Xcel Brands Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

XELB Stock

USD 0.53 0.01 1.80%

Xcel Brands' likelihood of distress is over 60% at the present time. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial hardship in the next 2 years. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Xcel balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Xcel Brands Piotroski F Score and Xcel Brands Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Xcel Stock refer to our How to Trade Xcel Stock guide.

As of December 17, 2024, Market Cap is expected to decline to about 17.1 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is expected to decline to about 25.4 M

Xcel Brands Company chance of distress Analysis

Xcel Brands' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Xcel Brands Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 62%

Most of Xcel Brands' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Xcel Brands is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Xcel Brands probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Xcel Brands odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Xcel Brands financial health.

Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Brands. If investors know Xcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xcel Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(0.89)

Revenue Per Share

0.483

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.56)

Return On Assets

(0.13)

Return On Equity

(0.36)

The market value of Xcel Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xcel Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xcel Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xcel Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xcel Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Total Liab	Common Stock	Total Assets	Net Debt	Total Current Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Debt	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Accumulated Depreciation	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Stockholder Equity		0.13	0.42	0.71	0.94	0.34	0.95	0.09	0.6	0.9	0.69	0.36	0.91	-0.53	0.47	0.48	-0.14	0.19	0.38	-0.18	0.77	-0.19	0.06	0.02	-0.08
Retained Earnings	0.13		0.4	-0.53	0.24	0.28	0.26	-0.62	-0.27	0.06	0.15	-0.74	0.25	-0.13	0.49	-0.21	-0.86	0.62	-0.51	0.5	-0.51	-0.78	0.95	0.93	-0.96
Total Liab	0.42	0.4		0.15	0.69	0.88	0.53	0.08	0.28	0.36	0.55	-0.26	0.69	-0.02	0.76	0.3	-0.49	0.55	-0.03	0.46	0.02	-0.33	0.44	0.33	-0.34
Common Stock	0.71	-0.53	0.15		0.62	0.18	0.62	0.54	0.66	0.69	0.52	0.73	0.63	-0.26	0.15	0.56	0.46	-0.17	0.57	-0.36	0.89	0.31	-0.51	-0.6	0.51
Total Assets	0.94	0.24	0.69	0.62		0.6	0.94	0.11	0.58	0.84	0.75	0.2	0.97	-0.43	0.65	0.49	-0.29	0.35	0.29	0.02	0.62	-0.27	0.21	0.13	-0.19
Net Debt	0.34	0.28	0.88	0.18	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.39	0.3	0.59	-0.17	0.63	0.04	0.81	0.29	-0.48	0.44	0.1	0.51	0.04	-0.3	0.37	0.22	-0.24
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.26	0.53	0.62	0.94	0.4		0.06	0.59	0.86	0.72	0.19	0.91	-0.5	0.59	0.48	-0.26	0.39	0.19	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	0.22	0.15	-0.24
Current Deferred Revenue	0.09	-0.62	0.08	0.54	0.11	0.2	0.06		0.36	0.2	0.11	0.44	0.13	-0.02	-0.01	0.41	0.39	-0.18	0.45	-0.21	0.43	0.66	-0.53	-0.78	0.69
Accounts Payable	0.6	-0.27	0.28	0.66	0.58	0.39	0.59	0.36		0.71	0.55	0.58	0.57	-0.25	0.27	0.51	0.06	0.01	0.59	-0.36	0.64	-0.08	-0.23	-0.33	0.23
Net Receivables	0.9	0.06	0.36	0.69	0.84	0.3	0.86	0.2	0.71		0.55	0.53	0.86	-0.57	0.29	0.46	-0.19	0.11	0.48	-0.43	0.71	-0.21	0.08	-0.1	-0.06
Short Term Debt	0.69	0.15	0.55	0.52	0.75	0.59	0.72	0.11	0.55	0.55		0.1	0.78	-0.11	0.65	0.35	-0.18	0.4	-0.02	0.3	0.49	-0.11	0.14	0.01	-0.13
Good Will	0.36	-0.74	-0.26	0.73	0.2	-0.17	0.19	0.44	0.58	0.53	0.1		0.22	-0.21	-0.36	0.34	0.54	-0.51	0.71	-0.78	0.77	0.45	-0.68	-0.76	0.69
Intangible Assets	0.91	0.25	0.69	0.63	0.97	0.63	0.91	0.13	0.57	0.86	0.78	0.22		-0.46	0.64	0.42	-0.35	0.33	0.25	0.02	0.59	-0.28	0.28	0.1	-0.22
Net Tangible Assets	-0.53	-0.13	-0.02	-0.26	-0.43	0.04	-0.5	-0.02	-0.25	-0.57	-0.11	-0.21	-0.46		0.05	0.24	0.33	0.33	-0.24	0.38	-0.45	0.23	-0.2	-0.08	0.13
Long Term Debt	0.47	0.49	0.76	0.15	0.65	0.81	0.59	-0.01	0.27	0.29	0.65	-0.36	0.64	0.05		0.48	-0.51	0.76	-0.11	0.61	0.03	-0.39	0.48	0.44	-0.41
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.48	-0.21	0.3	0.56	0.49	0.29	0.48	0.41	0.51	0.46	0.35	0.34	0.42	0.24	0.48		0.21	0.5	0.39	-0.14	0.45	0.2	-0.28	-0.29	0.29
Long Term Investments	-0.14	-0.86	-0.49	0.46	-0.29	-0.48	-0.26	0.39	0.06	-0.19	-0.18	0.54	-0.35	0.33	-0.51	0.21		-0.48	0.34	-0.33	0.39	0.72	-0.92	-0.76	0.83
Short Long Term Debt	0.19	0.62	0.55	-0.17	0.35	0.44	0.39	-0.18	0.01	0.11	0.4	-0.51	0.33	0.33	0.76	0.5	-0.48		-0.43	0.5	-0.3	-0.37	0.56	0.52	-0.56
Property Plant Equipment	0.38	-0.51	-0.03	0.57	0.29	0.1	0.19	0.45	0.59	0.48	-0.02	0.71	0.25	-0.24	-0.11	0.39	0.34	-0.43		-0.56	0.65	0.29	-0.51	-0.51	0.59
Long Term Debt Total	-0.18	0.5	0.46	-0.36	0.02	0.51	-0.06	-0.21	-0.36	-0.43	0.3	-0.78	0.02	0.38	0.61	-0.14	-0.33	0.5	-0.56		-0.5	-0.28	0.46	0.53	-0.45
Capital Surpluse	0.77	-0.51	0.02	0.89	0.62	0.04	0.62	0.43	0.64	0.71	0.49	0.77	0.59	-0.45	0.03	0.45	0.39	-0.3	0.65	-0.5		0.35	-0.54	-0.56	0.54
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.19	-0.78	-0.33	0.31	-0.27	-0.3	-0.32	0.66	-0.08	-0.21	-0.11	0.45	-0.28	0.23	-0.39	0.2	0.72	-0.37	0.29	-0.28	0.35		-0.78	-0.84	0.88
Net Invested Capital	0.06	0.95	0.44	-0.51	0.21	0.37	0.22	-0.53	-0.23	0.08	0.14	-0.68	0.28	-0.2	0.48	-0.28	-0.92	0.56	-0.51	0.46	-0.54	-0.78		0.86	-0.95
Net Working Capital	0.02	0.93	0.33	-0.6	0.13	0.22	0.15	-0.78	-0.33	-0.1	0.01	-0.76	0.1	-0.08	0.44	-0.29	-0.76	0.52	-0.51	0.53	-0.56	-0.84	0.86		-0.93
Capital Stock	-0.08	-0.96	-0.34	0.51	-0.19	-0.24	-0.24	0.69	0.23	-0.06	-0.13	0.69	-0.22	0.13	-0.41	0.29	0.83	-0.56	0.59	-0.45	0.54	0.88	-0.95	-0.93

