Hilton Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:HLT) - Macroaxis

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HLT Stock  USD 242.53  7.74  3.09%   
Hilton Worldwide's odds of distress is under 13% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Hilton Worldwide's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hilton balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Hilton Worldwide Piotroski F Score and Hilton Worldwide Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to drop to about 12.3 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 30.6 B in 2024

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Hilton Worldwide's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hilton Worldwide Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 13%  
Most of Hilton Worldwide's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hilton Worldwide Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hilton Worldwide probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hilton Worldwide odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hilton Worldwide Holdings financial health.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hilton Worldwide. If investors know Hilton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hilton Worldwide listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
4.68
Revenue Per Share
18.724
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.063
The market value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Worldwide's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Worldwide's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Worldwide's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Worldwide's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Worldwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Worldwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Worldwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hilton Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hilton Worldwide is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Hilton Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hilton Worldwide's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hilton Worldwide's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hilton Worldwide's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 13.0%. This is 68.59% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 62.89% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 67.36% higher than that of the company.

Hilton Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hilton Worldwide's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hilton Worldwide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hilton Worldwide by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
13.0010.00100.0076.00100%
Hilton Worldwide is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Hilton Worldwide Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0589(0.043)0.02660.08090.07410.0778
Net Debt8.6B8.4B8.3B8.5B9.3B8.0B
Total Current Liabilities2.9B2.4B3.0B3.4B3.7B2.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total12.6B15.8B13.2B13.2B14.0B12.9B
Total Assets15.0B16.8B15.4B15.5B15.4B18.3B
Total Current Assets2.1B4.2B2.9B2.9B2.6B3.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4B708M109M1.7B1.9B1.1B

Hilton Worldwide ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Hilton Worldwide's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hilton Worldwide's managers, analysts, and investors.
68.6%
Environmental
74.3%
Governance
Social

Hilton Fundamentals

Return On Asset0.0908
Profit Margin0.25 %
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Operating Margin0.50 %
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Current Valuation72.06 B
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Shares Outstanding243.78 M
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Shares Owned By Insiders2.11 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.57 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.55 M
Price To Earning35.52 X
Price To Sales12.99 X
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Revenue10.23 B
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Gross Profit2.74 B
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EBITDA2.41 B
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Net Income1.15 B
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Cash And Equivalents1.21 B
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Cash Per Share4.74 X
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Total Debt10.12 B
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Debt To Equity13.56 %
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Current Ratio0.88 X
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Book Value Per Share(14.19) X
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Cash Flow From Operations1.95 B
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Short Ratio3.25 X
Earnings Per Share4.68 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.20 X
Target Price238.96
Number Of Employees178 K
Beta1.31
Market Capitalization61.01 B
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Total Asset15.4 B
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Retained Earnings(4.21 B)
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Working Capital(1.11 B)
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Current Asset2.58 B
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Current Liabilities2.44 B
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Annual Yield0 %
Five Year Return0.80 %
Net Asset15.4 B
Last Dividend Paid0.6

About Hilton Worldwide Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hilton Worldwide Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hilton Worldwide using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis

When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.