Chongqing Landai (China) Market Value

002765 Stock   8.58  0.32  3.87%   
Chongqing Landai's market value is the price at which a share of Chongqing Landai trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chongqing Landai Powertrain investors about its performance. Chongqing Landai is trading at 8.58 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 3.87 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chongqing Landai Powertrain and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chongqing Landai over a given investment horizon. Check out Chongqing Landai Correlation, Chongqing Landai Volatility and Chongqing Landai Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chongqing Landai.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Chongqing Landai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chongqing Landai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chongqing Landai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chongqing Landai 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chongqing Landai's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chongqing Landai.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chongqing Landai on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chongqing Landai Powertrain or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chongqing Landai over 90 days. Chongqing Landai is related to or competes with Tongling Nonferrous, Chengtun Mining, Beijing HuaYuanYiTong, Anhui Transport, Ye Chiu, Zhejiang Yongjin, and Jiangsu Financial. More

Chongqing Landai Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chongqing Landai's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chongqing Landai Powertrain upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chongqing Landai Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chongqing Landai's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chongqing Landai's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chongqing Landai historical prices to predict the future Chongqing Landai's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.528.5813.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.127.1812.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.576.6311.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.828.8011.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chongqing Landai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chongqing Landai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chongqing Landai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chongqing Landai Pow.

Chongqing Landai Pow Backtested Returns

Chongqing Landai is moderately volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Chongqing Landai Pow secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the company had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.1% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Chongqing Landai Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1695, mean deviation of 3.83, and Downside Deviation of 4.56 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Chongqing Landai holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chongqing Landai are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chongqing Landai is likely to outperform the market. Use Chongqing Landai downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to analyze future returns on Chongqing Landai.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Chongqing Landai Powertrain has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chongqing Landai time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chongqing Landai Pow price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Chongqing Landai price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.52

Chongqing Landai Pow lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chongqing Landai stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chongqing Landai's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chongqing Landai returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chongqing Landai has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Landai regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chongqing Landai stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chongqing Landai stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chongqing Landai stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Landai Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chongqing Landai's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chongqing Landai stock have on its future price. Chongqing Landai autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chongqing Landai autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chongqing Landai stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chongqing Landai Powertrain.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock

Chongqing Landai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Landai security.