Jiangsu Yanghe (China) Market Value

002304 Stock   84.50  2.66  3.05%   
Jiangsu Yanghe's market value is the price at which a share of Jiangsu Yanghe trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery investors about its performance. Jiangsu Yanghe is trading at 84.50 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 3.05 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 87.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiangsu Yanghe over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiangsu Yanghe Correlation, Jiangsu Yanghe Volatility and Jiangsu Yanghe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiangsu Yanghe.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiangsu Yanghe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiangsu Yanghe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiangsu Yanghe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiangsu Yanghe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiangsu Yanghe's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiangsu Yanghe.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiangsu Yanghe on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiangsu Yanghe over 720 days. Jiangsu Yanghe is related to or competes with Jiangsu Jinling, Hubeiyichang Transportation, Offshore Oil, Bomesc Offshore, Shaanxi Energy, Cultural Investment, and Nuode Investment. Jiangsu Yanghe is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Jiangsu Yanghe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiangsu Yanghe's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiangsu Yanghe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiangsu Yanghe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiangsu Yanghe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiangsu Yanghe historical prices to predict the future Jiangsu Yanghe's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.3584.5087.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.3271.4792.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.5485.6988.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.381.381.38
Details

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Backtested Returns

Jiangsu Yanghe appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.064, which attests that the entity had a 0.064% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Jiangsu Yanghe's Downside Deviation of 2.47, risk adjusted performance of 0.0472, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.54) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jiangsu Yanghe holds a performance score of 5. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.26, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jiangsu Yanghe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jiangsu Yanghe is likely to outperform the market. Please check Jiangsu Yanghe's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Jiangsu Yanghe's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiangsu Yanghe time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Jiangsu Yanghe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance69.53

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiangsu Yanghe stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiangsu Yanghe's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiangsu Yanghe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiangsu Yanghe has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Yanghe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiangsu Yanghe stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiangsu Yanghe stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiangsu Yanghe stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiangsu Yanghe Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiangsu Yanghe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiangsu Yanghe stock have on its future price. Jiangsu Yanghe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiangsu Yanghe autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiangsu Yanghe stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Yanghe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Yanghe security.