Territorial Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

TBNK Stock  USD 10.81  0.11  1.01%   
Territorial Bancorp's odds of distress is over 50% at the moment. It has a moderate probability of going through some financial distress in the next 2 years. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Territorial Bancorp's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Territorial balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Territorial Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Territorial Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Territorial Stock please use our How to buy in Territorial Stock guide.
  
Market Cap is expected to rise to about 177.6 M this year, although Enterprise Value will most likely fall to about 165.6 M.

Territorial Bancorp Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Territorial Bancorp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Territorial Bancorp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 52%  
Most of Territorial Bancorp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Territorial Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Territorial Bancorp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Territorial Bancorp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Territorial Bancorp financial health.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Territorial Bancorp. If investors know Territorial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Territorial Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
4.211
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of Territorial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Territorial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Territorial Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Territorial Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Territorial Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Territorial Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Territorial Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Territorial Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Territorial Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Territorial Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Territorial Bancorp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Territorial Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Territorial Bancorp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Territorial Bancorp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Territorial Bancorp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.880.360.98-0.650.710.280.860.330.460.96-0.84-0.30.8-0.91-0.290.190.42-0.26-0.850.66-0.330.03
0.880.050.86-0.920.450.220.770.310.40.82-0.81-0.120.57-0.72-0.230.140.55-0.24-0.610.46-0.270.05
0.360.050.330.150.490.250.230.09-0.290.35-0.37-0.250.5-0.490.20.38-0.21-0.08-0.560.51-0.44-0.57
0.980.860.33-0.620.690.370.860.430.540.94-0.83-0.220.82-0.93-0.410.10.49-0.33-0.820.68-0.340.05
-0.65-0.920.15-0.62-0.2-0.07-0.62-0.14-0.19-0.60.68-0.04-0.270.470.02-0.21-0.540.050.31-0.210.14-0.01
0.710.450.490.69-0.20.140.440.170.380.57-0.54-0.460.86-0.72-0.380.340.08-0.17-0.730.84-0.38-0.13
0.280.220.250.37-0.070.140.20.970.040.26-0.21-0.220.24-0.33-0.3-0.230.17-0.2-0.20.14-0.14-0.39
0.860.770.230.86-0.620.440.20.230.330.88-0.75-0.030.58-0.82-0.120.210.71-0.13-0.620.43-0.140.07
0.330.310.090.43-0.140.170.970.230.230.3-0.28-0.290.3-0.37-0.48-0.250.24-0.28-0.260.21-0.23-0.28
0.460.4-0.290.54-0.190.380.040.330.230.43-0.36-0.010.49-0.46-0.85-0.290.3-0.41-0.430.39-0.220.66
0.960.820.350.94-0.60.570.260.880.30.43-0.79-0.240.66-0.87-0.170.10.41-0.19-0.810.5-0.230.14
-0.84-0.81-0.37-0.830.68-0.54-0.21-0.75-0.28-0.36-0.790.12-0.720.90.3-0.45-0.450.270.76-0.690.680.18
-0.3-0.12-0.25-0.22-0.04-0.46-0.22-0.03-0.29-0.01-0.240.12-0.410.160.08-0.150.280.150.53-0.420.290.29
0.80.570.50.82-0.270.860.240.580.30.490.66-0.72-0.41-0.85-0.560.270.24-0.49-0.870.94-0.6-0.17
-0.91-0.72-0.49-0.930.47-0.72-0.33-0.82-0.37-0.46-0.870.90.16-0.850.4-0.31-0.430.30.84-0.770.530.1
-0.29-0.230.2-0.410.02-0.38-0.3-0.12-0.48-0.85-0.170.30.08-0.560.40.2-0.260.520.35-0.520.43-0.27
0.190.140.380.1-0.210.34-0.230.21-0.25-0.290.1-0.45-0.150.27-0.310.20.00.44-0.210.42-0.49-0.52
0.420.55-0.210.49-0.540.080.170.710.240.30.41-0.450.280.24-0.43-0.260.0-0.21-0.120.2-0.030.13
-0.26-0.24-0.08-0.330.05-0.17-0.2-0.13-0.28-0.41-0.190.270.15-0.490.30.520.44-0.210.44-0.440.41-0.01
-0.85-0.61-0.56-0.820.31-0.73-0.2-0.62-0.26-0.43-0.810.760.53-0.870.840.35-0.21-0.120.44-0.810.610.07
0.660.460.510.68-0.210.840.140.430.210.390.5-0.69-0.420.94-0.77-0.520.420.2-0.44-0.81-0.72-0.27
-0.33-0.27-0.44-0.340.14-0.38-0.14-0.14-0.23-0.22-0.230.680.29-0.60.530.43-0.49-0.030.410.61-0.720.4
0.030.05-0.570.05-0.01-0.13-0.390.07-0.280.660.140.180.29-0.170.1-0.27-0.520.13-0.010.07-0.270.4
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Territorial Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 52%. This is 4.15% higher than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 30.55% lower than that of the firm.

Territorial Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Territorial Bancorp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Territorial Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Territorial Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Territorial Bancorp is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Territorial Bancorp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01050.0088140.0081810.0074470.0022480.002135
Asset Turnover0.03180.03050.02840.02750.02020.0351
Net Debt123.4M(209.4M)51.9M115.7M132.6M139.3M
Total Current Liabilities23.0M29.2M22.6M60.9M506.1M531.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total168.2M154.1M151.7M1.9B2.0B2.1B
Total Assets2.1B2.1B2.1B2.2B2.2B2.0B
Total Current Assets58.8M373.6M105.6M1.4B126.7M202.1M
Total Cash From Operating Activities22.3M21.0M12.5M16.7M8.3M15.1M

Territorial Bancorp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Territorial Bancorp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Territorial Bancorp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Territorial Fundamentals

About Territorial Bancorp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Territorial Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Territorial Bancorp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Territorial Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Territorial Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Territorial Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Territorial Bancorp Stock:
Check out Territorial Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Territorial Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Territorial Stock please use our How to buy in Territorial Stock guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Territorial Bancorp. If investors know Territorial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Territorial Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.90)
Dividend Share
0.12
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
4.211
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of Territorial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Territorial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Territorial Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Territorial Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Territorial Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Territorial Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Territorial Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Territorial Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Territorial Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.