0.55	-0.34	-0.58	-0.43	-0.52	-0.48	-0.49	-0.23	-0.81	-0.41	-0.47		-0.21	-0.33	-0.3	-0.23	-0.28	-0.16	0.52	0.14	0.01	-0.25	-0.23	-0.13	-0.1
Intangible Assets	0.79	0.7	0.84	0.68	0.71	0.75	0.82	0.76	0.43	0.43	0.69	0.82	-0.21		0.8	0.82	-0.46	0.02	0.7	-0.06	0.4	0.63	0.84	0.86	0.71	0.39
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.94	0.98	0.92	0.96	0.94	0.97	0.97	0.84	0.54	0.37	0.97	-0.33	0.8		0.95	-0.5	0.32	0.54	0.04	0.36	0.45	0.86	0.96	0.69	0.81
Current Deferred Revenue	0.94	0.92	0.92	0.9	0.91	0.91	0.94	0.95	0.72	0.49	0.45	0.92	-0.3	0.82	0.95		-0.46	0.37	0.6	-0.03	0.33	0.47	0.78	0.96	0.75	0.76
Short Term Investments	-0.44	-0.43	-0.4	-0.44	-0.53	-0.52	-0.44	-0.43	-0.45	0.08	0.17	-0.52	-0.23	-0.46	-0.5	-0.46		-0.25	-0.54	-0.03	-0.08	-0.14	-0.53	-0.54	-0.36	-0.38
Net Tangible Assets	0.36	0.5	0.17	0.51	0.45	0.41	0.3	0.42	0.46	0.28	-0.34	0.3	-0.28	0.02	0.32	0.37	-0.25		-0.06	-0.19	0.11	-0.34	0.26	0.34	0.16	0.21
Long Term Investments	0.57	0.51	0.56	0.51	0.52	0.6	0.59	0.54	0.13	0.22	0.56	0.62	-0.16	0.7	0.54	0.6	-0.54	-0.06		-0.24	0.19	0.17	0.48	0.57	0.7	0.38
Short Long Term Debt	-0.13	-0.18	0.09	-0.23	-0.1	-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	0.24	-0.32	-0.19	-0.15	0.52	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.19	-0.24		0.43	0.17	-0.04	0.02	-0.15	0.24
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.29	0.23	0.44	0.21	0.33	0.26	0.31	0.28	0.33	-0.02	0.16	0.27	0.14	0.4	0.36	0.33	-0.08	0.11	0.19	0.43		0.35	0.43	0.43	0.2	0.17
Long Term Debt Total	0.42	0.3	0.54	0.29	0.36	0.35	0.46	0.38	0.28	0.08	0.49	0.45	0.01	0.63	0.45	0.47	-0.14	-0.34	0.17	0.17	0.35		0.5	0.54	0.17	0.21
Capital Surpluse	0.8	0.76	0.84	0.75	0.8	0.81	0.81	0.79	0.64	0.36	0.31	0.84	-0.25	0.84	0.86	0.78	-0.53	0.26	0.48	-0.04	0.43	0.5		0.9	0.67	0.47
Net Invested Capital	0.91	0.88	0.93	0.87	0.91	0.9	0.92	0.92	0.76	0.39	0.37	0.92	-0.23	0.86	0.96	0.96	-0.54	0.34	0.57	0.02	0.43	0.54	0.9		0.72	0.69
Net Working Capital	0.65	0.61	0.68	0.59	0.59	0.64	0.66	0.67	0.3	0.26	0.5	0.65	-0.13	0.71	0.69	0.75	-0.36	0.16	0.7	-0.15	0.2	0.17	0.67	0.72		0.52
Capital Stock	0.73	0.73	0.77	0.71	0.76	0.7	0.73	0.76	0.8	0.31	0.11	0.72	-0.1	0.39	0.81	0.76	-0.38	0.21	0.38	0.24	0.17	0.21	0.47	0.69	0.52

Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Elbit Systems

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Elbit Systems has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 88.26% lower than that of the Aerospace & Defense sector and 86.18% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

Elbit Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Elbit Systems' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Elbit Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elbit Systems by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Elbit Systems is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Elbit Systems Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0311	0.0295	0.0294	0.0299	0.0221	0.021
Asset Turnover	0.72	0.57	0.61	0.58	0.6	0.88
Net Debt	1.0B	924.4M	1.2B	1.1B	1.3B	1.3B
Total Current Liabilities	3.2B	3.6B	4.0B	4.3B	4.8B	5.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.0B	2.2B	2.7B	2.2B	2.0B	1.1B
Total Assets	7.3B	8.1B	9.3B	9.2B	9.7B	10.1B
Total Current Assets	3.7B	4.3B	5.0B	5.0B	5.5B	5.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(53.3M)	278.8M	416.9M	240.1M	113.7M	167.0M

Elbit Systems ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Elbit Systems' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Elbit Systems' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Elbit Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0837
	Return On Asset	0.0253
	Profit Margin	0.04 %
	Operating Margin	0.07 %
	Current Valuation	12.59 B
	Shares Outstanding	44.48 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	44.02 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	19.55 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	54.92 K
	Price To Earning	35.29 X
	Price To Book	3.60 X
	Price To Sales	1.77 X
	Revenue	6.07 B
	Gross Profit	1.37 B
	EBITDA	544.81 M
	Net Income	218.51 M
	Cash And Equivalents	248.38 M
	Cash Per Share	5.60 X
	Total Debt	1.47 B
	Debt To Equity	0.59 %
	Current Ratio	1.17 X
	Book Value Per Share	66.31 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	113.71 M
	Short Ratio	2.18 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.84 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.21 X
	Target Price	242.0
	Number Of Employees	20 K
	Beta	-0.16
	Market Capitalization	11.15 B
	Total Asset	9.66 B
	Retained Earnings	2.49 B
	Working Capital	684.23 M
	Current Asset	2.28 B
	Current Liabilities	1.64 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	1.22 %
	Net Asset	9.66 B

About Elbit Systems Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Elbit Systems's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Elbit Systems using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Elbit Systems based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.

Explore Investing Ideas

Additional Tools for Elbit Stock Analysis

When running Elbit Systems' price analysis, check to measure Elbit Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elbit Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Elbit Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elbit Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elbit Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elbit Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

Elbit Systems Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Elbit Systems Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Elbit Systems Probability Of Bankruptcy

Elbit Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Elbit Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Elbit Systems Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Elbit Systems ESG Sustainability

Elbit Fundamentals

About Elbit Systems Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Elbit Stock Analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY