Timberland Bancorp Stock Beneish M Score

TSBK Stock  USD 32.39  0.66  2.00%   
This module uses fundamental data of Timberland Bancorp to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Timberland Bancorp M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Timberland Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Timberland Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.
  
At this time, Timberland Bancorp's Net Debt is quite stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt is expected to rise to about 33.4 M this year, although the value of Debt To Equity will most likely fall to 0.08. At this time, Timberland Bancorp's Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is quite stable compared to the past year. POCF Ratio is expected to rise to 13.59 this year, although the value of Capex To Depreciation will most likely fall to 0.45.
At this time, it appears that Timberland Bancorp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Timberland Bancorp's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Timberland Bancorp executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Timberland Bancorp's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.96
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.01

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.52

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.52

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.73

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Timberland Bancorp Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Timberland Bancorp's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables7.2 M6.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue111.2 M105.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total AssetsB1.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets172.8 M181.9 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment18.9 M27.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization214.7 K226 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative15.3 M27.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total634.9 M604.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt833.6 K877.5 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income16.1 M30.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities37.4 M35.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments40 M48 M
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments381.3 M363.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Timberland Bancorp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Timberland Bancorp's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Timberland Bancorp in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Timberland Bancorp's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Timberland Bancorp Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

214,700

At this time, Timberland Bancorp's Depreciation And Amortization is quite stable compared to the past year.

Timberland Bancorp Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Timberland Bancorp. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables4.5M3.7M4.5M6.0M6.9M7.2M
Total Revenue65.1M65.5M64.7M75.6M105.9M111.2M
Total Assets1.6B1.8B1.9B1.8B1.9B2.0B
Total Current Assets1.4B1.6B385.5M191.7M181.9M172.8M
Net Debt(367.4M)(601.3M)(337.6M)(107.0M)20M21M
Operating Income37.4M40.2M34.8M34.0M30.4M16.1M
Investments(153.5M)(9.5M)(334.4M)(170.2M)(153.2M)(145.5M)

Timberland Bancorp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Timberland Bancorp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Timberland Bancorp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Timberland Bancorp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Timberland Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Timberland Bancorp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timberland Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Timberland Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Timberland Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Timberland Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Timberland Bancorp Stock:
Check out Timberland Bancorp Piotroski F Score and Timberland Bancorp Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Timberland Stock please use our How to buy in Timberland Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Timberland Bancorp. If investors know Timberland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Timberland Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
0.95
Earnings Share
3.01
Revenue Per Share
9.225
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Timberland Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Timberland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Timberland Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Timberland Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Timberland Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Timberland Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Timberland Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timberland Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timberland Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.