Firstservice Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FSV Stock

USD 192.48 0.49 0.26%

FirstService Corp's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. FirstService Corp's Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting FirstService Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the FirstService balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out FirstService Corp Piotroski F Score and FirstService Corp Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy FirstService Stock please use our How to Invest in FirstService Corp guide.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 3.3 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 3.7 B in 2024

FirstService Corp Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

FirstService Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current FirstService Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of FirstService Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, FirstService Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of FirstService Corp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting FirstService Corp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of FirstService Corp financial health.

Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FirstService Corp. If investors know FirstService will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FirstService Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.836

Dividend Share

0.975

Earnings Share

2.4

Revenue Per Share

109.865

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.25

The market value of FirstService Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FirstService that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FirstService Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FirstService Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FirstService Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FirstService Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between FirstService Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FirstService Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FirstService Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FirstService Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for FirstService Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of FirstService Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since FirstService Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of FirstService Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of FirstService Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.97	0.97	-0.02	0.18	0.99	1.0	0.99	1.0	0.4	0.59	0.93	-0.59	0.94	0.37	-0.14	0.96	-0.59	-0.63	0.92	0.86	0.86	0.9	0.9
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.99	0.94	0.06	0.21	0.95	0.98	0.95	0.98	0.38	0.63	0.96	-0.61	0.92	0.45	-0.27	0.98	-0.6	-0.7	0.93	0.86	0.86	0.92	0.94
Current Deferred Revenue	0.97	0.99		0.97	0.13	0.27	0.95	0.98	0.96	0.97	0.29	0.67	0.94	-0.63	0.96	0.5	-0.34	0.98	-0.6	-0.76	0.94	0.87	0.87	0.93	0.92
Net Debt	0.97	0.94	0.97		0.03	0.18	0.95	0.98	0.98	0.95	0.31	0.63	0.9	-0.64	0.99	0.43	-0.28	0.96	-0.59	-0.7	0.93	0.87	0.89	0.91	0.88
Retained Earnings	-0.02	0.06	0.13	0.03		0.64	0.02	0.0	-0.01	0.0	-0.28	0.32	-0.12	0.26	0.09	0.42	-0.45	0.04	0.19	-0.35	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	0.04	-0.14
Accounts Payable	0.18	0.21	0.27	0.18	0.64		0.19	0.18	0.22	0.19	-0.17	0.51	0.12	-0.15	0.23	0.67	-0.41	0.22	-0.17	-0.64	0.19	0.19	0.25	0.26	0.12
Net Receivables	0.99	0.95	0.95	0.95	0.02	0.19		0.99	0.99	0.99	0.4	0.54	0.89	-0.49	0.91	0.31	-0.07	0.92	-0.56	-0.57	0.86	0.81	0.82	0.87	0.84
Good Will	1.0	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.0	0.18	0.99		0.99	0.99	0.39	0.61	0.94	-0.6	0.95	0.39	-0.18	0.96	-0.6	-0.66	0.93	0.86	0.86	0.91	0.91
Total Liab	0.99	0.95	0.96	0.98	-0.01	0.22	0.99	0.99		0.99	0.38	0.6	0.91	-0.59	0.95	0.38	-0.14	0.94	-0.59	-0.65	0.91	0.85	0.86	0.89	0.87
Total Current Assets	1.0	0.98	0.97	0.95	0.0	0.19	0.99	0.99	0.99		0.39	0.57	0.93	-0.55	0.92	0.36	-0.13	0.95	-0.58	-0.62	0.9	0.84	0.85	0.9	0.89
Short Term Debt	0.4	0.38	0.29	0.31	-0.28	-0.17	0.4	0.39	0.38	0.39		0.11	0.34	-0.12	0.21	-0.12	0.39	0.29	-0.21	0.06	0.29	0.32	0.27	0.31	0.37
Intangible Assets	0.59	0.63	0.67	0.63	0.32	0.51	0.54	0.61	0.6	0.57	0.11		0.63	-0.56	0.65	0.73	-0.48	0.67	-0.31	-0.77	0.67	0.73	0.7	0.71	0.67
Common Stock	0.93	0.96	0.94	0.9	-0.12	0.12	0.89	0.94	0.91	0.93	0.34	0.63		-0.76	0.89	0.49	-0.32	0.97	-0.63	-0.71	0.97	0.88	0.86	0.9	0.98
Net Tangible Assets	-0.59	-0.61	-0.63	-0.64	0.26	-0.15	-0.49	-0.6	-0.59	-0.55	-0.12	-0.56	-0.76		-0.67	-0.66	0.52	-0.73	0.59	0.73	-0.84	-0.69	-0.66	-0.66	-0.79
Long Term Debt	0.94	0.92	0.96	0.99	0.09	0.23	0.91	0.95	0.95	0.92	0.21	0.65	0.89	-0.67		0.49	-0.39	0.96	-0.59	-0.76	0.93	0.87	0.88	0.9	0.86
Short Term Investments	0.37	0.45	0.5	0.43	0.42	0.67	0.31	0.39	0.38	0.36	-0.12	0.73	0.49	-0.66	0.49		-0.72	0.54	-0.19	-0.81	0.58	0.57	0.53	0.54	0.53
Short Long Term Debt	-0.14	-0.27	-0.34	-0.28	-0.45	-0.41	-0.07	-0.18	-0.14	-0.13	0.39	-0.48	-0.32	0.52	-0.39	-0.72		-0.4	0.25	0.76	-0.42	-0.33	-0.35	-0.35	-0.34
Property Plant Equipment	0.96	0.98	0.98	0.96	0.04	0.22	0.92	0.96	0.94	0.95	0.29	0.67	0.97	-0.73	0.96	0.54	-0.4		-0.63	-0.78	0.98	0.89	0.91	0.94	0.96
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.59	-0.6	-0.6	-0.59	0.19	-0.17	-0.56	-0.6	-0.59	-0.58	-0.21	-0.31	-0.63	0.59	-0.59	-0.19	0.25	-0.63		0.57	-0.66	-0.46	-0.6	-0.61	-0.63
Long Term Investments	-0.63	-0.7	-0.76	-0.7	-0.35	-0.64	-0.57	-0.66	-0.65	-0.62	0.06	-0.77	-0.71	0.73	-0.76	-0.81	0.76	-0.78	0.57		-0.79	-0.67	-0.7	-0.72	-0.71
Long Term Debt Total	0.92	0.93	0.94	0.93	-0.09	0.19	0.86	0.93	0.91	0.9	0.29	0.67	0.97	-0.84	0.93	0.58	-0.42	0.98	-0.66	-0.79		0.89	0.88	0.91	0.97
Capital Surpluse	0.86	0.86	0.87	0.87	-0.08	0.19	0.81	0.86	0.85	0.84	0.32	0.73	0.88	-0.69	0.87	0.57	-0.33	0.89	-0.46	-0.67	0.89		0.93	0.94	0.91
Net Invested Capital	0.86	0.86	0.87	0.89	-0.02	0.25	0.82	0.86	0.86	0.85	0.27	0.7	0.86	-0.66	0.88	0.53	-0.35	0.91	-0.6	-0.7	0.88	0.93		0.96	0.88
Net Working Capital	0.9	0.92	0.93	0.91	0.04	0.26	0.87	0.91	0.89	0.9	0.31	0.71	0.9	-0.66	0.9	0.54	-0.35	0.94	-0.61	-0.72	0.91	0.94	0.96		0.92
Capital Stock	0.9	0.94	0.92	0.88	-0.14	0.12	0.84	0.91	0.87	0.89	0.37	0.67	0.98	-0.79	0.86	0.53	-0.34	0.96	-0.63	-0.71	0.97	0.91	0.88	0.92

