Kirby Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

KEX Stock

USD 126.36 3.43 2.64%

Kirby's probability of distress is under 9% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Kirby balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Kirby Piotroski F Score and Kirby Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Kirby Stock please use our How to Invest in Kirby guide.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 3.7 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 2 B in 2024

Kirby Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Kirby's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 9%

Most of Kirby's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Kirby is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Kirby probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Kirby odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Kirby financial health.

Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kirby. If investors know Kirby will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kirby listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

1.021

Earnings Share

5.21

Revenue Per Share

55.929

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.206

Return On Assets

0.0484

The market value of Kirby is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kirby that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kirby's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kirby's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kirby's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kirby's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kirby's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kirby is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kirby's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Kirby is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Kirby Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Kirby's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Kirby's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Kirby's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Accounts Payable	Current Deferred Revenue	Common Stock	Good Will	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.99	0.9	0.97	0.94	0.98	0.95	0.31	-0.26	-0.73	0.83	0.66	0.82	0.65	0.77	-0.68	0.96	0.82	0.87	0.85	0.56	-0.6	-0.88	-0.26	0.58	0.22	0.2	-0.32
Total Stockholder Equity	0.99		0.84	0.99	0.93	0.95	0.94	0.24	-0.29	-0.7	0.84	0.67	0.8	0.66	0.71	-0.72	0.95	0.84	0.82	0.86	0.55	-0.61	-0.89	-0.25	0.57	0.19	0.16	-0.33
Net Debt	0.9	0.84		0.8	0.79	0.94	0.83	0.27	-0.23	-0.62	0.67	0.47	0.74	0.61	0.93	-0.53	0.84	0.67	0.98	0.81	0.51	-0.5	-0.73	-0.42	0.51	0.39	0.19	-0.17
Retained Earnings	0.97	0.99	0.8		0.91	0.93	0.9	0.2	-0.24	-0.73	0.79	0.63	0.8	0.69	0.67	-0.75	0.93	0.81	0.78	0.8	0.53	-0.61	-0.86	-0.11	0.51	0.18	0.13	-0.32
Net Receivables	0.94	0.93	0.79	0.91		0.92	0.96	0.51	-0.21	-0.74	0.87	0.71	0.81	0.52	0.63	-0.56	0.91	0.8	0.75	0.81	0.58	-0.54	-0.84	-0.32	0.62	0.04	0.33	-0.33
Total Liab	0.98	0.95	0.94	0.93	0.92		0.93	0.38	-0.21	-0.75	0.8	0.63	0.82	0.61	0.81	-0.61	0.95	0.78	0.91	0.82	0.56	-0.56	-0.84	-0.28	0.58	0.24	0.23	-0.29
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.94	0.83	0.9	0.96	0.93		0.43	-0.36	-0.63	0.91	0.81	0.76	0.47	0.67	-0.63	0.95	0.84	0.81	0.88	0.61	-0.53	-0.89	-0.39	0.71	0.07	0.35	-0.41
Short Term Debt	0.31	0.24	0.27	0.2	0.51	0.38	0.43		0.0	-0.31	0.41	0.46	0.28	-0.22	0.05	0.16	0.4	0.31	0.19	0.2	0.45	-0.16	-0.29	-0.29	0.52	-0.29	0.32	-0.35
