Guardian Capital Group Stock Beneish M Score

GCG-A Stock  CAD 43.43  1.27  3.01%   
This module uses fundamental data of Guardian Capital to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Guardian Capital M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guardian Capital Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
At this time, Guardian Capital's Debt Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. At this time, Guardian Capital's Net Income Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Days Of Inventory On Hand is likely to gain to 921.38 in 2024, whereas Capex To Depreciation is likely to drop 0.13 in 2024.
At this time, Guardian Capital's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Guardian Capital's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Guardian Capital executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Guardian Capital's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.0
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

2.12

Focus
Asset Quality

1.07

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.46

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.85

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.46

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.84

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.65

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Guardian Capital Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Guardian Capital's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables76 M55 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue165.9 M254.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets191.6 M262.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.5 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment21 M29.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization14.7 M15.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative16.7 M17.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities434.8 M414.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total43.7 M76 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt90.5 M86.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt146.2 M139.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.3 M1.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income50.6 M59.8 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities85.5 M81.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments79.1 M66.9 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments889.8 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.440.5155
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Guardian Capital Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Guardian Capital's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Guardian Capital in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Guardian Capital's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Guardian Capital Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

14.66 Million

At this time, Guardian Capital's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Guardian Capital Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Guardian Capital. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables100.5M137.5M166.9M48.4M55.0M76.0M
Total Revenue291.6M325.2M414.9M214.3M254.5M165.9M
Total Assets1.1B1.2B1.4B1.4B1.7B1.8B
Total Current Assets257.4M282.7M424.6M538.9M262.3M191.6M
Net Debt94.6M67.5M52.2M102.2M86.2M90.5M
Short Term Debt116.4M98.3M118.0M133.2M139.2M146.2M
Operating Income48.9M54.8M81.8M44.1M59.8M50.6M

About Guardian Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guardian Capital Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guardian Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guardian Capital Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Guardian Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Guardian Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Guardian Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Guardian Stock

  0.63BIP-PB Brookfield InfrastructurePairCorr

Moving against Guardian Stock

  0.66VCM Vecima NetworksPairCorr
  0.54MOX Morien Resources CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Guardian Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Guardian Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Guardian Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Guardian Capital Group to buy it.
The correlation of Guardian Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Guardian Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Guardian Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Guardian Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Guardian Stock Analysis

When running Guardian Capital's price analysis, check to measure Guardian Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardian Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Guardian Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardian Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardian Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardian Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.