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0241)	(0.11)	(0.1)	(0.0602)	(0.29)	(0.31)
Asset Turnover	0.23	0.26	0.29	0.24	0.3	0.25
Net Debt	26.6M	22.3M	32.0M	2.6M	7.0M	12.0M
Total Current Liabilities	9.8M	10.3M	10.5M	6.6M	6.5M	6.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total	34.9M	26.5M	40.3M	12.2M	17.0M	27.8M
Total Assets	143.2M	123.1M	125.8M	88.9M	71.7M	69.8M
Total Current Assets	17.6M	16.1M	17.2M	14.0M	7.3M	9.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	3.5M	3.2M	(6.6M)	(14.2M)	(6.5M)	(6.2M)

	Return On Equity	-0.36
	Return On Asset	-0.13
	Profit Margin	(1.79) %
	Operating Margin	(0.59) %
	Current Valuation	25.58 M
	Shares Outstanding	23.58 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	40.97 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	26.50 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	90.57 K
	Price To Earning	6.98 X
	Price To Book	0.32 X
	Price To Sales	1.27 X
	Revenue	17.75 M
	Gross Profit	17.8 M
	EBITDA	(13.69 M)
	Net Income	(21.05 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	10.87 M
	Cash Per Share	0.55 X
	Total Debt	10 M
	Debt To Equity	0.1 %
	Current Ratio	2.38 X
	Book Value Per Share	1.96 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(6.54 M)
	Short Ratio	5.96 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.89) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.25 X
	Target Price	2.5
	Number Of Employees	34
	Beta	1.35
	Market Capitalization	12.78 M
	Total Asset	71.66 M
	Retained Earnings	(53.85 M)
	Working Capital	834 K
	Current Asset	24.42 M
	Current Liabilities	9.99 M
	Net Asset	71.66 M

Xcel Brands Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Xcel Brands Company chance of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Xcel Brands Probability Of Bankruptcy

Xcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Xcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Xcel Brands Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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About Xcel Brands Fundamental Analysis

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