| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2018 | 2019 (projected) | TFS Financial Net Income | 65,891,000 | 72,591,000 | 80,553,000 | 72,497,700 | 84,200,000 | TFS Financial Gross Profit | 274,333,000 | 297,387,000 | 303,367,000 | 273,030,300 | 313,480,000 |
TFS Financial is to continue to be woozy in February
 | By Rifka Kats | Macroaxis Story |
TFS Financial Corp is at this time traded for16.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.05. The firm is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 16.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 605.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.24% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on TFS Financial is about 457.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.78. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. The entity dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. TFS Financial Corp one year expected dividend income is about $0.38 per share.
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin
TFS Financial has performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has beta of 0.0481 which indicates as returns on market increase, TFS Financial returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding TFS Financial will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect TFS Financial Corp current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity historical returns. The approach into measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining TFS Financial Corp technical indicators you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.1795% will be sustainable into the future. TFS Financial Corp currently has a risk of 1.2071%. Please validate TFS Financial Jensen Alpha and Downside Variance to decide if TFS Financial will be following its existing price patterns. Let me now go over TFS Financial Net Income. Based on recorded statements TFS Financial Corp reported net income of 84.2M. This is much higher than that of the Financial Services sector, and significantly higher than that of Banks - Regional - US industry, The Net Income for all stocks is notably lower than the entity. The successful prediction of TFS Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TFS Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TFS Financial based on TFS Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to TFS Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TFS Financial's related companies.
A focus of TFS Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of TFS Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Use Technical Analysis to project TFS expected Price
TFS Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
TFS Financial Gross Profit
TFS Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing TFS Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show TFS Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check TFS Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Another Deeper Perspective
The firm currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 4.61B. The modest gains experienced by current holders of TFS Financial Corp has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 16.65 and as high as 16.755 per share. The company executives have been quite successful with maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in December. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.2071. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. TFS Financial discloses 313.48m in gross profit. TFS Financial is trading at 16.73. Today highest was 16.755. TFS Financial Price to Book Value is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of TFS Financial Price to Book Value was 2.62. Also, TFS Financial Earnings before Tax is considerably stable at the moment.
All in all, our analysis show that TFS Financial Barely shadows market. The business is undervalued and projects odds of distress below average for the next 2 years. Our current buy vs hold vs sell advice on the business is Strong Buy.
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