Will Loncor Gold (USA Stocks:LONCF) and Paramount Gold (USA Stocks:PZG) deliver in March?

As gold continues to glitter in the investment landscape, two names to keep an eye on this March are Loncor Gold (LONCF) and Paramount Gold Nevada (PZG). Operating in the metals and mining industry, these companies have seen some turbulence recently. Paramount Gold Nevada, with a market capitalization of $20.6M, has experienced a loss in EBITDA of $6M, and a decline in quarterly revenue growth by 55%. Despite these challenges, analysts remain optimistic, with an overall consensus of a 'Strong Buy' and a highest estimated target price of $1.75. As the winds of March blow, will these stocks outshine the market? Many prudent traders are steering clear of the metals and mining sector. However, it's worth focusing on Paramount Gold Nevada to understand its position relative to Loncor Gold and similar entities. We will explore the competitive dynamics between Paramount and Loncor.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Despite a challenging market environment, Paramount Gold Nevada (PZG) shows potential for outperformance with a promising Jensen Alpha of 0.1624 and a Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 12.5. However, investors should be cautious due to the company's high Coefficient Of Variation of 1.6K and a significant loss in Gross Profit of 632.5K, indicating substantial risk and financial instability.

Main Points

By comparing basic indicators between Paramount Gold and Loncor, we can analyze the impact of market volatility on both companies' prices and assess their potential to diversify market risk when combined in a portfolio. Pair trading strategies can also be employed, such as matching a long position in Loncor with a short position in Paramount Gold. For more details, check our pair correlation module. Now, let's examine the assets. The asset utilization indicator signifies the revenue generated for every dollar of assets a company reports. Paramount Gold has an asset utilization ratio of 0.34 percent, meaning the company generates $0.003389 for each dollar of assets. A rising asset utilization indicates that Paramount Gold Nevada is becoming more efficient in using its assets for daily operations.
Out of tens of thousands of stocks, funds, and ETFs that trade on global exchanges each represent an individual company which you can analyze using comparative analysis. To determine which one of the two entities, such as Paramount or Almaden is a better fit for your portfolio, analyzing a few basic fundamental indicators is a good first step.

How important is Paramount Gold's Liquidity

Paramount Gold financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Paramount Gold Nevada ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Paramount Gold financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Paramount Gold's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Paramount Gold's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Paramount Gold's total debt and its cash.

Correlation Between Paramount and Almaden Minerals

In general, Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make individual buying and selling decisions. Stock correlation analysis is also essential because it can help investors realize that they may not be as diversified as they think. Risk management strategies are usually required to make sure all portfolios are properly aligned against their risk tolerance level. You can consider holding Paramount Gold together with similar or unrelated positions with a negative correlation. For example, you can also add Almaden Minerals to your portfolio. If Almaden Minerals is not perfectly correlated to Paramount Gold it will diversify some of the market risks out of the positively correlated stocks in your portfolio. However, the disadvantage of this sort of hedging is that it can potentially affect your investment returns throughout market cycles. When Paramount Gold, for example, performs excellent and delivers stable returns, the negatively correlated position you locked in as a hedge may drag your returns down.
Are you currently holding both Paramount Gold and Almaden Minerals in your portfolio? Please note if you are using this as a pair-trade strategy between Paramount Gold and Almaden Minerals, watch out for correlation discrepancy over time. Relying on the historical price correlations and assuming that it will not change may lead to short-term losses. Please check pair correlation details between PZG and AAU for more information.

Breaking down Paramount Gold Indicators

Total Debt Breakdown

Let me take a closer look at Paramount Gold total debt. Based on the latest financial disclosure, Paramount Gold Nevada has a Total Debt of 5.85 M. This is 99.72% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 99.29% lower than that of the Materials industry. The total debt for all United States stocks is 99.89% higher than that of Paramount Gold. As for Loncor Gold we see total debt of 27.6 K, which is 100.0% lower than that of the Materials
Sector
825.3 M
PZG5.85 Million0.7
Sector825.33 Million99.29
LONCF27,6020.003321
As Warren Buffet once wisely noted, risk comes from not knowing what you're doing. Paramount Gold Nevada (PZG) and Loncor Gold (LONCF) are two stocks that investors should approach with caution in March.
Despite a Wall Street target price of $1.75, Paramount's current liabilities stand at $559.9K, with a net asset of $54.31M. The company's risk-adjusted performance is a mere 0.0407, and with a high beta of 1.89, the stock is more volatile than the market. Furthermore, the probability of bankruptcy is a concerning 62.95%. While the company's market capitalization is $20.58M, its total debt is $5.85M, indicating a potential risk for investors. Therefore, despite the potential upside of 3.23, both PZG and LONCF may not outperform the market in March. .

Our perspective of the current Paramount Gold rise

Paramount Gold Nevada stock's semi-variance has surged over 4.13, signaling a positive trading momentum and a potential bullish trend. This could be due to factors like increased investor confidence, positive market sentiment, or robust financial performance. As of February 9th, Paramount Gold's Semi Deviation stands at 2.03, with a coefficient of variation of 1620.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0407. The technical analysis model allows investors to assess Paramount Gold's technical drivers and their interrelations. This can help predict if the company's stock price will follow its past market data pattern or revert. Investors should also consider the information ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to evaluate if the current price of $0.37 per share is accurate. As Paramount Gold Nevada appears to be a penny stock, it's advisable to also check its total risk alpha.

Our Conclusion on Paramount Gold

While other companies within the gold industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Paramount Gold may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Paramount valuation and our trade advice on Paramount Gold is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Paramount Gold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Aina Ster do not own shares of Paramount Gold Nevada. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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