Is Alpha Metallurgical Stock a Good Investment?

Alpha Metallurgical Investment Advice

  AMR
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Alpha Metallurgical Resources stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Alpha Metallurgical Resources. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Alpha Metallurgical in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Alpha Metallurgical's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Alpha Metallurgical's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Alpha Metallurgical navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Diversified Metals & Mining space and any emerging trends that could impact Alpha Metallurgical's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Alpha Metallurgical's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Alpha Metallurgical is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Alpha Metallurgical pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Alpha Metallurgical's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Alpha Metallurgical Resources stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Alpha Metallurgical Resources is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Alpha Metallurgical to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alpha Metallurgical is not overpriced, please confirm all Alpha Metallurgical fundamentals, including its current ratio, retained earnings, and the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Alpha Metallurgical has a price to earning of 2.10 X, we suggest you to validate Alpha Metallurgical Resources market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Alpha Metallurgical Stock

Researching Alpha Metallurgical's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.51. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alpha Metallurgical recorded earning per share (EPS) of 27.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2023.
To determine if Alpha Metallurgical is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Alpha Metallurgical's research are outlined below:
Alpha Metallurgical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alpha Metallurgical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Alpha Metallurgical Surges 10.4 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains

Alpha Metallurgical Quarterly Accounts Payable

111.45 Million

Alpha Metallurgical uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Alpha Metallurgical Resources. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Alpha Metallurgical's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alpha Metallurgical's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Alpha Metallurgical's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-08-06
2021-06-30-0.77-1.03-0.2633 
2021-05-10
2021-03-31-2.06-1.790.2713 
2020-11-09
2020-09-30-3.04-3.75-0.7123 
2024-11-01
2024-09-301.030.29-0.7471 
2018-05-24
2018-03-314.795.580.7916 
2019-08-14
2019-06-301.582.581.063 
2024-05-06
2024-03-3110.839.59-1.2411 
2020-05-11
2020-03-31-1.61-0.331.2879 

Know Alpha Metallurgical's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Alpha Metallurgical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alpha Metallurgical Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Alpha Metallurgical's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Alpha Metallurgical's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
154.3 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
137.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
129.8 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
124.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
114.7 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-09-30
113.7 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
113.5 K
Crocodile Capital Partners Gmbh2024-09-30
102.4 K
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
90.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
1.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Note, although Alpha Metallurgical's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alpha Metallurgical's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.49 B.

Market Cap

4.52 Billion

Alpha Metallurgical's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.28  0.29 
Return On Capital Employed 0.37  0.39 
Return On Assets 0.27  0.28 
Return On Equity 0.41  0.43 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.11 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average.
Determining Alpha Metallurgical's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Alpha Metallurgical is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Alpha Metallurgical's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Alpha Metallurgical's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Alpha Metallurgical's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Alpha Metallurgical's management efficiency

Alpha Metallurgical has Return on Asset of 0.1097 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1097 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.228 %, implying that it generated $0.228 on every 100 dollars invested. Alpha Metallurgical's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alpha Metallurgical manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 01/17/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.29. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.39. At this time, Alpha Metallurgical's Other Current Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/17/2025, Intangible Assets is likely to grow to about 80.8 M, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 1.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 100.42  105.44 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 96.74  101.57 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.98  3.78 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.49  4.06 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.98  3.78 
Price Fair Value 3.49  4.06 
Enterprise Value4.1 B4.3 B
Alpha Metallurgical has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Beta
1.358

Basic technical analysis of Alpha Stock

As of the 17th of January 2025, Alpha Metallurgical shows the Mean Deviation of 1.9, standard deviation of 2.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06). Alpha Metallurgical technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Alpha Metallurgical variance and potential upside to decide if Alpha Metallurgical is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 192.65 per share. Given that Alpha Metallurgical has information ratio of (0.08), we suggest you to validate Alpha Metallurgical Resources's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Alpha Metallurgical's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alpha Metallurgical insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alpha Metallurgical's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alpha Metallurgical insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alpha Metallurgical's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Alpha Metallurgical issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alpha Metallurgical uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alpha bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alpha Metallurgical Resources has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Alpha Metallurgical's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Alpha Metallurgical's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Alpha Metallurgical's intraday indicators

Alpha Metallurgical intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alpha Metallurgical stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alpha Metallurgical Corporate Filings

F4
17th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
6th of December 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
19th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
11th of June 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Alpha Metallurgical time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Metallurgical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alpha Metallurgical's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Alpha Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Alpha Metallurgical that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Alpha media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Alpha internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Alpha data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Alpha Metallurgical news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Alpha Metallurgical relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Alpha Metallurgical's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Alpha Metallurgical alpha.

Alpha Metallurgical Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Alpha Metallurgical can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Alpha Metallurgical Maximum Pain Price Across February 21st 2025 Option Contracts

Alpha Metallurgical's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Alpha Metallurgical close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Alpha Metallurgical's options.

Alpha Metallurgical Corporate Management

Mark MannoGeneral VPProfile
Kenneth CourtisIndependent DirectorProfile
CFA CFAInvestor ContactProfile
Roger NicholsonExecutive Vice President Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel, SecretaryProfile
Scott VogelIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Alpha Metallurgical Resources?

The danger of trading Alpha Metallurgical Resources is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Alpha Metallurgical is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Alpha Metallurgical. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Alpha Metallurgical is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis

When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.