Jiamei Food (China) Market Value

002969 Stock   3.34  0.08  2.45%   
Jiamei Food's market value is the price at which a share of Jiamei Food trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jiamei Food Packaging investors about its performance. Jiamei Food is trading at 3.34 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 2.45% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 3.26.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jiamei Food Packaging and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jiamei Food over a given investment horizon. Check out Jiamei Food Correlation, Jiamei Food Volatility and Jiamei Food Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jiamei Food.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jiamei Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jiamei Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jiamei Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jiamei Food 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jiamei Food's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jiamei Food.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jiamei Food on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jiamei Food Packaging or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jiamei Food over 30 days. Jiamei Food is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Wanhua Chemical, Baoshan Iron, Shandong Gold, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Inner Mongolia, and Jiangxi Ganfeng. Jiamei Food is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Jiamei Food Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jiamei Food's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jiamei Food Packaging upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jiamei Food Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jiamei Food's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jiamei Food's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jiamei Food historical prices to predict the future Jiamei Food's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.923.265.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.292.634.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.943.295.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.203.303.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jiamei Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jiamei Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jiamei Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jiamei Food Packaging.

Jiamei Food Packaging Backtested Returns

Jiamei Food appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Jiamei Food Packaging holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Jiamei Food Packaging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Jiamei Food's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.083, market risk adjusted performance of (0.90), and Downside Deviation of 2.43 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Jiamei Food holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.24, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jiamei Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jiamei Food is likely to outperform the market. Please check Jiamei Food's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Jiamei Food's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.22  

Weak predictability

Jiamei Food Packaging has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jiamei Food time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jiamei Food Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Jiamei Food price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Jiamei Food Packaging lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jiamei Food stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jiamei Food's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jiamei Food returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jiamei Food has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jiamei Food regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jiamei Food stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jiamei Food stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jiamei Food stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jiamei Food Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jiamei Food's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jiamei Food stock have on its future price. Jiamei Food autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jiamei Food autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jiamei Food stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jiamei Food Packaging.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jiamei Stock

Jiamei Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiamei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiamei with respect to the benefits of owning Jiamei Food security.