John Wiley Sons Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

WLY Stock

USD 52.16 1.21 2.37%

John Wiley's risk of distress is under 34% at this time. It has slight likelihood of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the John balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out John Wiley Piotroski F Score and John Wiley Altman Z Score analysis.

Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 3.8 B in 2024, whereas Market Cap is likely to drop slightly above 1.4 B in 2024.

John Wiley Sons Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

John Wiley's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current John Wiley Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 34%

Most of John Wiley's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, John Wiley Sons is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of John Wiley probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting John Wiley odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of John Wiley Sons financial health.

Is Publishing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of John Wiley. If investors know John will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about John Wiley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.63)

Dividend Share

1.403

Earnings Share

(2.01)

Revenue Per Share

33.365

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.10)

The market value of John Wiley Sons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of John that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of John Wiley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is John Wiley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because John Wiley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect John Wiley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between John Wiley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Wiley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Wiley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

John Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for John Wiley is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of John Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since John Wiley's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of John Wiley's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of John Wiley's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Good Will	Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Treasury Stock	Cash And Equivalents	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Short Long Term Debt
Total Assets		0.92	0.39	0.95	0.74	0.98	0.78	0.33	0.89	0.44	0.31	0.86	-0.65	0.85	0.3	0.3	0.14	-0.3	0.19	0.02	-0.2	0.11	-0.01	0.09	0.31	0.23
Total Stockholder Equity	0.92		0.09	0.9	0.58	0.81	0.75	0.16	0.94	0.56	0.42	0.73	-0.65	0.7	-0.02	-0.03	-0.13	-0.06	0.05	-0.23	-0.32	-0.06	0.01	0.1	0.42	0.21
Net Debt	0.39	0.09		0.36	0.71	0.53	0.04	0.32	0.09	-0.34	-0.45	0.65	-0.19	0.74	0.97	0.96	0.83	-0.92	0.51	0.43	0.43	0.55	-0.37	-0.2	-0.45	0.2
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.9	0.36		0.8	0.91	0.59	0.13	0.8	0.32	0.33	0.92	-0.58	0.87	0.28	0.29	0.18	-0.32	0.28	-0.08	-0.17	0.13	-0.04	0.16	0.33	0.19
Net Receivables	0.74	0.58	0.71	0.8		0.77	0.25	0.11	0.46	-0.17	0.16	0.91	-0.27	0.87	0.72	0.7	0.49	-0.77	0.51	0.05	-0.03	0.32	-0.23	0.15	0.16	0.31
Total Liab	0.98	0.81	0.53	0.91	0.77		0.74	0.39	0.8	0.35	0.23	0.87	-0.6	0.88	0.45	0.45	0.28	-0.4	0.26	0.15	-0.12	0.19	-0.03	0.08	0.23	0.22
Total Current Assets	0.78	0.75	0.04	0.59	0.25	0.74		0.47	0.82	0.72	0.26	0.41	-0.59	0.45	-0.07	-0.07	-0.18	0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.21	-0.1	0.05	0.18	0.26	0.06
Short Term Debt	0.33	0.16	0.32	0.13	0.11	0.39	0.47		0.28	0.27	0.01	0.09	-0.2	0.26	0.25	0.23	0.07	-0.16	-0.14	0.36	-0.1	0.15	-0.1	-0.24	0.01	0.36
Intangible Assets	0.89	0.94	0.09	0.8	0.46	0.8	0.82	0.28		0.73	0.36	0.63	-0.72	0.62	-0.06	-0.07	-0.21	0.02	-0.06	-0.18	-0.35	-0.18	0.12	0.03	0.36	0.19
Accounts Payable	0.44	0.56	-0.34	0.32	-0.17	0.35	0.72	0.27	0.73		0.24	0.05	-0.57	0.08	-0.51	-0.53	-0.57	0.5	-0.44	-0.14	-0.3	-0.41	0.22	0.05	0.23	-0.06
Common Stock	0.31	0.42	-0.45	0.33	0.16	0.23	0.26	0.01	0.36	0.24		0.06	0.19	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-0.6	0.31	-0.27	-0.21	-0.76	-0.34	0.24	0.41	1.0	0.21
Current Deferred Revenue	0.86	0.73	0.65	0.92	0.91	0.87	0.41	0.09	0.63	0.05	0.06		-0.55	0.97	0.59	0.59	0.47	-0.61	0.51	-0.01	0.02	0.27	-0.12	0.04	0.06	0.23
Short Term Investments	-0.65	-0.65	-0.19	-0.58	-0.27	-0.6	-0.59	-0.2	-0.72	-0.57	0.19	-0.55		-0.54	-0.02	-0.03	-0.06	-0.07	-0.15	0.16	0.12	0.08	-0.25	0.21	0.19	-0.22
Good Will	0.85	0.7	0.74	0.87	0.87	0.88	0.45	0.26	0.62	0.08	-0.06	0.97	-0.54		0.65	0.63	0.52	-0.67	0.43	0.1	0.11	0.35	-0.23	-0.08	-0.06	0.26
Long Term Debt	0.3	-0.02	0.97	0.28	0.72	0.45	-0.07	0.25	-0.06	-0.51	-0.37	0.59	-0.02	0.65		0.99	0.84	-0.94	0.57	0.42	0.39	0.55	-0.34	-0.12	-0.37	0.2
Long Term Debt Total	0.3	-0.03	0.96	0.29	0.7	0.45	-0.07	0.23	-0.07	-0.53	-0.38	0.59	-0.03	0.63	0.99		0.88	-0.91	0.56	0.46	0.42	0.58	-0.31	-0.13	-0.38	0.17
Capital Surpluse	0.14	-0.13	0.83	0.18	0.49	0.28	-0.18	0.07	-0.21	-0.57	-0.6	0.47	-0.06	0.52	0.84	0.88		-0.77	0.5	0.49	0.72	0.74	-0.39	-0.23	-0.6	-0.04
Treasury Stock	-0.3	-0.06	-0.92	-0.32	-0.77	-0.4	0.07	-0.16	0.02	0.5	0.31	-0.61	-0.07	-0.67	-0.94	-0.91	-0.77		-0.56	-0.31	-0.42	-0.55	0.52	0.03	0.31	-0.16
Cash And Equivalents	0.19	0.05	0.51	0.28	0.51	0.26	-0.07	-0.14	-0.06	-0.44	-0.27	0.51	-0.15	0.43	0.57	0.56	0.5	-0.56		-0.16	0.21	0.14	-0.06	0.32	-0.27	-0.05
Property Plant Equipment	0.02	-0.23	0.43	-0.08	0.05	0.15	0.03	0.36	-0.18	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	0.16	0.1	0.42	0.46	0.49	-0.31	-0.16		0.45	0.77	-0.57	-0.09	-0.21	0.13
Net Tangible Assets	-0.2	-0.32	0.43	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	-0.21	-0.1	-0.35	-0.3	-0.76	0.02	0.12	0.11	0.39	0.42	0.72	-0.42	0.21	0.45		0.6	-0.53	-0.11	-0.76	-0.53
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.11	-0.06	0.55	0.13	0.32	0.19	-0.1	0.15	-0.18	-0.41	-0.34	0.27	0.08	0.35	0.55	0.58	0.74	-0.55	0.14	0.77	0.6		-0.79	-0.17	-0.34	0.22
Net Invested Capital	-0.01	0.01	-0.37	-0.04	-0.23	-0.03	0.05	-0.1	0.12	0.22	0.24	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-0.34	-0.31	-0.39	0.52	-0.06	-0.57	-0.53	-0.79		-0.04	0.24	-0.12
Net Working Capital	0.09	0.1	-0.2	0.16	0.15	0.08	0.18	-0.24	0.03	0.05	0.41	0.04	0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-0.13	-0.23	0.03	0.32	-0.09	-0.11	-0.17	-0.04		0.41	-0.37
Capital Stock	0.31	0.42	-0.45	0.33	0.16	0.23	0.26	0.01	0.36	0.23	1.0	0.06	0.19	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-0.6	0.31	-0.27	-0.21	-0.76	-0.34	0.24	0.41		0.21
Short Long Term Debt	0.23	0.21	0.2	0.19	0.31	0.22	0.06	0.36	0.19	-0.06	0.21	0.23	-0.22	0.26	0.2	0.17	-0.04	-0.16	-0.05	0.13	-0.53	0.22	-0.12	-0.37	0.21

