Henzhen Zhaowei (China) Market Value

003021 Stock   67.36  0.82  1.20%   
Henzhen Zhaowei's market value is the price at which a share of Henzhen Zhaowei trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery investors about its performance. Henzhen Zhaowei is trading at 67.36 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 1.2 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 68.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Henzhen Zhaowei over a given investment horizon. Check out Henzhen Zhaowei Correlation, Henzhen Zhaowei Volatility and Henzhen Zhaowei Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Henzhen Zhaowei.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Henzhen Zhaowei's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Henzhen Zhaowei is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Henzhen Zhaowei's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Henzhen Zhaowei 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Henzhen Zhaowei's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Henzhen Zhaowei.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Henzhen Zhaowei on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Henzhen Zhaowei over 30 days. Henzhen Zhaowei is related to or competes with Cultural Investment, Gome Telecom, Bus Online, Holitech Technology, and Zotye Automobile. Henzhen Zhaowei is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Henzhen Zhaowei Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Henzhen Zhaowei's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Henzhen Zhaowei Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Henzhen Zhaowei's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Henzhen Zhaowei's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Henzhen Zhaowei historical prices to predict the future Henzhen Zhaowei's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.4067.3672.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.7050.6674.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.2066.1771.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Henzhen Zhaowei. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Henzhen Zhaowei's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Henzhen Zhaowei's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery.

Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery Backtested Returns

Henzhen Zhaowei is very steady given 3 months investment horizon. Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.24, which attests that the entity had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.2% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery Downside Deviation of 3.67, risk adjusted performance of 0.1469, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 11.25 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Henzhen Zhaowei holds a performance score of 19 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0755, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Henzhen Zhaowei's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Henzhen Zhaowei is expected to be smaller as well. Use Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to analyze future returns on Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Henzhen Zhaowei time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Henzhen Zhaowei price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance19.26

Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Henzhen Zhaowei stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Henzhen Zhaowei's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Henzhen Zhaowei returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Henzhen Zhaowei has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Henzhen Zhaowei regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Henzhen Zhaowei stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Henzhen Zhaowei stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Henzhen Zhaowei stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Henzhen Zhaowei Lagged Returns

When evaluating Henzhen Zhaowei's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Henzhen Zhaowei stock have on its future price. Henzhen Zhaowei autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Henzhen Zhaowei autocorrelation shows the relationship between Henzhen Zhaowei stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Henzhen Stock

Henzhen Zhaowei financial ratios help investors to determine whether Henzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Henzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Henzhen Zhaowei security.