Should you exit John Wiley (USA Stocks:WLY) based on its current valuation?

The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism. The recent performance of John Wiley & Sons, a prominent player in the Communication Services sector, seems to be a testament to this. The company's stock, traded on the NYSE, has recently ascended over 2%, sparking discussions about potential further upside. With a market capitalization of $2 billion and a robust enterprise value revenue of 1.54, John Wiley & Sons is not a small player. The company's revenue stands at $1.9 billion, with a net income applicable to common shares of $17.2 million. Despite a slight quarterly revenue growth dip of 6%, the company's financial health appears stable, with a total asset base of $3.11 billion. However, it's not all smooth sailing. The company has a relatively high probability of bankruptcy at 39.3%, and a significant number of shares shorted at 755.46K. This suggests that some investors are betting on the stock's decline. Yet, the company's fundamentals remain strong. The price to sales ratio is at a reasonable 1.06X, and the forward dividend yield stands at 3.9%. With a book value of 13.67 and a price book of 2.71, the stock appears to be fairly valued. In conclusion, while the recent rise in John Wiley & Sons' stock price is encouraging, investors should keep a close eye on the company's financials and market sentiment. The pendulum of the market is always in motion, and only time will tell if further upside is on the horizon. Many investors are showing interest in the media sector, particularly in John Wiley Sons. We aim to assess whether John Wiley can continue to yield above-average margins. What is the current valuation of John Wiley Sons in 2024? We will provide an analysis of the company's valuation to offer investors clearer insight into whether it's a worthwhile investment.
Published over three months ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

John Wiley Sons carries a debt of 883.5 million, with a debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is acceptable within its industry. The company's market volatility, or Beta, is -0.0029, indicating minimal market-related fluctuations. As market returns increase, John Wiley's returns are expected to decrease at a much slower rate. In a bear market, John Wiley is likely to outperform. Currently, John Wiley Sons has a negative expected return of -0.013%. It's advisable to examine John Wiley's skewness, and the relationship between the Treynor ratio and daily balance of power, to predict if past performance will recur in the near future.

Main Takeaways

John Wiley & Sons stock has seen a recent surge of over 2%, raising questions about its future potential. With a current valuation of $2.89B and a price to earnings ratio of 21.98X, the company's valuation seems to be in line with its industry peers in the publishing sector. However, the company's profit margin is currently at a loss of 0.08, indicating that it is not generating profits from its operations. This could potentially limit the stock's upside potential unless the company can improve its profitability.
We determine the current worth of John Wiley Sons using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of John Wiley Sons based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing John Wiley's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of John Wiley's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of John Wiley. We calculate exposure to John Wiley's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Wiley's related companies.

John Wiley Sons Investment Alerts

John investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring John Wiley Sons performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for John

John Wiley Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare John value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across John Wiley competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of John.

John Wiley Gross Profit

John Wiley Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing John Wiley previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show John Wiley Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check John Wiley's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On John Wiley Sons

The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.02 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 17.23 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.38 B.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02720.03640.03280.0344
Price To Sales Ratio1.361.050.951.17

Margins Breakdown

John profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or John Wiley itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of John Wiley profit margins.
Pretax Profit Margin0.014
Operating Profit Margin0.088
Net Profit Margin0.007295
Gross Profit Margin0.76
John Wiley Enterprise Value is increasing over the last 8 years. The previous year's value of John Wiley Enterprise Value was 3,757,765,881. Further, John Wiley PTB Ratio is decreasing over the last 8 years.
The previous year's value of John Wiley PTB Ratio was 3.86. John Wiley Enterprise Value is fairly stable at the moment. Further, John Wiley PTB Ratio is decreasing over the last 8 years. Slow and steady wins the race, a maxim that seems to fit John Wiley & Sons as the publishing giant's stock recently ascended over 2%. Despite a challenging operating margin of 0.11% and quarterly revenue growth showing a slight dip of 0.06%, the company still managed to report a net income of $17.23 million. With a stable beta of 0.86, it indicates lower volatility compared to the market, and a forward PE of 10.83 suggests the stock could be undervalued. However, with a probability of bankruptcy standing at 39.3%, investors need to weigh the potential rewards against the risks. The company's forward dividend rate of 1.4 and a payout ratio of 88.05% could be an attractive proposition for income-focused investors..

Another 3 percent rise for John Wiley

John Wiley Sons stock has recently demonstrated a promising performance, with a 3% increase. The current mean deviation of 1.07 suggests a stable volatility level, reinforcing the upward trend. This stability, paired with recent growth, indicates a consistent upward trajectory. Therefore, investors may want to consider adding John Wiley Sons to their portfolio for potential future gains. As of June 13, 2024, John Wiley's Market Risk Adjusted Performance stands at 8.06, with a Standard Deviation of 1.38.
These figures, along with other fundamental indicators, can be analyzed using the technical analysis model to understand the existing technical drivers of John Wiley Sons and their interrelationships.In conclusion, John Wiley Sons stock has shown a promising rise of more than 2 percent, which may suggest a positive trend. However, investors should consider the company's valuation hype value of 36.48 and the naive expected forecast value of 36.29 before making a decision. The analyst overall consensus indicates a 'Buy' with an estimated target price value of 45, which is higher than the current valuation market value. However, the possible downside price of 34.9 should also be taken into account. Therefore, while there is potential for further rise, investors should carefully consider these factors and their own risk tolerance before investing in John Wiley Sons stock..

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of John Wiley Sons. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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