Valley National Bancorp Stock Beneish M Score

VLY Stock  USD 10.68  0.01  0.09%   
This module uses fundamental data of Valley National to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Valley National M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Valley National Piotroski F Score and Valley National Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Valley National's Short Term Debt is fairly stable compared to the past year. Debt To Equity is likely to rise to 1.02 in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 2.1 B in 2024. At this time, Valley National's Graham Number is fairly stable compared to the past year. Shareholders Equity Per Share is likely to rise to 13.86 in 2024, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.03 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Valley National Bancorp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Valley National's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Valley National executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Valley National's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.49
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.9

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.9

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.71

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.93

Focus

Valley National Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Valley National's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables257.8 M245.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets64 B60.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.1 B1.1 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total62.9 B59.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment282.5 M412.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization87.4 M83.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative73.2 M77 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities14.8 B14.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total55.6 B52.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.6 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income392.4 M689.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities376.2 M378.2 M
Slightly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments27.2 M28.7 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments10.2 B5.1 B
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.80.9
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

Valley National Bancorp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Valley National's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Valley National in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Valley National's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Valley National Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

912.16 Million

At this time, Valley National's Other Operating Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Valley National Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Valley National. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables105.6M106.2M96.9M196.6M245.5M257.8M
Total Revenue1.1B1.3B1.4B1.9B1.8B1.9B
Total Assets37.5B40.7B43.4B57.5B60.9B64.0B
Total Current Assets2.1B2.8B3.3B2.4B1.1B1.1B
Net Debt3.1B2.4B369.0M1.1B2.8B1.6B
Short Term Debt1.1B1.1B500M138.7M1.1B1.2B
Long Term Debt55.7M56.1M1.5B1.6B2.4B1.6B
Operating Income456.8M530.1M640.7M1.1B689.2M392.4M
Investments(2.3B)(2.1B)(344.6M)(7.0B)(5.1B)(4.8B)

Valley National ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Valley National's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Valley National's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Valley National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Valley National Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Valley National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valley National Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Valley Stock Analysis

When running Valley National's price analysis, check to measure Valley National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valley National is operating at the current time. Most of Valley National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valley National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valley National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valley National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.