AWILCO DRILLING (Germany) Market Value

0AI1 Stock   1.85  0.01  0.54%   
AWILCO DRILLING's market value is the price at which a share of AWILCO DRILLING trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AWILCO DRILLING PLC investors about its performance. AWILCO DRILLING is trading at 1.85 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 0.54% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.85.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AWILCO DRILLING PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AWILCO DRILLING over a given investment horizon. Check out AWILCO DRILLING Correlation, AWILCO DRILLING Volatility and AWILCO DRILLING Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AWILCO DRILLING.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AWILCO DRILLING's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AWILCO DRILLING is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AWILCO DRILLING's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AWILCO DRILLING 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AWILCO DRILLING's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AWILCO DRILLING.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AWILCO DRILLING on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AWILCO DRILLING PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in AWILCO DRILLING over 30 days. AWILCO DRILLING is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More

AWILCO DRILLING Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AWILCO DRILLING's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AWILCO DRILLING PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AWILCO DRILLING Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AWILCO DRILLING's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AWILCO DRILLING's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AWILCO DRILLING historical prices to predict the future AWILCO DRILLING's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.856.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.566.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.816.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.851.851.85
Details

AWILCO DRILLING PLC Backtested Returns

At this point, AWILCO DRILLING is dangerous. AWILCO DRILLING PLC secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0112, which signifies that the company had a 0.0112% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for AWILCO DRILLING PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm AWILCO DRILLING's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0309, mean deviation of 3.24, and Semi Deviation of 3.61 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0511%. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.67, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, AWILCO DRILLING's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AWILCO DRILLING is expected to be smaller as well. AWILCO DRILLING PLC currently shows a risk of 4.55%. Please confirm AWILCO DRILLING PLC market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if AWILCO DRILLING PLC will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.07  

Very weak reverse predictability

AWILCO DRILLING PLC has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AWILCO DRILLING time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AWILCO DRILLING PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current AWILCO DRILLING price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

AWILCO DRILLING PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AWILCO DRILLING stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AWILCO DRILLING's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AWILCO DRILLING returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AWILCO DRILLING has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AWILCO DRILLING regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AWILCO DRILLING stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AWILCO DRILLING stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AWILCO DRILLING stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AWILCO DRILLING Lagged Returns

When evaluating AWILCO DRILLING's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AWILCO DRILLING stock have on its future price. AWILCO DRILLING autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AWILCO DRILLING autocorrelation shows the relationship between AWILCO DRILLING stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AWILCO DRILLING PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in AWILCO Stock

AWILCO DRILLING financial ratios help investors to determine whether AWILCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AWILCO with respect to the benefits of owning AWILCO DRILLING security.