Novabay Pharmaceuticals Stock Beneish M Score

NBY Stock  USD 0.68  0.04  5.56%   
This module uses fundamental data of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. NovaBay Pharmaceuticals M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Piotroski F Score and NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy NovaBay Stock please use our How to Invest in NovaBay Pharmaceuticals guide.
  
At this time, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' Short Term Debt is fairly stable compared to the past year. Short and Long Term Debt is likely to rise to about 1.1 M in 2024, whereas Net Debt is likely to drop (409.5 K) in 2024. At this time, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' Income Quality is fairly stable compared to the past year. Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to rise to 0.15 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.06 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by NovaBay Pharmaceuticals executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
2.64
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.4

Focus
Asset Quality

13.57

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.75

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.49

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.75

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.94

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.68

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.6

Focus

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables721 K759 K
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue10 M14.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets14.4 MM
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets9.5 M7.2 M
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Non Current Assets TotalM1.9 M
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.8 M1.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization229.5 K203 K
Moderately Up
Very volatile
Selling General Administrative7.5 M6.3 M
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities4.1 M4.3 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.6 M1.4 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.80.5361
Way Up
Slightly volatile

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards NovaBay Pharmaceuticals in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

16.85 Million

At this time, NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' Other Operating Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year.

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as NovaBay Pharmaceuticals. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.1M1.1M1.7M2.0M759K721.1K
Total Revenue6.6M9.9M8.4M14.4M14.7M10.0M
Total Assets11.2M15.2M24.0M16.4M9.0M14.4M
Total Current Assets9.4M14.2M13.2M11.3M7.2M9.5M
Net Debt(2.9M)(11.4M)(7.0M)(3.3M)(390K)(409.5K)
Short Term Debt3.5M832K505K906K2.1M2.2M
Operating Income(9.4M)(6.4M)(8.9M)(7.7M)(5.0M)(5.3M)
Investments(19K)(26K)(12.0M)(112K)(17K)(17.9K)
Gross Profit Margin0.850.880.740.60.670.8

About NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze NovaBay Pharmaceuticals's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for NovaBay Stock Analysis

When running NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NovaBay Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NovaBay Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NovaBay Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.