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict FirstService Corp

Based on the latest financial disclosure, FirstService Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 85.97% lower than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and 87.95% lower than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

FirstService Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses FirstService Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of FirstService Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirstService Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

FirstService Corp is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

FirstService Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0654	(0.12)	0.0397	0.0539	0.0278	0.0158
Asset Turnover	1.23	1.26	1.29	1.35	1.22	1.82
Net Debt	787.3M	569.4M	657.5M	815.9M	1.2B	1.3B
Total Current Liabilities	358.2M	543.8M	618.5M	637.0M	770.8M	452.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total	995.3M	799.4M	871.7M	996.6M	1.5B	1.6B
Total Assets	2.0B	2.2B	2.5B	2.8B	3.6B	3.8B
Total Current Assets	668.1M	819.3M	964.7M	1.1B	1.4B	1.4B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	107.8M	291.8M	167.3M	105.9M	285.5M	299.8M

FirstService Corp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, FirstService Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to FirstService Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

FirstService Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.11
	Return On Asset	0.0529
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	10.01 B
	Shares Outstanding	45.13 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	10.25 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	78.25 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	146.38 K
	Price To Earning	53.33 X
	Price To Book	7.54 X
	Price To Sales	1.76 X
	Revenue	4.41 B
	Gross Profit	1.18 B
	EBITDA	394.34 M
	Net Income	102.23 M
	Cash And Equivalents	160.48 M
	Cash Per Share	3.63 X
	Total Debt	1.42 B
	Debt To Equity	0.83 %
	Current Ratio	1.77 X
	Book Value Per Share	25.46 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	285.5 M
	Short Ratio	1.98 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.40 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.17 X
	Target Price	202.43
	Number Of Employees	30 K
	Beta	0.94
	Market Capitalization	8.66 B
	Total Asset	3.61 B
	Retained Earnings	77.48 M
	Working Capital	590.23 M
	Current Asset	230.22 M
	Current Liabilities	130.1 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	0.58 %
	Net Asset	3.61 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.98

About FirstService Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FirstService Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FirstService Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstService Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for FirstService Stock Analysis

When running FirstService Corp's price analysis, check to measure FirstService Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstService Corp is operating at the current time. Most of FirstService Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstService Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstService Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstService Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Firstservice Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FirstService Corp Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current FirstService Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

FirstService Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

FirstService Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

FirstService Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

FirstService Corp ESG Sustainability

FirstService Fundamentals

About FirstService Corp Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for FirstService Stock Analysis

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