Village Farms International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

VFF Stock  USD 0.79  0.09  12.86%   
Village Farms' odds of distress is below 50% at the present time. It has small probability of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. Village Farms' Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Village Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Village balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Village Farms Piotroski F Score and Village Farms Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Village Farms' current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 290.9 M. The Village Farms' current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 315.6 M

Village Farms International Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Village Farms' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Village Farms Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 46%  
Most of Village Farms' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Village Farms International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Village Farms probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Village Farms odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Village Farms International financial health.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Farms. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
(0.45)
Revenue Per Share
2.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.199
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Village Farms Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Village Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Village Farms is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Village Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Village Farms' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Village Farms' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Village Farms' interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.99-0.25-0.710.840.930.840.990.80.940.00.980.92-0.160.280.90.380.880.960.90.94
0.99-0.33-0.670.850.950.80.990.780.930.060.970.93-0.210.20.870.350.850.970.920.93
-0.25-0.330.17-0.26-0.370.06-0.320.06-0.23-0.29-0.3-0.310.640.49-0.030.38-0.04-0.26-0.48-0.29
-0.71-0.670.17-0.59-0.61-0.57-0.7-0.47-0.830.38-0.82-0.60.33-0.16-0.690.05-0.63-0.62-0.6-0.79
0.840.85-0.26-0.590.870.840.840.740.80.140.830.92-0.240.040.740.230.840.890.850.91
0.930.95-0.37-0.610.870.720.950.720.90.220.920.89-0.41-0.060.840.350.720.890.850.86
0.840.80.06-0.570.840.720.810.890.77-0.10.780.880.150.490.840.480.970.890.760.87
0.990.99-0.32-0.70.840.950.810.760.930.040.970.9-0.250.20.890.340.840.940.90.92
0.80.780.06-0.470.740.720.890.760.760.120.710.860.180.410.890.750.90.860.670.77
0.940.93-0.23-0.830.80.90.770.930.76-0.060.970.88-0.290.160.90.320.810.890.810.92
0.00.06-0.290.380.140.22-0.10.040.12-0.06-0.090.11-0.35-0.540.080.31-0.130.03-0.01-0.13
0.980.97-0.3-0.820.830.920.780.970.710.97-0.090.88-0.290.190.870.230.830.920.880.95
0.920.93-0.31-0.60.920.890.880.90.860.880.110.88-0.130.180.820.370.920.980.930.95
-0.16-0.210.640.33-0.24-0.410.15-0.250.18-0.29-0.35-0.29-0.130.78-0.130.360.17-0.05-0.17-0.17
0.280.20.49-0.160.04-0.060.490.20.410.16-0.540.190.180.780.290.360.520.30.180.24
0.90.87-0.03-0.690.740.840.840.890.890.90.080.870.82-0.130.290.620.830.840.670.81
0.380.350.380.050.230.350.480.340.750.320.310.230.370.360.360.620.430.390.120.19
0.880.85-0.04-0.630.840.720.970.840.90.81-0.130.830.920.170.520.830.430.940.840.92
0.960.97-0.26-0.620.890.890.890.940.860.890.030.920.98-0.050.30.840.390.940.940.95
0.90.92-0.48-0.60.850.850.760.90.670.81-0.010.880.93-0.170.180.670.120.840.940.93
0.940.93-0.29-0.790.910.860.870.920.770.92-0.130.950.95-0.170.240.810.190.920.950.93
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Village Farms International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 46.0%. This is 27.14% higher than that of the Food Products sector and 12.06% higher than that of the Consumer Staples industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 15.49% lower than that of the firm.

Village Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Village Farms' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Village Farms could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Village Farms by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Village Farms is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Village Farms Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0328(0.0156)(0.21)(0.0681)(0.0783)(0.0744)
Asset Turnover0.480.470.630.610.71.02
Gross Profit Margin(0.0508)0.06440.170.09370.20.13
Net Debt63.8M23.9M54.1M30.2M27.2M36.4M
Total Current Liabilities72.3M64.3M72.2M72.2M83.0M87.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total76.5M77.8M73.1M75.9M87.3M61.2M
Total Assets354.0M566.9M465.3M467.0M537.0M563.9M
Total Current Assets101.8M175.0M133.0M151.8M174.5M183.3M
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.7M(39.6M)(19.9M)5.3M4.8M3.5M

Village Fundamentals

About Village Farms Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Village Farms International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Village Farms using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Village Farms International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Village Farms Intern is a strong investment it is important to analyze Village Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Village Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Village Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Village Farms Piotroski F Score and Village Farms Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Farms. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
(0.45)
Revenue Per Share
2.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.199
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Village Farms Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.