Direxion Daily Downside Variance vs. Kurtosis

CLDL Etf  USD 15.95  0.45  2.74%   
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Direxion Daily Cloud has current Downside Variance of 4.45. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance

 = 

SUM(RET DEV)2

N(ER)

 = 
4.45
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period

Direxion Daily Downside Variance Peers Comparison

Direxion Downside Variance Relative To Other Indicators

Direxion Daily Cloud is fourth largest ETF in downside variance as compared to similar ETFs. It is currently under evaluation in kurtosis as compared to similar ETFs making up about  0.12  of Kurtosis per Downside Variance. The ratio of Downside Variance to Kurtosis for Direxion Daily Cloud is roughly  8.57 
Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.
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