Patagonia Gold Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

PGDC Stock  CAD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
Patagonia Gold's risk of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small likelihood of experiencing financial crunch in the next few years. Patagonia Gold's Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Patagonia Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Patagonia balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Patagonia Gold Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  
Market Cap is likely to drop to about 8.4 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 43.4 M in 2024

Patagonia Gold Corp Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Patagonia Gold's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

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Current Patagonia Gold Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 44%  
Most of Patagonia Gold's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Patagonia Gold Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Patagonia Gold probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Patagonia Gold odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Patagonia Gold Corp financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Patagonia Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Patagonia Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Patagonia Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Patagonia Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Patagonia Gold is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Patagonia Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Patagonia Gold's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Patagonia Gold's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Patagonia Gold's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Patagonia Gold Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Metals & Mining average (which is currently at 44.34) sector and significantly higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 10.47% lower than that of the firm.

Patagonia Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Patagonia Gold's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Patagonia Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Patagonia Gold by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Patagonia Gold is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Patagonia Gold Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0994(0.37)(0.17)(0.0734)(0.19)(0.0777)
Asset Turnover0.40.330.310.230.170.16
Gross Profit Margin0.530.250.33(0.23)(0.29)(0.28)
Net Debt22.5M26.7M24.1M22.7M26.1M27.4M
Total Current Liabilities29.4M28.0M14.5M14.3M16.4M12.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total3.1M17.6M24.1M25.8M29.6M31.1M
Total Assets55.9M54.8M60.1M57.7M66.4M36.9M
Total Current Assets11.5M5.5M6.1M6.6M7.5M8.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(7.6M)2.8M(535K)(591K)(679.7K)(713.6K)

Patagonia Fundamentals

About Patagonia Gold Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Patagonia Gold Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Patagonia Gold using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Patagonia Gold Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Patagonia Stock Analysis

When running Patagonia Gold's price analysis, check to measure Patagonia Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Patagonia Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Patagonia Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Patagonia Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Patagonia Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Patagonia Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.