Chongqing Shunbo (China) Market Value

002996 Stock   6.56  0.28  4.09%   
Chongqing Shunbo's market value is the price at which a share of Chongqing Shunbo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum investors about its performance. Chongqing Shunbo is trading at 6.56 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 4.09 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 6.84.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chongqing Shunbo over a given investment horizon. Check out Chongqing Shunbo Correlation, Chongqing Shunbo Volatility and Chongqing Shunbo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chongqing Shunbo.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Chongqing Shunbo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chongqing Shunbo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chongqing Shunbo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chongqing Shunbo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chongqing Shunbo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chongqing Shunbo.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chongqing Shunbo on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chongqing Shunbo over 30 days. Chongqing Shunbo is related to or competes with Zijin Mining, Wanhua Chemical, Baoshan Iron, Shandong Gold, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Inner Mongolia, and Jiangxi Ganfeng. Chongqing Shunbo is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Chongqing Shunbo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chongqing Shunbo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chongqing Shunbo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chongqing Shunbo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chongqing Shunbo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chongqing Shunbo historical prices to predict the future Chongqing Shunbo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.606.539.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.316.249.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.616.549.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chongqing Shunbo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chongqing Shunbo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chongqing Shunbo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum.

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Backtested Returns

Chongqing Shunbo appears to be slightly risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Chongqing Shunbo's Downside Deviation of 3.05, risk adjusted performance of 0.1129, and Mean Deviation of 2.05 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Chongqing Shunbo holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chongqing Shunbo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chongqing Shunbo is likely to outperform the market. Please check Chongqing Shunbo's standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Chongqing Shunbo's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chongqing Shunbo time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Chongqing Shunbo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chongqing Shunbo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chongqing Shunbo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chongqing Shunbo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chongqing Shunbo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Shunbo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chongqing Shunbo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chongqing Shunbo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chongqing Shunbo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Chongqing Shunbo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chongqing Shunbo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chongqing Shunbo stock have on its future price. Chongqing Shunbo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chongqing Shunbo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chongqing Shunbo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Chongqing Stock

Chongqing Shunbo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chongqing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chongqing with respect to the benefits of owning Chongqing Shunbo security.