Valley National Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Name: Valley National Next Fiscal Year End
Start: 2025-01-23
End: 2025-01-23
Location: Valley National Bancorp

VLY Stock

USD 10.68 0.01 0.09%

Valley National's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial straits in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Valley balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Valley National Piotroski F Score and Valley National Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 5.8 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 8.7 B in 2024

Valley National Bancorp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Valley National's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Valley National Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of Valley National's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Valley National Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Valley National probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Valley National odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Valley National Bancorp financial health.

Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valley National. If investors know Valley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valley National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.33)

Dividend Share

0.44

Earnings Share

0.62

Revenue Per Share

3.101

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.16)

The market value of Valley National Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valley National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valley National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valley National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valley National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Valley National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valley National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valley National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Valley Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Valley National is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Valley Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Valley National's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Valley National's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Valley National's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Earning Assets	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		1.0	0.02	0.95	0.87	1.0	-0.46	0.4	0.99	0.09	-0.2	1.0	-0.09	-0.72	0.91	0.6	0.98	-0.91	0.99	-0.27	-0.65	0.88	0.92	0.94
Total Stockholder Equity	1.0		-0.01	0.95	0.84	1.0	-0.5	0.39	0.99	0.12	-0.25	1.0	-0.07	-0.73	0.9	0.62	0.98	-0.93	0.99	-0.27	-0.67	0.9	0.93	0.94
Net Debt	0.02	-0.01		-0.2	0.11	0.03	0.51	0.55	0.06	-0.53	0.25	0.03	0.4	0.55	-0.11	0.03	-0.11	0.03	-0.06	0.53	-0.02	0.07	0.01	-0.2
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.95	-0.2		0.89	0.95	-0.63	0.22	0.9	0.16	-0.17	0.94	-0.37	-0.89	0.93	0.48	0.99	-0.82	0.97	-0.43	-0.53	0.84	0.92	0.98
Net Receivables	0.87	0.84	0.11	0.89		0.87	-0.46	0.2	0.81	-0.07	0.13	0.85	-0.42	-0.7	0.86	0.35	0.87	-0.64	0.87	-0.32	-0.35	0.69	0.82	0.89
Total Liab	1.0	1.0	0.03	0.95	0.87		-0.46	0.4	0.99	0.08	-0.19	1.0	-0.09	-0.72	0.91	0.6	0.98	-0.9	0.98	-0.27	-0.65	0.88	0.92	0.94
Total Current Assets	-0.46	-0.5	0.51	-0.63	-0.46	-0.46		0.31	-0.43	-0.27	0.46	-0.48	0.55	0.65	-0.52	-0.1	-0.6	0.53	-0.56	0.54	0.11	-0.5	-0.59	-0.69
Short Term Debt	0.4	0.39	0.55	0.22	0.2	0.4	0.31		0.43	-0.22	-0.31	0.43	0.38	0.03	0.23	0.25	0.32	-0.44	0.38	0.43	-0.45	0.47	0.38	0.14
Common Stock	0.99	0.99	0.06	0.9	0.81	0.99	-0.43	0.43		0.1	-0.26	0.99	0.03	-0.65	0.88	0.65	0.96	-0.94	0.97	-0.21	-0.69	0.89	0.9	0.9
Accounts Payable	0.09	0.12	-0.53	0.16	-0.07	0.08	-0.27	-0.22	0.1		-0.04	0.08	-0.05	-0.39	-0.08	0.62	0.14	-0.2	0.09	-0.35	-0.08	0.16	0.09	0.11
Long Term Debt	-0.2	-0.25	0.25	-0.17	0.13	-0.19	0.46	-0.31	-0.26	-0.04		-0.25	-0.2	0.1	-0.2	0.04	-0.26	0.51	-0.28	-0.07	0.33	-0.37	-0.29	-0.22
Good Will	1.0	1.0	0.03	0.94	0.85	1.0	-0.48	0.43	0.99	0.08	-0.25		-0.1	-0.72	0.9	0.59	0.98	-0.92	0.99	-0.23	-0.65	0.9	0.94	0.93
Short Term Investments	-0.09	-0.07	0.4	-0.37	-0.42	-0.09	0.55	0.38	0.03	-0.05	-0.2	-0.1		0.55	-0.21	0.29	-0.25	-0.1	-0.2	0.49	-0.38	-0.04	-0.23	-0.36
Treasury Stock	-0.72	-0.73	0.55	-0.89	-0.7	-0.72	0.65	0.03	-0.65	-0.39	0.1	-0.72	0.55		-0.79	-0.39	-0.82	0.59	-0.78	0.51	0.37	-0.64	-0.73	-0.85
Intangible Assets	0.91	0.9	-0.11	0.93	0.86	0.91	-0.52	0.23	0.88	-0.08	-0.2	0.9	-0.21	-0.79		0.34	0.92	-0.77	0.93	-0.26	-0.56	0.78	0.87	0.94
Property Plant Equipment	0.6	0.62	0.03	0.48	0.35	0.6	-0.1	0.25	0.65	0.62	0.04	0.59	0.29	-0.39	0.34		0.53	-0.65	0.52	-0.19	-0.5	0.63	0.53	0.43
Net Tangible Assets	0.98	0.98	-0.11	0.99	0.87	0.98	-0.6	0.32	0.96	0.14	-0.26	0.98	-0.25	-0.82	0.92	0.53		-0.89	1.0	-0.35	-0.6	0.89	0.94	0.98
Long Term Debt Total	-0.91	-0.93	0.03	-0.82	-0.64	-0.9	0.53	-0.44	-0.94	-0.2	0.51	-0.92	-0.1	0.59	-0.77	-0.65	-0.89		-0.9	0.2	0.72	-0.89	-0.86	-0.83
Capital Surpluse	0.99	0.99	-0.06	0.97	0.87	0.98	-0.56	0.38	0.97	0.09	-0.28	0.99	-0.2	-0.78	0.93	0.52	1.0	-0.9		-0.28	-0.62	0.9	0.95	0.97
Long Term Investments	-0.27	-0.27	0.53	-0.43	-0.32	-0.27	0.54	0.43	-0.21	-0.35	-0.07	-0.23	0.49	0.51	-0.26	-0.19	-0.35	0.2	-0.28		-0.01	-0.21	-0.34	-0.42
Short Long Term Debt	-0.65	-0.67	-0.02	-0.53	-0.35	-0.65	0.11	-0.45	-0.69	-0.08	0.33	-0.65	-0.38	0.37	-0.56	-0.5	-0.6	0.72	-0.62	-0.01		-0.54	-0.49	-0.52
Earning Assets	0.88	0.9	0.07	0.84	0.69	0.88	-0.5	0.47	0.89	0.16	-0.37	0.9	-0.04	-0.64	0.78	0.63	0.89	-0.89	0.9	-0.21	-0.54		0.97	0.81
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.93	0.01	0.92	0.82	0.92	-0.59	0.38	0.9	0.09	-0.29	0.94	-0.23	-0.73	0.87	0.53	0.94	-0.86	0.95	-0.34	-0.49	0.97		0.91
Capital Stock	0.94	0.94	-0.2	0.98	0.89	0.94	-0.69	0.14	0.9	0.11	-0.22	0.93	-0.36	-0.85	0.94	0.43	0.98	-0.83	0.97	-0.42	-0.52	0.81	0.91

