Sonic Automotive Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SAH Stock

USD 66.52 3.32 5.25%

Sonic Automotive's likelihood of distress is below 1% at the present time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crunch in the next two years. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Sonic balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Sonic Automotive Piotroski F Score and Sonic Automotive Altman Z Score analysis.

For more detail on how to invest in Sonic Stock please use our How to Invest in Sonic Automotive guide.

The Sonic Automotive's current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 1.8 B. The Sonic Automotive's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 3.1 B

Sonic Automotive Company probability of distress Analysis

Sonic Automotive's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Sonic Automotive Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Sonic Automotive's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Sonic Automotive is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Sonic Automotive probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Sonic Automotive odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Sonic Automotive financial health.

Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sonic Automotive. If investors know Sonic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sonic Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.109

Dividend Share

1.2

Earnings Share

5.64

Revenue Per Share

409.817

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.04)

The market value of Sonic Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sonic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sonic Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sonic Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sonic Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sonic Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.95	0.99	0.77	0.88	0.92	1.0	0.95	0.9	0.69	0.75	0.79	-0.72	-0.85	0.81	0.22	0.63	0.75	0.75	0.03	-0.01	0.78	0.57	0.58	0.48	0.46
Total Stockholder Equity	0.95		0.91	0.74	0.85	0.88	0.93	0.91	0.9	0.58	0.78	0.64	-0.61	-0.79	0.77	0.2	0.63	0.58	0.62	0.05	0.02	0.69	0.5	0.42	0.29	0.3
Net Debt	0.99	0.91		0.76	0.88	0.93	1.0	0.95	0.9	0.68	0.72	0.8	-0.71	-0.84	0.81	0.19	0.61	0.79	0.78	0.05	0.02	0.79	0.54	0.6	0.5	0.51
Retained Earnings	0.77	0.74	0.76		0.49	0.61	0.77	0.66	0.6	0.78	0.43	0.76	-0.58	-0.96	0.98	0.6	0.89	0.77	0.91	-0.26	-0.21	0.9	0.86	0.75	0.58	0.76
Accounts Payable	0.88	0.85	0.88	0.49		0.93	0.88	0.95	0.92	0.42	0.88	0.53	-0.56	-0.6	0.58	-0.13	0.34	0.5	0.46	0.27	0.1	0.42	0.23	0.31	0.24	0.22
Net Receivables	0.92	0.88	0.93	0.61	0.93		0.92	0.97	0.96	0.42	0.86	0.59	-0.59	-0.72	0.71	-0.09	0.44	0.56	0.58	0.24	0.24	0.61	0.28	0.34	0.27	0.32
Total Liab	1.0	0.93	1.0	0.77	0.88	0.92		0.95	0.89	0.7	0.73	0.81	-0.74	-0.86	0.81	0.22	0.62	0.79	0.77	0.02	-0.01	0.79	0.57	0.61	0.52	0.49
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.91	0.95	0.66	0.95	0.97	0.95		0.98	0.49	0.84	0.63	-0.64	-0.76	0.74	-0.01	0.51	0.6	0.63	0.25	0.15	0.62	0.37	0.39	0.31	0.36
Short Term Debt	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.92	0.96	0.89	0.98		0.35	0.84	0.49	-0.56	-0.67	0.68	-0.07	0.48	0.47	0.55	0.31	0.23	0.56	0.26	0.24	0.12	0.27
Intangible Assets	0.69	0.58	0.68	0.78	0.42	0.42	0.7	0.49	0.35		0.28	0.92	-0.56	-0.77	0.75	0.56	0.6	0.92	0.79	-0.39	-0.39	0.78	0.89	0.97	0.85	0.72
Common Stock	0.75	0.78	0.72	0.43	0.88	0.86	0.73	0.84	0.84	0.28		0.31	-0.53	-0.55	0.57	-0.22	0.32	0.28	0.31	0.21	0.09	0.3	0.2	0.15	0.1	0.15
Long Term Debt	0.79	0.64	0.8	0.76	0.53	0.59	0.81	0.63	0.49	0.92	0.31		-0.59	-0.81	0.75	0.4	0.53	0.98	0.8	-0.17	-0.11	0.84	0.74	0.9	0.86	0.63
Good Will	-0.72	-0.61	-0.71	-0.58	-0.56	-0.59	-0.74	-0.64	-0.56	-0.56	-0.53	-0.59		0.72	-0.59	-0.43	-0.69	-0.59	-0.67	0.3	0.38	-0.63	-0.62	-0.51	-0.57	-0.47
Treasury Stock	-0.85	-0.79	-0.84	-0.96	-0.6	-0.72	-0.86	-0.76	-0.67	-0.77	-0.55	-0.81	0.72		-0.97	-0.51	-0.85	-0.8	-0.88	0.21	0.16	-0.9	-0.81	-0.73	-0.66	-0.67
Property Plant Equipment	0.81	0.77	0.81	0.98	0.58	0.71	0.81	0.74	0.68	0.75	0.57	0.75	-0.59	-0.97		0.45	0.82	0.76	0.88	-0.16	-0.11	0.87	0.8	0.72	0.57	0.74
Current Deferred Revenue	0.22	0.2	0.19	0.6	-0.13	-0.09	0.22	-0.01	-0.07	0.56	-0.22	0.4	-0.43	-0.51	0.45		0.79	0.43	0.61	-0.75	-0.7	0.61	0.77	0.56	0.43	0.57
Net Tangible Assets	0.63	0.63	0.61	0.89	0.34	0.44	0.62	0.51	0.48	0.6	0.32	0.53	-0.69	-0.85	0.82	0.79		0.55	0.83	-0.45	-0.43	0.8	0.82	0.56	0.41	0.67
Long Term Debt Total	0.75	0.58	0.79	0.77	0.5	0.56	0.79	0.6	0.47	0.92	0.28	0.98	-0.59	-0.8	0.76	0.43	0.55		0.86	-0.23	-0.16	0.85	0.76	0.94	0.86	0.74
Capital Surpluse	0.75	0.62	0.78	0.91	0.46	0.58	0.77	0.63	0.55	0.79	0.31	0.8	-0.67	-0.88	0.88	0.61	0.83	0.86		-0.33	-0.26	0.93	0.82	0.82	0.63	0.89
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.03	0.05	0.05	-0.26	0.27	0.24	0.02	0.25	0.31	-0.39	0.21	-0.17	0.3	0.21	-0.16	-0.75	-0.45	-0.23	-0.33		0.72	-0.31	-0.55	-0.41	-0.33	-0.41
Long Term Investments	-0.01	0.02	0.02	-0.21	0.1	0.24	-0.01	0.15	0.23	-0.39	0.09	-0.11	0.38	0.16	-0.11	-0.7	-0.43	-0.16	-0.26	0.72		-0.14	-0.51	-0.38	-0.29	-0.38
Short Long Term Debt	0.78	0.69	0.79	0.9	0.42	0.61	0.79	0.62	0.56	0.78	0.3	0.84	-0.63	-0.9	0.87	0.61	0.8	0.85	0.93	-0.31	-0.14		0.8	0.77	0.62	0.72
Cash And Equivalents	0.57	0.5	0.54	0.86	0.23	0.28	0.57	0.37	0.26	0.89	0.2	0.74	-0.62	-0.81	0.8	0.77	0.82	0.76	0.82	-0.55	-0.51	0.8		0.85	0.73	0.78
Net Invested Capital	0.58	0.42	0.6	0.75	0.31	0.34	0.61	0.39	0.24	0.97	0.15	0.9	-0.51	-0.73	0.72	0.56	0.56	0.94	0.82	-0.41	-0.38	0.77	0.85		0.88	0.82
Net Working Capital	0.48	0.29	0.5	0.58	0.24	0.27	0.52	0.31	0.12	0.85	0.1	0.86	-0.57	-0.66	0.57	0.43	0.41	0.86	0.63	-0.33	-0.29	0.62	0.73	0.88		0.58
Capital Stock	0.46	0.3	0.51	0.76	0.22	0.32	0.49	0.36	0.27	0.72	0.15	0.63	-0.47	-0.67	0.74	0.57	0.67	0.74	0.89	-0.41	-0.38	0.72	0.78	0.82	0.58