Intangible Assets	-0.26	-0.29	-0.23	-0.24	-0.21	-0.21	-0.36	0.0		-0.35	-0.13	-0.45	0.04	0.23	-0.18	0.57	-0.39	-0.52	-0.29	-0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0.59	0.28	-0.62	-0.01	-0.28	0.34
Short Term Investments	-0.73	-0.7	-0.62	-0.73	-0.74	-0.75	-0.63	-0.31	-0.35		-0.66	-0.34	-0.84	-0.66	-0.51	0.27	-0.63	-0.41	-0.55	-0.39	-0.24	0.46	0.43	-0.06	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	0.08
Accounts Payable	0.83	0.84	0.67	0.79	0.87	0.8	0.91	0.41	-0.13	-0.66		0.83	0.72	0.49	0.5	-0.37	0.81	0.68	0.64	0.72	0.48	-0.47	-0.68	-0.45	0.55	-0.03	0.2	-0.45
Current Deferred Revenue	0.66	0.67	0.47	0.63	0.71	0.63	0.81	0.46	-0.45	-0.34	0.83		0.47	0.01	0.23	-0.44	0.79	0.72	0.47	0.67	0.44	-0.29	-0.73	-0.34	0.81	-0.3	0.35	-0.72
Common Stock	0.82	0.8	0.74	0.8	0.81	0.82	0.76	0.28	0.04	-0.84	0.72	0.47		0.66	0.72	-0.46	0.74	0.72	0.75	0.73	0.46	-0.41	-0.61	-0.16	0.34	0.33	-0.02	-0.02
Good Will	0.65	0.66	0.61	0.69	0.52	0.61	0.47	-0.22	0.23	-0.66	0.49	0.01	0.66		0.68	-0.39	0.44	0.31	0.62	0.45	0.23	-0.46	-0.31	-0.08	-0.14	0.55	-0.22	0.19
Long Term Debt	0.77	0.71	0.93	0.67	0.63	0.81	0.67	0.05	-0.18	-0.51	0.5	0.23	0.72	0.68		-0.52	0.65	0.59	0.94	0.77	0.44	-0.4	-0.6	-0.38	0.3	0.65	0.11	0.14
Treasury Stock	-0.68	-0.72	-0.53	-0.75	-0.56	-0.61	-0.63	0.16	0.57	0.27	-0.37	-0.44	-0.46	-0.39	-0.52		-0.68	-0.71	-0.59	-0.7	-0.43	0.44	0.81	-0.16	-0.42	-0.23	-0.16	0.13
Property Plant Equipment	0.96	0.95	0.84	0.93	0.91	0.95	0.95	0.4	-0.39	-0.63	0.81	0.79	0.74	0.44	0.65	-0.68		0.87	0.81	0.85	0.58	-0.55	-0.92	-0.25	0.74	0.06	0.26	-0.52
Net Tangible Assets	0.82	0.84	0.67	0.81	0.8	0.78	0.84	0.31	-0.52	-0.41	0.68	0.72	0.72	0.31	0.59	-0.71	0.87		0.68	0.91	0.6	-0.41	-0.92	-0.27	0.72	0.23	0.2	-0.28
Long Term Debt Total	0.87	0.82	0.98	0.78	0.75	0.91	0.81	0.19	-0.29	-0.55	0.64	0.47	0.75	0.62	0.94	-0.59	0.81	0.68		0.84	0.55	-0.46	-0.71	-0.41	0.52	0.46	0.17	-0.17
Capital Surpluse	0.85	0.86	0.81	0.8	0.81	0.82	0.88	0.2	-0.54	-0.39	0.72	0.67	0.73	0.45	0.77	-0.7	0.85	0.91	0.84		0.61	-0.43	-0.87	-0.5	0.67	0.33	0.16	-0.24
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.56	0.55	0.51	0.53	0.58	0.56	0.61	0.45	-0.58	-0.24	0.48	0.44	0.46	0.23	0.44	-0.43	0.58	0.6	0.55	0.61		-0.17	-0.58	-0.31	0.47	0.21	0.12	-0.17
Long Term Investments	-0.6	-0.61	-0.5	-0.61	-0.54	-0.56	-0.53	-0.16	-0.04	0.46	-0.47	-0.29	-0.41	-0.46	-0.4	0.44	-0.55	-0.41	-0.46	-0.43	-0.17		0.52	0.03	-0.21	0.09	0.02	0.19
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.88	-0.89	-0.73	-0.86	-0.84	-0.84	-0.89	-0.29	0.59	0.43	-0.68	-0.73	-0.61	-0.31	-0.6	0.81	-0.92	-0.92	-0.71	-0.87	-0.58	0.52		0.21	-0.74	-0.08	-0.35	0.36
Short Long Term Debt	-0.26	-0.25	-0.42	-0.11	-0.32	-0.28	-0.39	-0.29	0.28	-0.06	-0.45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.08	-0.38	-0.16	-0.25	-0.27	-0.41	-0.5	-0.31	0.03	0.21		-0.42	-0.14	-0.14	0.2
Cash And Equivalents	0.58	0.57	0.51	0.51	0.62	0.58	0.71	0.52	-0.62	-0.15	0.55	0.81	0.34	-0.14	0.3	-0.42	0.74	0.72	0.52	0.67	0.47	-0.21	-0.74	-0.42		-0.2	0.57	-0.68
Net Invested Capital	0.22	0.19	0.39	0.18	0.04	0.24	0.07	-0.29	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	-0.3	0.33	0.55	0.65	-0.23	0.06	0.23	0.46	0.33	0.21	0.09	-0.08	-0.14	-0.2		-0.24	0.59
Net Working Capital	0.2	0.16	0.19	0.13	0.33	0.23	0.35	0.32	-0.28	-0.05	0.2	0.35	-0.02	-0.22	0.11	-0.16	0.26	0.2	0.17	0.16	0.12	0.02	-0.35	-0.14	0.57	-0.24		-0.22
Capital Stock	-0.32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.32	-0.33	-0.29	-0.41	-0.35	0.34	0.08	-0.45	-0.72	-0.02	0.19	0.14	0.13	-0.52	-0.28	-0.17	-0.24	-0.17	0.19	0.36	0.2	-0.68	0.59	-0.22

