Oxford Square Capital Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

OXSQ Stock

USD 2.68 0.05 1.90%

Oxford Square's odds of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high probability of going through financial crunch in the upcoming years. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Oxford Square's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Oxford balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Oxford Square Piotroski F Score and Oxford Square Altman Z Score analysis.

As of 11/27/2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 203.5 M. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 297.2 M

Oxford Square Capital Company probability of distress Analysis

Oxford Square's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Oxford Square Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 88%

Most of Oxford Square's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Oxford Square Capital is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Oxford Square probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Oxford Square odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Oxford Square Capital financial health.

Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oxford Square. If investors know Oxford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oxford Square listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.62)

Dividend Share

0.42

Earnings Share

(0.11)

Revenue Per Share

0.736

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.21)

The market value of Oxford Square Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Square's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Square's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Square's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Square's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Square's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Square is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Square's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oxford Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Oxford Square is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Oxford Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Oxford Square's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Oxford Square's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Oxford Square's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Short Term Debt	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.89	0.93	0.88	0.91	0.95	0.7	0.49	0.51	0.75	0.91	0.82	-0.49	0.51	0.16	0.53	0.52	0.49	0.55	0.45	-0.34
Total Stockholder Equity	0.89		0.74	0.77	0.85	0.76	0.73	0.4	0.73	0.57	0.69	0.69	-0.24	0.7	0.45	0.61	0.54	0.42	0.69	0.69	-0.58
Net Debt	0.93	0.74		0.87	0.84	0.98	0.56	0.66	0.26	0.76	0.92	0.82	-0.55	0.27	0.12	0.32	0.37	0.43	0.34	0.24	-0.17
Net Receivables	0.88	0.77	0.87		0.83	0.86	0.64	0.62	0.4	0.6	0.82	0.77	-0.38	0.31	0.11	0.31	0.34	0.36	0.46	0.35	-0.23
Short Term Investments	0.91	0.85	0.84	0.83		0.89	0.7	0.28	0.67	0.8	0.87	0.68	-0.58	0.68	0.28	0.72	0.76	0.74	0.76	0.52	-0.4
Total Liab	0.95	0.76	0.98	0.86	0.89		0.61	0.53	0.35	0.81	0.98	0.83	-0.6	0.38	0.15	0.44	0.5	0.55	0.45	0.29	-0.24
Total Current Assets	0.7	0.73	0.56	0.64	0.7	0.61		0.25	0.63	0.74	0.57	0.52	-0.2	0.56	0.19	0.51	0.52	0.41	0.64	0.46	-0.32
Common Stock	0.49	0.4	0.66	0.62	0.28	0.53	0.25		-0.27	0.23	0.46	0.55	0.05	-0.34	-0.04	-0.37	-0.36	-0.29	-0.27	-0.21	0.21
Retained Earnings	0.51	0.73	0.26	0.4	0.67	0.35	0.63	-0.27		0.38	0.33	0.24	-0.2	0.96	0.56	0.87	0.81	0.65	0.96	0.9	-0.75
Accounts Payable	0.75	0.57	0.76	0.6	0.8	0.81	0.74	0.23	0.38		0.8	0.65	-0.59	0.44	0.09	0.54	0.61	0.66	0.5	0.26	-0.15
Long Term Debt	0.91	0.69	0.92	0.82	0.87	0.98	0.57	0.46	0.33	0.8		0.82	-0.65	0.37	0.1	0.46	0.53	0.6	0.44	0.23	-0.17
Short Term Debt	0.82	0.69	0.82	0.77	0.68	0.83	0.52	0.55	0.24	0.65	0.82		-0.5	0.24	0.06	0.33	0.27	0.32	0.25	0.27	-0.11
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.49	-0.24	-0.55	-0.38	-0.58	-0.6	-0.2	0.05	-0.2	-0.59	-0.65	-0.5		-0.31	0.18	-0.53	-0.63	-0.72	-0.35	-0.07	-0.11
Net Tangible Assets	0.51	0.7	0.27	0.31	0.68	0.38	0.56	-0.34	0.96	0.44	0.37	0.24	-0.31		0.55	0.94	0.89	0.73	0.95	0.84	-0.71
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.16	0.45	0.12	0.11	0.28	0.15	0.19	-0.04	0.56	0.09	0.1	0.06	0.18	0.55		0.3	0.33	0.31	0.52	0.66	-0.83
Long Term Investments	0.53	0.61	0.32	0.31	0.72	0.44	0.51	-0.37	0.87	0.54	0.46	0.33	-0.53	0.94	0.3		0.95	0.84	0.88	0.71	-0.5
Short Long Term Debt	0.52	0.54	0.37	0.34	0.76	0.5	0.52	-0.36	0.81	0.61	0.53	0.27	-0.63	0.89	0.33	0.95		0.94	0.9	0.6	-0.48
Long Term Debt Total	0.49	0.42	0.43	0.36	0.74	0.55	0.41	-0.29	0.65	0.66	0.6	0.32	-0.72	0.73	0.31	0.84	0.94		0.79	0.47	-0.38
Capital Surpluse	0.55	0.69	0.34	0.46	0.76	0.45	0.64	-0.27	0.96	0.5	0.44	0.25	-0.35	0.95	0.52	0.88	0.9	0.79		0.8	-0.7
Net Invested Capital	0.45	0.69	0.24	0.35	0.52	0.29	0.46	-0.21	0.9	0.26	0.23	0.27	-0.07	0.84	0.66	0.71	0.6	0.47	0.8		-0.85
Capital Stock	-0.34	-0.58	-0.17	-0.23	-0.4	-0.24	-0.32	0.21	-0.75	-0.15	-0.17	-0.11	-0.11	-0.71	-0.83	-0.5	-0.48	-0.38	-0.7	-0.85

