Greif Inc Stock Beneish M Score

GEF-B Stock  USD 75.16  0.28  0.37%   
This module uses fundamental data of Greif to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Greif M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Greif Piotroski F Score and Greif Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Greif's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 2.8 B, whereas Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 1.7 B. At present, Greif's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 1.73, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.02.
At this time, Greif's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Greif's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Greif executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Greif's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.83
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.01

Focus
Asset Quality

1.34

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.02

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.88

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.02

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.75

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.54

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.87

Focus

Greif Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Greif's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables413.8 M758.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue3.2 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets7.2 B6.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets895.7 M1.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.5 B5.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.6 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization278.4 M265.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative348 M631.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities605.2 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total3.5 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt2.8 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt182.2 M173.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.7 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income731.1 M696.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities784.3 M746.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments4.5 M4.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments8.6 MM
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.220.25
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Greif Inc Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Greif's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Greif in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Greif's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Greif Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Accumulated Depreciation

(1.51 Billion)

At present, Greif's Accumulated Depreciation is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Greif Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Greif. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables636.6M889.5M749.1M659.4M758.3M413.8M
Total Revenue4.5B5.6B6.3B5.2B6.0B3.2B
Total Assets5.5B5.8B5.5B6.0B6.9B7.2B
Total Current Assets1.3B1.7B1.5B1.4B1.6B895.7M
Net Debt2.7B2.4B2.0B2.4B2.7B2.8B
Short Term Debt203.8M224.8M126.6M150.9M173.5M182.2M
Long Term Debt2.3B2.1B1.8B2.1B2.4B1.7B
Operating Income304.9M585.2M621.2M605.5M696.3M731.1M
Investments(25.2M)46.8M(28.2M)(670.2M)(603.2M)(573.0M)

About Greif Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Greif Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Greif using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Greif Stock

Greif financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greif Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greif with respect to the benefits of owning Greif security.