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0354	(0.0135)	0.0701	0.0178	0.0332	0.0349
Asset Turnover	2.57	2.61	2.49	2.81	2.68	3.04
Net Debt	2.6B	2.3B	3.0B	3.3B	3.8B	2.0B
Total Current Liabilities	2.1B	1.8B	1.9B	1.8B	2.3B	1.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.1B	1.1B	2.0B	2.2B	2.2B	2.3B
Total Assets	4.1B	3.7B	5.0B	5.0B	5.4B	3.1B
Total Current Assets	2.0B	1.9B	2.1B	2.2B	2.5B	1.6B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	170.9M	281.1M	306.3M	406.1M	(15.7M)	(14.9M)

	Return On Equity	0.21
	Return On Asset	0.0531
	Profit Margin	0.01 %
	Operating Margin	0.03 %
	Current Valuation	6.18 B
	Shares Outstanding	22.16 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	33.33 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	71.65 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	1.43 M
	Price To Earning	11.02 X
	Price To Book	2.08 X
	Price To Sales	0.16 X
	Revenue	14.37 B
	Gross Profit	2.32 B
	EBITDA	565 M
	Net Income	178.2 M
	Cash And Equivalents	229.2 M
	Cash Per Share	4.68 X
	Total Debt	3.86 B
	Debt To Equity	2.80 %
	Current Ratio	1.02 X
	Book Value Per Share	29.69 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(15.7 M)
	Short Ratio	8.79 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.64 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.60 X
	Target Price	66.75
	Number Of Employees	10.5 K
	Beta	1.62
	Market Capitalization	2.16 B
	Total Asset	5.36 B
	Retained Earnings	1.24 B
	Working Capital	227.5 M
	Current Asset	2.08 B
	Current Liabilities	1.91 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.23 %
	Net Asset	5.36 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.2

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Sonic Automotive Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Sonic Automotive Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Sonic Automotive Probability Of Bankruptcy

Sonic Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Sonic Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Sonic Automotive Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Sonic Automotive ESG Sustainability

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About Sonic Automotive Fundamental Analysis

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