Hovnanian Enterprises Pfd Preferred Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HOVNP Preferred Stock  USD 17.85  0.19  1.08%   
Hovnanian Enterprises' probability of distress is under 9% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Hovnanian Enterprises' chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hovnanian balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hovnanian Enterprises PFD. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Hovnanian Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Hovnanian Enterprises guide.
  

Hovnanian Enterprises PFD Company probability of distress Analysis

Hovnanian Enterprises' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hovnanian Enterprises Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 9%  
Most of Hovnanian Enterprises' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hovnanian Enterprises PFD is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hovnanian Enterprises probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hovnanian Enterprises odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hovnanian Enterprises PFD financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hovnanian Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hovnanian Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hovnanian Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hovnanian Enterprises PFD has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.26% lower than that of the Household Durables sector and 81.0% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States preferred stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Hovnanian Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Hovnanian Enterprises' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the preferred stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Hovnanian Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hovnanian Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Hovnanian Enterprises is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Hovnanian Enterprises ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Hovnanian Enterprises' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hovnanian Enterprises' managers, analysts, and investors.
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Hovnanian Fundamentals

About Hovnanian Enterprises Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hovnanian Enterprises PFD's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hovnanian Enterprises using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hovnanian Enterprises PFD based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Hovnanian Enterprises

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hovnanian Enterprises position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hovnanian Enterprises will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Hovnanian Preferred Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hovnanian Enterprises could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hovnanian Enterprises when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hovnanian Enterprises - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hovnanian Enterprises PFD to buy it.
The correlation of Hovnanian Enterprises is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hovnanian Enterprises moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hovnanian Enterprises PFD moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hovnanian Enterprises can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Hovnanian Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Hovnanian Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Hovnanian Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hovnanian Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Hovnanian Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hovnanian Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hovnanian Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hovnanian Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.