Luminar Technologies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| LAZR Stock | USD 8.95 1.91 17.59% |
Luminar | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Luminar Technologies Company probability of distress Analysis
Luminar Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Luminar Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 85% |
Most of Luminar Technologies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Luminar Technologies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Luminar Technologies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Luminar Technologies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Luminar Technologies financial health.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Luminar Technologies. If investors know Luminar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Luminar Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (17.40) | Revenue Per Share 0.17 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets (0.64) | Return On Equity (24.25) |
The market value of Luminar Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Luminar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Luminar Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Luminar Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Luminar Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Luminar Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Luminar Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Luminar Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Luminar Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Luminar Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Luminar Technologies is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Luminar Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Luminar Technologies' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Luminar Technologies' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Luminar Technologies' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Luminar Technologies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 85%. This is 105.36% higher than that of the Automobile Components sector and 151.18% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 113.41% lower than that of the firm.
Luminar Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Luminar Technologies' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Luminar Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luminar Technologies by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Luminar Technologies is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Luminar Technologies Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (1.87) | (0.72) | (0.27) | (0.65) | (1.11) | (1.17) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.24 | 0.0273 | 0.0362 | 0.0592 | 0.14 | 0.13 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | (0.32) | (0.79) | (0.44) | (1.48) | (1.04) | (1.09) | |
| Net Debt | (17.4M) | (208.1M) | 289.5M | 565.6M | 521.6M | 547.6M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 14.8M | 16.6M | 39.0M | 77.5M | 83.9M | 42.6M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 248.8M | 345.0M | 646.6M | 636.2M | 653.2M | 488.4M | |
| Total Assets | 51.9M | 510.4M | 883.5M | 687.3M | 512.4M | 485.1M | |
| Total Current Assets | 41.5M | 500.8M | 845.4M | 554.6M | 350.6M | 420.4M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (60.2M) | (75.6M) | (148.4M) | (208.2M) | (247.3M) | (234.9M) |
Luminar Technologies ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Luminar Technologies' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Luminar Technologies' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Luminar Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -24.25 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.64 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (6.78) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 682.78 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 26.82 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.13 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.68 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 113.67 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 60.04 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.97 X | ||||
| Revenue | 69.78 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | (60.28 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (530.39 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (571.27 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 553.05 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.52 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 660.66 M | ||||
| Current Ratio | 9.86 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.54) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (247.3 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.01 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (17.40) X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.11 X | ||||
| Target Price | 30.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 800 | ||||
| Beta | 1.62 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 298 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 512.37 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.84 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 266.75 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 512.37 M |
About Luminar Technologies Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Luminar Technologies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Luminar Technologies using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luminar Technologies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Luminar Technologies
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Luminar Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Luminar Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Luminar Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Luminar Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Luminar Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Luminar Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of Luminar Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Luminar Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Luminar Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Luminar Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Luminar Stock Analysis
When running Luminar Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Luminar Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luminar Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Luminar Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luminar Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luminar Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luminar Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.