Cathay TAIEX (Taiwan) Market Value

00664R Etf  TWD 3.72  0.07  1.85%   
Cathay TAIEX's market value is the price at which a share of Cathay TAIEX trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Cathay TAIEX Daily investors about its performance. Cathay TAIEX is trading at 3.72 as of the 23rd of November 2024, a 1.85 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 3.79.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Cathay TAIEX Daily and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Cathay TAIEX over a given investment horizon. Check out Cathay TAIEX Correlation, Cathay TAIEX Volatility and Cathay TAIEX Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Cathay TAIEX.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cathay TAIEX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cathay TAIEX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cathay TAIEX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cathay TAIEX 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Cathay TAIEX's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Cathay TAIEX.
0.00
05/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Cathay TAIEX on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Cathay TAIEX Daily or generate 0.0% return on investment in Cathay TAIEX over 180 days. Cathay TAIEX is related to or competes with YuantaP Shares, Yuanta Daily, Fuh Hwa, and Paradigm. CATHAY SECS is traded on Taiwan Stock Exchange in Taiwan. More

Cathay TAIEX Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Cathay TAIEX's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Cathay TAIEX Daily upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Cathay TAIEX Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cathay TAIEX's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Cathay TAIEX's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Cathay TAIEX historical prices to predict the future Cathay TAIEX's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.523.724.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.253.454.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.593.794.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.683.743.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cathay TAIEX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cathay TAIEX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cathay TAIEX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cathay TAIEX Daily.

Cathay TAIEX Daily Backtested Returns

Cathay TAIEX Daily secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0527, which signifies that the etf had a -0.0527% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Cathay TAIEX Daily exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Cathay TAIEX's Mean Deviation of 0.8233, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Standard Deviation of 1.18 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.28, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Cathay TAIEX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Cathay TAIEX is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

Cathay TAIEX Daily has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Cathay TAIEX time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Cathay TAIEX Daily price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current Cathay TAIEX price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Cathay TAIEX Daily lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Cathay TAIEX etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Cathay TAIEX's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Cathay TAIEX returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Cathay TAIEX has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Cathay TAIEX regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Cathay TAIEX etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Cathay TAIEX etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Cathay TAIEX etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Cathay TAIEX Lagged Returns

When evaluating Cathay TAIEX's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Cathay TAIEX etf have on its future price. Cathay TAIEX autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Cathay TAIEX autocorrelation shows the relationship between Cathay TAIEX etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Cathay TAIEX Daily.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Cathay Etf

Cathay TAIEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cathay Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cathay with respect to the benefits of owning Cathay TAIEX security.