Seritage Growth Properties Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SRG Stock  USD 3.61  0.01  0.28%   
Seritage Growth's odds of distress is over 60% at the present time. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial trouble in the next 2 years. Seritage Growth's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Seritage Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Seritage balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Seritage Growth Piotroski F Score and Seritage Growth Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Seritage Growth's current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 1.1 B

Seritage Growth Properties Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Seritage Growth's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Seritage Growth Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 60%  
Most of Seritage Growth's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Seritage Growth Properties is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Seritage Growth probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Seritage Growth odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Seritage Growth Properties financial health.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seritage Growth. If investors know Seritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seritage Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
(2.55)
Revenue Per Share
1.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Seritage Growth Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seritage Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seritage Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seritage Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seritage Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seritage Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seritage Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seritage Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Seritage Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Seritage Growth is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Seritage Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Seritage Growth's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Seritage Growth's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Seritage Growth's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Seritage Growth Properties has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 60%. This is 40.29% higher than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 50.64% lower than that of the firm.

Seritage Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Seritage Growth's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Seritage Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seritage Growth by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
60.009.00100.00100.00100%
Seritage Growth is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Seritage Growth Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0577)(0.0161)(0.0652)(0.16)(0.18)(0.17)
Asset Turnover0.0440.04830.05810.02110.02430.0231
Gross Profit Margin0.330.310.39(0.33)(0.38)(0.36)
Net Debt1.5B1.4B902.2M233.6M210.2M199.7M
Total Current Liabilities123.3M88.0M81.9M43.4M39.1M68.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total1.6B1.5B1.0B367.3M330.6M314.0M
Total Assets2.6B2.4B1.8B973.9M876.5M832.7M
Total Current Assets208.3M152.9M652.7M146.2M168.2M335.4M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(47.3M)(136.0M)(117.9M)(53.1M)(47.8M)(45.4M)

Seritage Growth ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Seritage Growth's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Seritage Growth's managers, analysts, and investors.
65.8%
Environmental
Governance
Social

Seritage Fundamentals

Return On Equity-0.28
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Return On Asset-0.0159
Profit Margin(2.46) %
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Operating Margin(5.68) %
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Current Valuation397.56 M
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Shares Outstanding56.27 M
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Shares Owned By Insiders41.08 %
Shares Owned By Institutions50.62 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.81 M
Price To Earning(17.79) X
Price To Book0.49 X
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Price To Sales3.60 X
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Revenue20.58 M
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Gross Profit30.38 M
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EBITDA(52.62 M)
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Net Income(154.91 M)
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Cash And Equivalents133.48 M
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Cash Per Share2.67 X
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Total Debt367.6 M
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Debt To Equity2.30 %
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Current Ratio3.42 X
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Book Value Per Share7.42 X
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Cash Flow From Operations(53.06 M)
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Short Ratio34.16 X
Earnings Per Share(2.55) X
Target Price8.5
Number Of Employees19
Beta2.58
Market Capitalization203.13 M
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Total Asset973.86 M
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Retained Earnings(800.34 M)
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Working Capital552.68 M
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Current Asset385.3 M
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Current Liabilities117.55 M
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Net Asset973.86 M

About Seritage Growth Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Seritage Growth Properties's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Seritage Growth using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seritage Growth Properties based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Seritage Growth Prop is a strong investment it is important to analyze Seritage Growth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Seritage Growth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Seritage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Seritage Growth Piotroski F Score and Seritage Growth Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seritage Growth. If investors know Seritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seritage Growth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
(2.55)
Revenue Per Share
1.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.44)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Seritage Growth Prop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seritage Growth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seritage Growth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seritage Growth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seritage Growth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seritage Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seritage Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seritage Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.