Hovnanian Enterprises Stock Z Score

HOV Stock

USD 196.20 14.46 7.96%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Hovnanian Enterprises Piotroski F Score and Hovnanian Enterprises Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Hovnanian Stock please use our How to Invest in Hovnanian Enterprises guide.

At this time, Hovnanian Enterprises' Change In Working Capital is fairly stable compared to the past year. Capital Expenditures is likely to climb to about 20.8 M in 2024, whereas Net Invested Capital is likely to drop slightly above 1.4 B in 2024. At this time, Hovnanian Enterprises' Selling And Marketing Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Income From Continuing Ops is likely to climb to about 248.6 M in 2024, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 343.4 M in 2024.

Hovnanian Enterprises Company Z Score Analysis

Hovnanian Enterprises' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Hovnanian Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hovnanian Enterprises is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Hovnanian Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Hovnanian Enterprises' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hovnanian Enterprises' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hovnanian Enterprises' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Total Liab	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.36	0.44	0.01	0.78	0.83	0.24	0.92	-0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.81	0.05	0.75	-0.81	0.57	0.16	0.75	0.52	-0.01	0.19	0.03	0.54	-0.11	-0.14
Total Stockholder Equity	0.36		-0.56	0.92	-0.28	0.31	-0.12	0.21	-0.36	-0.6	0.2	-0.06	0.16	0.61	-0.24	0.89	0.73	0.45	0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-0.01	0.87	-0.42	-0.59
Net Debt	0.44	-0.56		-0.78	0.87	0.29	0.51	0.63	0.39	0.6	-0.25	-0.61	-0.15	-0.01	-0.41	-0.29	-0.59	0.15	0.4	0.17	0.26	-0.08	-0.47	0.17	0.24
Retained Earnings	0.01	0.92	-0.78		-0.61	0.01	-0.13	-0.11	-0.27	-0.6	0.13	0.34	0.2	0.33	0.14	0.68	0.67	0.14	-0.08	-0.39	-0.08	0.05	0.74	-0.3	-0.5
Total Liab	0.78	-0.28	0.87	-0.61		0.64	0.33	0.82	0.16	0.38	-0.08	-0.84	-0.07	0.37	-0.71	0.02	-0.31	0.49	0.49	0.2	0.23	0.01	-0.06	0.11	0.18
Accounts Payable	0.83	0.31	0.29	0.01	0.64		0.1	0.73	-0.39	-0.17	-0.03	-0.67	-0.22	0.78	-0.82	0.39	0.28	0.63	0.51	0.06	0.12	-0.09	0.41	-0.21	-0.07
Net Receivables	0.24	-0.12	0.51	-0.13	0.33	0.1		0.53	0.68	0.57	-0.56	0.02	0.24	-0.18	0.15	-0.18	-0.49	-0.23	0.24	-0.29	0.54	0.3	-0.26	0.42	0.27
Total Current Assets	0.92	0.21	0.63	-0.11	0.82	0.73	0.53		0.19	0.22	-0.12	-0.75	0.15	0.54	-0.69	0.42	-0.06	0.6	0.54	-0.04	0.34	0.12	0.29	0.04	-0.11
Short Term Debt	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-0.27	0.16	-0.39	0.68	0.19		0.7	-0.21	0.16	0.46	-0.49	0.43	-0.29	-0.64	-0.39	0.01	-0.27	0.62	0.47	-0.35	0.57	0.35
Common Stock	-0.02	-0.6	0.6	-0.6	0.38	-0.17	0.57	0.22	0.7		-0.42	-0.08	0.28	-0.54	0.28	-0.45	-0.87	-0.3	-0.01	0.09	0.33	0.45	-0.53	0.45	0.43
Long Term Debt	0.06	0.2	-0.25	0.13	-0.08	-0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-0.21	-0.42		-0.18	0.06	0.36	-0.21	0.4	0.54	0.22	-0.4	-0.25	-0.33	-0.01	0.34	-0.16	-0.12
Treasury Stock	-0.81	-0.06	-0.61	0.34	-0.84	-0.67	0.02	-0.75	0.16	-0.08	-0.18		0.08	-0.58	0.9	-0.4	-0.03	-0.69	-0.36	-0.27	-0.05	0.12	-0.21	0.18	0.15
Property Plant Equipment	0.05	0.16	-0.15	0.2	-0.07	-0.22	0.24	0.15	0.46	0.28	0.06	0.08		-0.3	0.22	0.23	-0.09	0.04	-0.18	0.02	0.19	0.7	0.23	0.37	-0.09
Current Deferred Revenue	0.75	0.61	-0.01	0.33	0.37	0.78	-0.18	0.54	-0.49	-0.54	0.36	-0.58	-0.3		-0.77	0.67	0.66	0.66	0.4	-0.26	-0.07	-0.16	0.66	-0.4	-0.29
Short Term Investments	-0.81	-0.24	-0.41	0.14	-0.71	-0.82	0.15	-0.69	0.43	0.28	-0.21	0.9	0.22	-0.77		-0.48	-0.34	-0.79	-0.46	-0.26	0.01	0.31	-0.36	0.38	0.31
Net Tangible Assets	0.57	0.89	-0.29	0.68	0.02	0.39	-0.18	0.42	-0.29	-0.45	0.4	-0.4	0.23	0.67	-0.48		0.64	0.69	0.06	-0.17	-0.07	-0.02	0.88	-0.45	-0.66
Long Term Debt Total	0.16	0.73	-0.59	0.67	-0.31	0.28	-0.49	-0.06	-0.64	-0.87	0.54	-0.03	-0.09	0.66	-0.34	0.64		0.44	0.03	-0.21	-0.28	-0.23	0.63	-0.57	-0.56
Capital Surpluse	0.75	0.45	0.15	0.14	0.49	0.63	-0.23	0.6	-0.39	-0.3	0.22	-0.69	0.04	0.66	-0.79	0.69	0.44		0.34	0.34	-0.06	-0.24	0.63	-0.53	-0.63
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.52	0.09	0.4	-0.08	0.49	0.51	0.24	0.54	0.01	-0.01	-0.4	-0.36	-0.18	0.4	-0.46	0.06	0.03	0.34		-0.01	0.33	-0.15	0.05	-0.15	-0.08
Long Term Investments	-0.01	-0.31	0.17	-0.39	0.2	0.06	-0.29	-0.04	-0.27	0.09	-0.25	-0.27	0.02	-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.21	0.34	-0.01		0.01	-0.3	-0.17	-0.12	-0.19
Short Long Term Debt	0.19	-0.05	0.26	-0.08	0.23	0.12	0.54	0.34	0.62	0.33	-0.33	-0.05	0.19	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	-0.28	-0.06	0.33	0.01		0.16	-0.13	0.22	0.13
Cash And Equivalents	0.03	-0.01	-0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.09	0.3	0.12	0.47	0.45	-0.01	0.12	0.7	-0.16	0.31	-0.02	-0.23	-0.24	-0.15	-0.3	0.16		0.1	0.59	0.29
Net Invested Capital	0.54	0.87	-0.47	0.74	-0.06	0.41	-0.26	0.29	-0.35	-0.53	0.34	-0.21	0.23	0.66	-0.36	0.88	0.63	0.63	0.05	-0.17	-0.13	0.1		-0.3	-0.46
Net Working Capital	-0.11	-0.42	0.17	-0.3	0.11	-0.21	0.42	0.04	0.57	0.45	-0.16	0.18	0.37	-0.4	0.38	-0.45	-0.57	-0.53	-0.15	-0.12	0.22	0.59	-0.3		0.7
Capital Stock	-0.14	-0.59	0.24	-0.5	0.18	-0.07	0.27	-0.11	0.35	0.43	-0.12	0.15	-0.09	-0.29	0.31	-0.66	-0.56	-0.63	-0.08	-0.19	0.13	0.29	-0.46	0.7

