Xian International (China) Market Value

000516 Stock   6.20  0.32  5.44%   
Xian International's market value is the price at which a share of Xian International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Xian International Medical investors about its performance. Xian International is trading at 6.20 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 5.44 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.88.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Xian International Medical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Xian International over a given investment horizon. Check out Xian International Correlation, Xian International Volatility and Xian International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xian International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Xian International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xian International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xian International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Xian International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xian International's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xian International.
0.00
06/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xian International on June 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xian International Medical or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xian International over 540 days. Xian International is related to or competes with Bank of China, Kweichow Moutai, PetroChina, Bank of Communications, Ping An, China Mobile, and Shanghai Pudong. Xian International is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Xian International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xian International's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xian International Medical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xian International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xian International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xian International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xian International historical prices to predict the future Xian International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.386.4710.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.755.839.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.916.0010.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Xian International Backtested Returns

Xian International appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Xian International shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the company had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By examining Xian International's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.75% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Xian International's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 2.59, mean deviation of 2.95, and Downside Deviation of 3.07 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Xian International holds a performance score of 14. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.25, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xian International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xian International is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Xian International's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Xian International's historical returns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Xian International Medical has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xian International time series from 9th of June 2023 to 5th of March 2024 and 5th of March 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xian International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Xian International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.51

Xian International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Xian International stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xian International's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xian International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xian International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Xian International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xian International stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xian International stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xian International stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Xian International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Xian International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xian International stock have on its future price. Xian International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xian International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xian International stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xian International Medical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Xian Stock

Xian International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xian with respect to the benefits of owning Xian International security.