Is Arbor Realty Stock a Good Investment?

Arbor Realty Investment Advice

  ABR
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Arbor Realty Trust stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Arbor Realty Trust. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Arbor Realty in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Arbor Realty's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Arbor Realty's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Arbor Realty navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space and any emerging trends that could impact Arbor Realty's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Arbor Realty's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Arbor Realty is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Arbor Realty pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Arbor Realty's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Arbor Realty Trust stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Arbor Realty Trust is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arbor Realty Trust and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Arbor Realty is not overpriced, please confirm all Arbor Realty Trust fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that Arbor Realty Trust has a price to earning of 10.40 X, we suggest you to validate Arbor Realty Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Arbor Realty Stock

Researching Arbor Realty's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arbor Realty Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. The firm had 10:1 split on the 30th of August 2012.
To determine if Arbor Realty is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Arbor Realty's research are outlined below:
Arbor Realty Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 27th of November 2024 Arbor Realty paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arbor Realty Trusts Series E Preferred Stock Shares Cross 8.5 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq

Arbor Realty Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

13.88 Billion

Arbor Realty uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Arbor Realty Trust. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Arbor Realty's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
16th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
3rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
16th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arbor Realty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Arbor Realty's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-08
2020-03-31-0.05-0.040.0120 
2014-08-01
2014-06-300.090.08-0.0111 
2013-11-08
2013-09-300.090.08-0.0111 
2017-08-04
2017-06-300.190.210.0210 
2015-02-13
2014-12-310.080.06-0.0225 
2014-02-14
2013-12-310.060.090.0350 
2016-02-26
2015-12-310.140.1-0.0428 
2016-11-09
2016-09-300.160.210.0531 

Arbor Realty Target Price Consensus

Arbor target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arbor Realty's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   6  Hold
Most Arbor analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Arbor stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Arbor Realty Trust, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Arbor Realty Target Price Projection

Arbor Realty's current and average target prices are 13.30 and 14.54, respectively. The current price of Arbor Realty is the price at which Arbor Realty Trust is currently trading. On the other hand, Arbor Realty's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Arbor Realty Market Quote on 22nd of January 2025

Low Price13.29Odds
High Price13.63Odds

13.3

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Arbor Realty Target Price

Low Estimate13.23Odds
High Estimate16.14Odds

14.5417

Historical Lowest Forecast  13.23 Target Price  14.54 Highest Forecast  16.14
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Arbor Realty Trust and the information provided on this page.

Arbor Realty Analyst Ratings

Arbor Realty's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Arbor Realty stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Arbor Realty's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Arbor Realty's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Arbor Realty's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arbor Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arbor Realty Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Arbor Realty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arbor Realty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Azora Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
1.1 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-09-30
M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
926 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
888.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
887.3 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-09-30
744.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
25.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
19.6 M
Note, although Arbor Realty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arbor Realty's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.6 B.

Market Cap

2.65 Billion

Arbor Realty's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.46 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.49 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.49 of operating income.
Determining Arbor Realty's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Arbor Realty is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Arbor Realty's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Arbor Realty's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Arbor Realty's management efficiency

Arbor Realty Trust has Return on Asset of 0.0214 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0214 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0995 %, implying that it generated $0.0995 on every 100 dollars invested. Arbor Realty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arbor Realty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 01/22/2025, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.01. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.03. At this time, Arbor Realty's Total Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/22/2025, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 1.2 B, while Total Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 855 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 20.27  15.99 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 17.26  14.12 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 24.44  25.67 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.03  0.99 
Enterprise Value Multiple 24.44  25.67 
Price Fair Value 1.03  0.99 
Enterprise Value10.1 B10.6 B
Arbor Realty's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Dividend Yield
0.1246
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1246
Forward Dividend Rate
1.72
Beta
2.014

Basic technical analysis of Arbor Stock

As of the 22nd of January, Arbor Realty shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 1.05. Arbor Realty Trust technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Arbor Realty Trust standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Arbor Realty Trust is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 13.3 per share. Given that Arbor Realty has information ratio of (0.10), we suggest you to validate Arbor Realty Trust's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Arbor Realty's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arbor Realty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arbor Realty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arbor Realty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arbor Realty's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Arbor Realty issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Arbor Realty Trust uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Arbor bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Arbor Realty Trust has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Arbor Realty's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Arbor Realty's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Arbor Realty's intraday indicators

Arbor Realty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arbor Realty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arbor Realty Corporate Filings

F4
6th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
1st of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
9th of August 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of August 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Arbor Realty time-series forecasting models is one of many Arbor Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arbor Realty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Arbor Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Arbor Realty that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Arbor media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Arbor internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Arbor data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Arbor Realty news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Arbor Realty relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Arbor Realty's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Arbor Realty alpha.

Arbor Realty Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Arbor Realty can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Arbor Realty Trust Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Arbor Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Arbor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Arbor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Arbor Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Arbor Realty's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Arbor Realty and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Arbor Realty news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Arbor Realty.

Arbor Realty Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts

Arbor Realty's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Arbor Realty close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Arbor Realty's options.

Arbor Realty Corporate Directors

Kenneth BaconIndependent DirectorProfile
Melvin LazarIndependent DirectorProfile
William GreenLead Independent DirectorProfile
Elliot SchwartzIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Arbor Realty Trust?

The danger of trading Arbor Realty Trust is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Arbor Realty is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Arbor Realty. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Arbor Realty Trust is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

Additional Tools for Arbor Stock Analysis

When running Arbor Realty's price analysis, check to measure Arbor Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arbor Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Arbor Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arbor Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arbor Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arbor Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.