Ten Year Return

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Ten Year Return

=

(Mean of Monthly Returns - 1)

X

100%

Here are a few of the good items with a ten year return analysis. First, the ten years will give you a real look at how the company does during a business cycle. Ten years should be long enough to cover a business cycle, allowing you to see how the equity performs during certain market conditions. Secondly, you can jump into slightly more detail and see which seasons affect the stock. An example being the retail market and how they usually break into the black during the holiday season or quarter. Lastly, you can get a true sense of how the equity will perform. Over a ten year period, you will likely see many outside market affects and how the equity reacted.

A few negatives to keep in mind are that first; it is not for the short term investor as over a ten year span, a short term investor is not likely to see many of those affects. Yes, it will paint a better picture, but as a short term investor, you would be more interested in the day to day news of performance of the stock and company. Secondly, it could have a negative impact on your research because not many people hold an equity for ten plus years. To hold something that long, you have to have faith that the company or performance will sustain. Obviously an S&P tracking mutual funds will always perform, but speaking in terms of a company or ETF, it may not do well for ten plus years.

Find the right time frame that fits your investing and trading style and find a way to utilize that. Not all times frame are going to give you what you need, but it certainly won’t hurt to try. If you have questions, reach out to an investing community and they can help to push you in the right direction and even give you real time feedback.