Qingdao Foods (China) Market Value

001219 Stock   14.78  0.23  1.58%   
Qingdao Foods' market value is the price at which a share of Qingdao Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Qingdao Foods Co investors about its performance. Qingdao Foods is trading at 14.78 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 1.58 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 14.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Qingdao Foods Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Qingdao Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out Qingdao Foods Correlation, Qingdao Foods Volatility and Qingdao Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Qingdao Foods.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Qingdao Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qingdao Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qingdao Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Qingdao Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Qingdao Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Qingdao Foods.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Qingdao Foods on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Qingdao Foods Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Qingdao Foods over 30 days. Qingdao Foods is related to or competes with Fujian Nanwang, Wuhan Yangtze, Sunwave Communications, Tongyu Communication, Tianjin Capital, Changjiang Jinggong, and Guangdong Shenglu. Qingdao Foods is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Qingdao Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Qingdao Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Qingdao Foods Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Qingdao Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Qingdao Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Qingdao Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Qingdao Foods historical prices to predict the future Qingdao Foods' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1315.2318.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7811.8814.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0314.1317.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2714.1615.05
Details

Qingdao Foods Backtested Returns

Qingdao Foods appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Qingdao Foods maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Qingdao Foods' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Qingdao Foods' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1358, coefficient of variation of 595.66, and Semi Deviation of 2.67 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Qingdao Foods holds a performance score of 12. The company holds a Beta of -0.31, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Qingdao Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Qingdao Foods is likely to outperform the market. Please check Qingdao Foods' semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Qingdao Foods' historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.6  

Good reverse predictability

Qingdao Foods Co has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Qingdao Foods time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Qingdao Foods price movement. The serial correlation of -0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Qingdao Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

Qingdao Foods lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Qingdao Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Qingdao Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Qingdao Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Qingdao Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Qingdao Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Qingdao Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Qingdao Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Qingdao Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Qingdao Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating Qingdao Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Qingdao Foods stock have on its future price. Qingdao Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Qingdao Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between Qingdao Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Qingdao Foods Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Qingdao Stock

Qingdao Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qingdao Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qingdao with respect to the benefits of owning Qingdao Foods security.