Dongguan Chitwing (China) Market Value

002855 Stock   23.06  0.81  3.39%   
Dongguan Chitwing's market value is the price at which a share of Dongguan Chitwing trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dongguan Chitwing Technology investors about its performance. Dongguan Chitwing is trading at 23.06 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 3.39 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dongguan Chitwing Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dongguan Chitwing over a given investment horizon. Check out Dongguan Chitwing Correlation, Dongguan Chitwing Volatility and Dongguan Chitwing Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dongguan Chitwing.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dongguan Chitwing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dongguan Chitwing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dongguan Chitwing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dongguan Chitwing 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dongguan Chitwing's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dongguan Chitwing.
0.00
09/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dongguan Chitwing on September 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dongguan Chitwing Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dongguan Chitwing over 60 days. Dongguan Chitwing is related to or competes with Cultural Investment, Gome Telecom, Bus Online, Holitech Technology, and Zotye Automobile. Dongguan Chitwing is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Dongguan Chitwing Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dongguan Chitwing's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dongguan Chitwing Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dongguan Chitwing Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dongguan Chitwing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dongguan Chitwing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dongguan Chitwing historical prices to predict the future Dongguan Chitwing's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3323.0927.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5321.2926.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2320.9925.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.8425.6529.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dongguan Chitwing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dongguan Chitwing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dongguan Chitwing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dongguan Chitwing.

Dongguan Chitwing Backtested Returns

Dongguan Chitwing appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Dongguan Chitwing secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0867, which denotes the company had a 0.0867% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dongguan Chitwing Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Dongguan Chitwing's Downside Deviation of 3.95, mean deviation of 3.64, and Coefficient Of Variation of 895.7 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Dongguan Chitwing holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.34, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Dongguan Chitwing's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dongguan Chitwing is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Dongguan Chitwing's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Dongguan Chitwing's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Dongguan Chitwing Technology has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dongguan Chitwing time series from 30th of September 2024 to 30th of October 2024 and 30th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dongguan Chitwing price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Dongguan Chitwing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.25

Dongguan Chitwing lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dongguan Chitwing stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dongguan Chitwing's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dongguan Chitwing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dongguan Chitwing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dongguan Chitwing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dongguan Chitwing stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dongguan Chitwing stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dongguan Chitwing stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dongguan Chitwing Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dongguan Chitwing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dongguan Chitwing stock have on its future price. Dongguan Chitwing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dongguan Chitwing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dongguan Chitwing stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dongguan Chitwing Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dongguan Stock

Dongguan Chitwing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongguan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongguan with respect to the benefits of owning Dongguan Chitwing security.