Premier Foods Plc Stock Beneish M Score

PFD Stock   187.40  3.20  1.74%   
This module uses fundamental data of Premier Foods to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Premier Foods M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Premier Foods PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 987.8 M. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 830.8 M.
At this time, Premier Foods' M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Premier Foods' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Premier Foods executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Premier Foods' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-1.61
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

3.88

Focus
Asset Quality

0.8

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.34

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.34

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.11

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.75

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

3.0

Focus

Premier Foods Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Premier Foods' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables235.2 M80.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue856.2 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.1 B2.3 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets501.5 M316.9 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total1.6 BB
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment270 M176.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization61.1 M45.3 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative133.5 M75.8 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities532.4 M278.3 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.5 B726.8 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt830.8 M235.6 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt818.7 M325.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Premier Foods PLC Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Premier Foods' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Premier Foods in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Premier Foods' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Premier Foods Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

45.3 Million

At present, Premier Foods' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Premier Foods Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Premier Foods. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables66.4M64M51.5M68.8M67.9M80.5M
Total Revenue824.3M847.1M947M900.5M1.0B1.1B
Total Assets2.2B3.0B2.3B2.5B2.4B2.3B
Total Current Assets194.8M335.9M156.5M231.3M262.8M316.9M
Net Debt469.9M429.6M332.7M285M274.3M235.6M
Long Term Debt497.7M501M315.2M323.2M324.4M325.7M
Operating Income4.5M95.3M152.6M131.1M132.2M181.1M
Investments(18M)13.8M(23.2M)(63.8M)(62.1M)(59.0M)

About Premier Foods Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Premier Foods PLC's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Premier Foods using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Premier Foods PLC based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Premier Stock

Premier Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premier Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premier with respect to the benefits of owning Premier Foods security.