Fedex Stock Beneish M Score

FDX Stock  USD 305.15  5.18  1.73%   
This module uses fundamental data of FedEx to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. FedEx M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out FedEx Piotroski F Score and FedEx Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy FedEx Stock please use our How to Invest in FedEx guide.
  
At this time, FedEx's Short and Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to rise to about 32.8 B in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 12.8 B in 2024. At this time, FedEx's Capex To Revenue is fairly stable compared to the past year. Cash Per Share is likely to rise to 27.52 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.57 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that FedEx is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if FedEx's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by FedEx executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of FedEx's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
1.86
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

12.36

Focus
Asset Quality

0.81

Focus
Expense Coverage

31.43

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.97

Focus
Accruals Factor

31.43

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.0849

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

FedEx Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if FedEx's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables10.6 B10.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue7.4 B87.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets91.4 B87 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets19.1 B18.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total72.2 B68.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment49.1 B46.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization4.5 B4.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.9 B722 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities14 B13.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total48.4 B46.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt5.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt21.1 B20.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income3.1 B5.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.5 B8.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.210.2161
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

FedEx Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between FedEx's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards FedEx in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find FedEx's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About FedEx Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

82.13 Billion

At this time, FedEx's Other Operating Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year.

FedEx Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as FedEx. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables10.1B12.1B11.9B10.2B10.1B10.6B
Total Revenue69.7B69.2B84.0B93.5B90.2B87.7B
Total Assets73.5B82.8B86.0B87.1B87.0B91.4B
Total Current Assets16.4B20.6B20.4B18.6B18.2B19.1B
Net Debt31.2B29.4B30.3B31.5B31.2B32.8B
Short Term Debt2.0B4.7B5B4.9B5.0B5.2B
Long Term Debt21.5B20.7B20.2B20.5B20.1B21.1B
Operating Income4.5B3.3B5.9B6.2B4.9B5.6B
Investments(5.5B)(5.8B)(6.0B)(147M)(6.2B)(5.2B)

FedEx ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, FedEx's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to FedEx's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About FedEx Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FedEx's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FedEx using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.