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To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Hovnanian Enterprises

According to the company's disclosures, Hovnanian Enterprises has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Household Durables sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Hovnanian Enterprises ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Hovnanian Enterprises' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hovnanian Enterprises' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Hovnanian Enterprises Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Hovnanian Enterprises that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Hovnanian Enterprises' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Hovnanian Enterprises' value.

		Shares
Philadelphia Financial Mgmt Of San Franc	2024-09-30	85.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc	2024-09-30	84.5 K
Brightline Capital Management Llc	2024-09-30	81 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc	2024-06-30	67.2 K
Ubs Group Ag	2024-06-30	62.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2024-06-30	62.1 K
Foundry Partners, Llc	2024-09-30	52.8 K
Awh Capital, L.p.	2024-09-30	52.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	50 K
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	384.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	331.5 K

Hovnanian Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.41
	Return On Asset	0.0702
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.07 %
	Current Valuation	2.2 B
	Shares Outstanding	5.33 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	6.20 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	68.83 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	242.29 K
	Price To Earning	1.51 X
	Price To Book	2.09 X
	Price To Sales	0.40 X
	Revenue	2.76 B
	Gross Profit	581.67 M
	EBITDA	283.75 M
	Net Income	205.89 M
	Cash And Equivalents	326.2 M
	Cash Per Share	35.20 X
	Total Debt	1.14 B
	Debt To Equity	4.21 %
	Current Ratio	4.87 X
	Book Value Per Share	93.90 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	214.69 M
	Short Ratio	3.78 X
	Earnings Per Share	32.05 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.22 X
	Target Price	27.0
	Number Of Employees	1.72 K
	Beta	2.61
	Market Capitalization	1.04 B
	Total Asset	2.49 B
	Retained Earnings	(157.2 M)
	Working Capital	1.32 B
	Current Asset	2.06 B
	Current Liabilities	671.09 M
	Net Asset	2.49 B

About Hovnanian Enterprises Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hovnanian Enterprises's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hovnanian Enterprises using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hovnanian Enterprises based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Hovnanian Enterprises Stock Z Score

Hovnanian Enterprises Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Hovnanian Z Score Driver Correlations

Hovnanian Enterprises ESG Sustainability

Hovnanian Enterprises Institutional Holders

Hovnanian Fundamentals

About Hovnanian Enterprises Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Hovnanian Stock Analysis

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