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Kirby

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Kirby has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.86% lower than that of the Marine Transportation sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Kirby's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Kirby could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kirby by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Kirby is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Kirby Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0234	(0.0458)	(0.0457)	0.022	0.039	0.0307
Asset Turnover	0.47	0.37	0.42	0.5	0.54	0.68
Net Debt	1.5B	1.6B	1.3B	1.2B	1.2B	1.2B
Total Current Liabilities	514.1M	466.0M	543.8M	642.2M	675.8M	709.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.2B	2.4B	2.0B	1.9B	1.9B	2.0B
Total Assets	6.1B	5.9B	5.4B	5.6B	5.7B	6.0B
Total Current Assets	917.6M	1.0B	1.0B	1.2B	1.1B	1.2B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	511.8M	444.9M	321.6M	294.1M	540.2M	567.2M

Kirby ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Kirby's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Kirby's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Kirby Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0947
	Return On Asset	0.0484
	Profit Margin	0.09 %
	Operating Margin	(0.53) %
	Current Valuation	8.35 B
	Shares Outstanding	57.4 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.80 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	99.20 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	797.14 K
	Price To Earning	56.62 X
	Price To Book	2.20 X
	Price To Sales	2.22 X
	Revenue	3.09 B
	Gross Profit	723.81 M
	EBITDA	546.04 M
	Net Income	222.87 M
	Cash And Equivalents	80.58 M
	Cash Per Share	0.42 X
	Total Debt	1.19 B
	Debt To Equity	0.45 %
	Current Ratio	1.98 X
	Book Value Per Share	54.33 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	540.23 M
	Short Ratio	1.66 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.21 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.63 X
	Target Price	140.67
	Number Of Employees	5.45 K
	Beta	1.18
	Market Capitalization	7.25 B
	Total Asset	5.72 B
	Retained Earnings	2.69 B
	Working Capital	459.37 M
	Current Asset	640.78 M
	Current Liabilities	361.92 M
	Net Asset	5.72 B

About Kirby Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Kirby's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Kirby using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kirby based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Kirby Stock Analysis

When running Kirby's price analysis, check to measure Kirby's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kirby is operating at the current time. Most of Kirby's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kirby's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kirby's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kirby to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Kirby Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kirby Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy

Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Kirby Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Kirby Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Kirby ESG Sustainability

Kirby Fundamentals

About Kirby Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Kirby Stock Analysis

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