Ucb Sa Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

UCB Stock  EUR 185.90  0.40  0.22%   
UCB SA's likelihood of distress is under 11% at this time. It has tiny risk of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. UCB SA's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting UCB Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the UCB balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in UCB SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

UCB SA Company probability of distress Analysis

UCB SA's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current UCB SA Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 11%  
Most of UCB SA's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, UCB SA is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of UCB SA probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting UCB SA odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of UCB SA financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UCB SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UCB SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UCB SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, UCB SA has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 11.0%. This is 74.59% lower than that of the Pharmaceuticals sector and 79.94% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Belgium stocks is 72.38% higher than that of the company.

UCB Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses UCB SA's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of UCB SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UCB SA by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
UCB SA is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

UCB Fundamentals

About UCB SA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze UCB SA's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of UCB SA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of UCB SA based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with UCB SA

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if UCB SA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in UCB SA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against UCB Stock

  0.8IMMO ImmobelPairCorr
  0.79ATEB Atenor SAPairCorr
  0.74BPOST Bpost NVPairCorr
  0.72GREEN Greenyard NVPairCorr
  0.61CENER Cenergy HoldingsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to UCB SA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace UCB SA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back UCB SA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling UCB SA to buy it.
The correlation of UCB SA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as UCB SA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if UCB SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for UCB SA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for UCB Stock Analysis

When running UCB SA's price analysis, check to measure UCB SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UCB SA is operating at the current time. Most of UCB SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UCB SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UCB SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UCB SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.