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Valley National

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Valley National Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 87.98% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

Valley Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Valley National's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Valley National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valley National by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Valley National is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Valley National Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.008271	0.0096	0.0109	0.009899	0.008181	0.013
Asset Turnover	0.0297	0.032	0.0314	0.0324	0.0299	0.043
Net Debt	3.1B	2.4B	369.0M	1.1B	2.8B	1.6B
Total Current Liabilities	1.1B	1.1B	655.7M	497.6M	14.1B	14.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.5B	2.6B	1.8B	50.6B	52.9B	55.6B
Total Assets	37.5B	40.7B	43.4B	57.5B	60.9B	64.0B
Total Current Assets	2.1B	2.8B	3.3B	2.4B	1.1B	1.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.5B	151.5M	837.1M	1.4B	378.2M	376.2M

Valley National ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Valley National's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Valley National's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Valley Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0494
	Return On Asset	0.0055
	Profit Margin	0.21 %
	Operating Margin	0.37 %
	Current Valuation	8.55 B
	Shares Outstanding	558.57 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.36 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	73.16 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	34.13 M
	Price To Earning	12.60 X
	Price To Book	0.90 X
	Price To Sales	3.78 X
	Revenue	1.82 B
	Gross Profit	1.79 B
	EBITDA	761.54 M
	Net Income	498.51 M
	Cash And Equivalents	1.72 B
	Cash Per Share	3.39 X
	Total Debt	3.71 B
	Debt To Equity	8.79 %
	Book Value Per Share	13.00 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	378.19 M
	Short Ratio	3.96 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.62 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	3.32 X
	Target Price	10.9
	Number Of Employees	3.75 K
	Beta	1.09
	Market Capitalization	5.97 B
	Total Asset	60.93 B
	Retained Earnings	1.47 B
	Annual Yield	0.04 %
	Five Year Return	4.08 %
	Net Asset	60.93 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.44

About Valley National Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Valley National Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Valley National using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valley National Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Valley Stock Analysis

When running Valley National's price analysis, check to measure Valley National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valley National is operating at the current time. Most of Valley National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valley National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valley National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valley National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Valley National Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Valley National Bancorp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Valley National Probability Of Bankruptcy

Valley Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Valley Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Valley National Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Valley National ESG Sustainability

Valley Fundamentals

About Valley National Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Valley Stock Analysis

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