Hornby Plc Stock Beneish M Score

HRN Stock   22.50  2.50  10.00%   
This module uses fundamental data of Hornby PLC to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Hornby PLC M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Hornby PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
The current year's Short and Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 16.1 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 1.1 M.
At this time, Hornby PLC's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Hornby PLC's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Hornby PLC executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Hornby PLC's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.44
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

2.16

Focus
Asset Quality

1.04

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.25

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.25

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.59

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.56

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.41

Focus

Hornby PLC Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Hornby PLC's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net ReceivablesM7.5 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue31.3 M56.2 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets22.1 M55.1 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Current Assets14.9 M31.9 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total7.2 M23.3 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Property Plant EquipmentM14.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.5 MM
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative6.3 MM
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities6.9 M27.3 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total439 K3.5 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Investments25.1 K26.4 K
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments1.8 MM
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Hornby PLC Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Hornby PLC's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Hornby PLC in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Hornby PLC's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Hornby PLC Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.53 Million

At present, Hornby PLC's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Hornby PLC Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Hornby PLC. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables5.1M6.3M7.1M7.2M7.5M9.0M
Total Revenue37.8M48.5M53.7M55.1M56.2M31.3M
Total Assets44.7M48.9M53.8M54.2M55.1M22.1M
Total Current Assets26.8M27.1M29.9M31.8M31.9M14.9M
Net Debt(3.3M)(1.9M)(1.1M)8.0M17.0M444K
Short Term Debt384K365K17.0M7.2M15.8M687K
Operating Income(2.7M)890K946K(644K)(7.1M)1.1M
Investments(2.7M)(5.0M)(4.7M)(5.1M)(8.2M)(7.8M)

About Hornby PLC Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hornby PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hornby PLC using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hornby PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hornby Stock

Hornby PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hornby Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hornby with respect to the benefits of owning Hornby PLC security.