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict John Wiley

Based on the latest financial disclosure, John Wiley Sons has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 34.0%. This is 34.13% lower than that of the Media sector and significantly higher than that of the Communication Services industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 14.64% higher than that of the company.

John Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses John Wiley's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of John Wiley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing John Wiley by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

John Wiley is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

John Wiley Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0234)	0.043	0.0441	0.005543	(0.0735)	(0.0698)
Net Debt	754.2M	896.1M	839.7M	776.8M	804.0M	844.2M
Total Current Liabilities	927.3M	989.0M	969.4M	895.6M	873.3M	502.2M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.3B	1.4B	1.3B	1.2B	1.1B	625.4M
Total Assets	3.2B	3.4B	3.4B	3.1B	2.7B	1.7B
Total Current Assets	614.9M	526.3M	550.9M	541.3M	454.0M	389.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	288.4M	359.9M	339.1M	277.1M	207.6M	241.4M

John Wiley ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, John Wiley's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to John Wiley's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

John Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.13
	Return On Asset	0.051
	Profit Margin	(0.06) %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	3.72 B
	Shares Outstanding	45.3 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	9.50 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	91.71 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	1.05 M
	Price To Earning	21.98 X
	Price To Book	3.88 X
	Price To Sales	1.52 X
	Revenue	1.87 B
	Gross Profit	1.38 B
	EBITDA	52.26 M
	Net Income	(200.32 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	106.71 M
	Cash Per Share	1.90 X
	Total Debt	887.28 M
	Debt To Equity	1.00 %
	Current Ratio	0.64 X
	Book Value Per Share	13.15 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	207.64 M
	Short Ratio	4.00 X
	Earnings Per Share	(2.01) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.48 X
	Target Price	53.0
	Number Of Employees	6.4 K
	Beta	0.85
	Market Capitalization	2.77 B
	Total Asset	2.73 B
	Retained Earnings	1.58 B
	Working Capital	(419.24 M)
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	2.78 %
	Net Asset	2.73 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.4

About John Wiley Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze John Wiley Sons's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of John Wiley using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Wiley Sons based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When running John Wiley's price analysis, check to measure John Wiley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Wiley is operating at the current time. Most of John Wiley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Wiley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Wiley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Wiley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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John Wiley Sons Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

John Wiley Sons Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current John Wiley Probability Of Bankruptcy

John Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

John Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

John Wiley Main Bankruptcy Drivers

John Wiley ESG Sustainability

John Fundamentals

About John Wiley Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis

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