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Oxford Square

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Oxford Square Capital has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 88%. This is 76.25% higher than that of the Capital Markets sector and 118.91% higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 120.94% lower than that of the firm.

Oxford Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Oxford Square's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Oxford Square could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oxford Square by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Oxford Square is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Oxford Square Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0851)	0.004785	0.0913	(0.3)	0.0621	0.0652
Asset Turnover	(0.0118)	(0.0746)	0.0155	(0.25)	0.13	0.0649
Gross Profit Margin	3.2	1.36	0.15	0.85	1.08	0.79
Net Debt	120.0M	47.7M	176.4M	177.3M	117.2M	128.9M
Total Current Liabilities	632.2K	478.2K	1.2M	186.3M	2.2M	2.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total	134.4M	106.9M	185.4M	3.0M	126.4M	155.3M
Total Assets	385.3M	357.7M	433.5M	328.0M	277.7M	486.5M
Total Current Assets	17.9M	61.4M	12.1M	322.9M	5.7T	5.5T
Total Cash From Operating Activities	47.8M	95.1M	(107.4M)	20.4M	26.7M	13.6M

Oxford Square ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Oxford Square's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Oxford Square's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Oxford Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.0293
	Return On Asset	0.0735
	Profit Margin	(0.10) %
	Operating Margin	0.79 %
	Current Valuation	261.53 M
	Shares Outstanding	67.89 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	9.61 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	6.33 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	534.37 K
	Price To Earning	1.52 X
	Price To Book	1.14 X
	Price To Sales	3.99 X
	Revenue	34.77 M
	Gross Profit	43.12 M
	EBITDA	28.25 M
	Net Income	17.24 M
	Cash And Equivalents	23.21 M
	Cash Per Share	0.47 X
	Total Debt	122.98 M
	Debt To Equity	1.02 %
	Current Ratio	0.94 X
	Book Value Per Share	2.35 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	26.72 M
	Short Ratio	1.39 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.11) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.44 X
	Target Price	4.75
	Beta	1.1
	Market Capitalization	178.56 M
	Total Asset	277.67 M
	Retained Earnings	(307.41 M)
	Annual Yield	0.16 %
	Five Year Return	14.77 %
	Net Asset	277.67 M
	Last Dividend Paid	0.42

About Oxford Square Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Oxford Square Capital's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Oxford Square using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oxford Square Capital based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Oxford Square

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Oxford Square position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oxford Square will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Oxford Stock

0.53	DHIL	Diamond Hill Investment	Pair Corr
0.39	BEN	Franklin Resources	Pair Corr
0.37	BY	Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025	Pair Corr
0.34	AX	Axos Financial	Pair Corr
0.33	BX	Blackstone Group Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Oxford Square could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Oxford Square when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Oxford Square - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Oxford Square Capital to buy it.

The correlation of Oxford Square is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Oxford Square moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Oxford Square Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Oxford Square can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for Oxford Stock Analysis

When running Oxford Square's price analysis, check to measure Oxford Square's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oxford Square is operating at the current time. Most of Oxford Square's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oxford Square's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oxford Square's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oxford Square to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Oxford Square Capital Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Oxford Square Capital Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Oxford Square Probability Of Bankruptcy

Oxford Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Oxford Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Oxford Square Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Oxford Square ESG Sustainability

Oxford Fundamentals

About Oxford Square Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Oxford Square

Moving against Oxford Stock

Additional Tools for Oxford Stock Analysis

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